Web3Way Logo

Short Trade on MSTR

Previous Trade Next Trade

Short Trade on MSTR 21 Nov 2025 at 19:50:24

Take profit at 171.8495 (0.42 %) and Stop Loss at 172.9452 (0.21 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 21 Nov 2025 at 19:50:24

With 21.9036 MSTR at 172.58$ per unit.

Position size of 3780.1164 $

Take profit at 171.8495 (0.42 %) and Stop Loss at 172.9452 (0.21 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 120
ML Pullback Score: 6.99
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.82
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.87
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.68
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.686129

15m : 0.063797

1H : 0.101278

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 0.2434916213
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 172.353
  4. ema21 : 173.612
  5. ema50 : 179.05
  6. ema100 : 185.222
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00131299
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00725284
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0303699
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0682556
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.0124351
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0953044
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.174156
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.14753
  17. rsi : 0.464534
  18. adx : 0.36593
  19. kc_percentage : 0.441744
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0871601
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.6391
  22. volume_ema1 : 530158.18606735
  23. volume_ema2 : 1468992.3714569
  24. chop : 54.2378
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 172.1
  28. ema21 : 171.969
  29. ema50 : 172.269
  30. ema100 : 173.057
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00278492
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000762886
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00174013
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00276108
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0300053
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.000137175
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0113433
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0156366
  41. rsi : 0.537779
  42. adx : 0.103906
  43. kc_percentage : 0.688729
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0188584
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.966728
  46. volume_ema1 : 10229.656829026
  47. volume_ema2 : 307459.83900657
  48. chop : 81.4517
  49. regime : range_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 172.413
  52. ema21 : 172.135
  53. ema50 : 171.936
  54. ema100 : 172.074
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.000964933
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00161681
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00115564
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00293484
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.033883
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0279501
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0131653
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00383793
  65. rsi : 0.631004
  66. adx : 0.250122
  67. kc_percentage : 1.01295
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00481499
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.974478
  70. volume_ema1 : 850.72252033849
  71. volume_ema2 : 33333.060628286
  72. chop : 40.7087
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    84581.1
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00206928
  78. 5m_price: 
    84756.2
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.686129
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    84827.3
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.000743097
  83. 15m_price: 
    84764.3
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.063797
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    88438.7
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0416391
  88. 1H_price: 
    84756.2
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.101278
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                    [1] => 208.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
                    [1] => 199.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 07:00:00
                    [1] => 206.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:00:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 20:00:00
                    [1] => 196.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 08:00:00
                    [1] => 194.37
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
                    [1] => 171.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 05:00:00
                    [1] => 166.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 09:00:00
                    [1] => 181.14
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 11:00:00
                    [1] => 166.51
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.7642707298222
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.6033871839529
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.7862590835385
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 05:00:00
                    [1] => 166.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 07:15:00
                    [1] => 167.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 09:30:00
                    [1] => 181.14
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 11:00:00
                    [1] => 166.51
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 12:00:00
                    [1] => 176.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 13:15:00
                    [1] => 169.49
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 15:45:00
                    [1] => 169.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 17:00:00
                    [1] => 172.36
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 18:00:00
                    [1] => 170.94
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 19:30:00
                    [1] => 173.06
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.31780885242113
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.91845091845091
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2402012402012
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 13:20:00
                    [1] => 169.49
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 13:50:00
                    [1] => 174.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 14:20:00
                    [1] => 174.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 14:50:00
                    [1] => 171.13
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 15:55:00
                    [1] => 169.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 17:00:00
                    [1] => 172.36
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 17:20:00
                    [1] => 171
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 17:45:00
                    [1] => 171.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 18:05:00
                    [1] => 170.94
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 19:40:00
                    [1] => 173.06
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.31780885242113
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.91845091845091
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 21
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2402012402012
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.32%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.92%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
21 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.24%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.4548
0.84%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.3595
1.37%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-21 13:20:00 169.49 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 13:50:00 174.4 ↑ High
2025-11-21 14:20:00 174.4 ↑ High
2025-11-21 14:50:00 171.13 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 15:55:00 169.8 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 17:00:00 172.36 ↑ High
2025-11-21 17:20:00 171 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 17:45:00 171.7 ↑ High
2025-11-21 18:05:00 170.94 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 19:40:00 173.06 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.32%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.92%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.24%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
8.1948
4.74%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.6895
3.31%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-21 05:00:00 166.16 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 07:15:00 167.45 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 09:30:00 181.14 ↑ High
2025-11-21 11:00:00 166.51 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 12:00:00 176.7 ↑ High
2025-11-21 13:15:00 169.49 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 15:45:00 169.8 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 17:00:00 172.36 ↑ High
2025-11-21 18:00:00 170.94 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 19:30:00 173.06 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.76%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.60%
Bars Since Swing High
10 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
8.79%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
35.2648
20.39%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.6895
3.31%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:00:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:00:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:00:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 20:00:00 196.6 ↑ High
2025-11-20 08:00:00 194.37 ↑ High
2025-11-20 14:00:00 171.8 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 05:00:00 166.16 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 09:00:00 181.14 ↑ High
2025-11-21 11:00:00 166.51 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
21 Nov 2025
19:50:24		 21 Nov 2025
20:00:00		 9 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
172.58 172.9452 171.8495 2 132.46
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 172.58
  • Stop Loss: 172.9452
  • Take Profit: 171.8495

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 172.9452 - 172.58 = 0.36519999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 172.58 - 171.8495 = 0.73050000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.73050000000001 / 0.36519999999999 = 2.0003

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3780.1164 100 21.9036 37.80
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.36519999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.36519999999999 = 21.91

Taille de position USD = 21.91 x 172.58 = 3781.23

Donc, tu peux acheter 21.91 avec un stoploss a 172.9452

Avec un position size USD de 3781.23$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 21.91 x 0.36519999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 21.91 x 0.73050000000001 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 21.91
  • Taille de position USD 3781.23
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0003

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.42 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.21 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.42
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.029 % 13.71 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.8496
            [stop_loss] => 172.9452
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 20:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.667
            [stop_loss] => 172.9452
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 20:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.4844
            [stop_loss] => 172.9452
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 20:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.3018
            [stop_loss] => 172.9452
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 20:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.1192
            [stop_loss] => 172.9452
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 20:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 170.9366
            [stop_loss] => 172.9452
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 20:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 170.754
            [stop_loss] => 172.9452
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 20:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 170.5714
            [stop_loss] => 172.9452
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 20:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 170.3888
            [stop_loss] => 172.9452
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 20:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.28
            [max_drawdown] => 0.049999999999983
            [rr_ratio] => 45.6
            [high] => 172.63000000
            [low] => 170.30000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.32
            [mae_pct] => 0.03
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 45.6
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-21T19:50:24-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-21T21:50:24-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.28
            [max_drawdown] => 0.049999999999983
            [rr_ratio] => 45.6
            [high] => 172.63000000
            [low] => 170.30000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.32
            [mae_pct] => 0.03
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 45.6
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-21T19:50:24-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-22T02:50:24-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 173.06000000
            [high_after] => 172.63000000
            [low_before] => 169.80000000
            [low_after] => 170.30000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)