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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 21 Nov 2025 at 19:57:27

Take profit at 171.9002 (0.42 %) and Stop Loss at 172.9949 (0.21 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 21 Nov 2025 at 19:57:27

With 21.925 MSTR at 172.63$ per unit.

Position size of 3784.9111 $

Take profit at 171.9002 (0.42 %) and Stop Loss at 172.9949 (0.21 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 120
ML Pullback Score: 6
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.81
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.87
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.55
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.688944

15m : -0.162757

1H : -0.092149

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.02
  4. atr: 0.243253624
Details
  1. score: 1.02
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 172.363
  4. ema21 : 173.617
  5. ema50 : 179.052
  6. ema100 : 185.223
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00154498
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00722124
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0303551
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0679907
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.0129193
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0950887
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.174066
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.147486
  17. rsi : 0.465375
  18. adx : 0.36593
  19. kc_percentage : 0.444751
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0871348
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.633892
  22. volume_ema1 : 538153.70320068
  23. volume_ema2 : 1469933.0205314
  24. chop : 54.2378
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 172.1
  28. ema21 : 171.969
  29. ema50 : 172.269
  30. ema100 : 173.057
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00307545
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000762886
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00174013
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00247216
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0300053
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.000137175
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0113433
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0156366
  41. rsi : 0.537779
  42. adx : 0.103906
  43. kc_percentage : 0.704092
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0188529
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.966728
  46. volume_ema1 : 10229.656829026
  47. volume_ema2 : 307459.83900657
  48. chop : 81.4517
  49. regime : range_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 172.445
  52. ema21 : 172.174
  53. ema50 : 171.963
  54. ema100 : 172.098
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0010687
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0015751
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00122995
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00309038
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0300376
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.026707
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0131495
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00386313
  65. rsi : 0.632459
  66. adx : 0.255861
  67. kc_percentage : 1.01849
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00488135
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.796645
  70. volume_ema1 : 6341.7276357812
  71. volume_ema2 : 31185.611248309
  72. chop : 41.6669
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    84554
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00206936
  78. 5m_price: 
    84729
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.688944
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    84827.3
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.000743097
  83. 15m_price: 
    84764.3
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.162757
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    88438.1
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0419408
  88. 1H_price: 
    84729
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.092149
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
                    [1] => 208.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 00:00:00
                    [1] => 199.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 07:00:00
                    [1] => 206.17
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 13:00:00
                    [1] => 181.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-19 20:00:00
                    [1] => 196.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 08:00:00
                    [1] => 194.37
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
                    [1] => 171.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 05:00:00
                    [1] => 166.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 09:00:00
                    [1] => 181.14
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 11:00:00
                    [1] => 166.51
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.6980236281329
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.675454927632
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.7862590835385
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 05:00:00
                    [1] => 166.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 07:15:00
                    [1] => 167.45
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 09:30:00
                    [1] => 181.14
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 11:00:00
                    [1] => 166.51
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 12:00:00
                    [1] => 176.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 13:15:00
                    [1] => 169.49
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 15:45:00
                    [1] => 169.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 17:00:00
                    [1] => 172.36
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 18:00:00
                    [1] => 170.94
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 19:30:00
                    [1] => 173.06
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.24846873916561
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.98865098865099
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2402012402012
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 13:20:00
                    [1] => 169.49
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 13:50:00
                    [1] => 174.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 14:20:00
                    [1] => 174.4
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 14:50:00
                    [1] => 171.13
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 15:55:00
                    [1] => 169.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 17:00:00
                    [1] => 172.36
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 17:20:00
                    [1] => 171
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 17:45:00
                    [1] => 171.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 18:05:00
                    [1] => 170.94
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-21 19:40:00
                    [1] => 173.06
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.24846873916561
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.98865098865099
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 22
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2402012402012
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.25%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.99%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
22 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.24%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.4051
0.81%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.4102
1.40%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-21 13:20:00 169.49 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 13:50:00 174.4 ↑ High
2025-11-21 14:20:00 174.4 ↑ High
2025-11-21 14:50:00 171.13 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 15:55:00 169.8 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 17:00:00 172.36 ↑ High
2025-11-21 17:20:00 171 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 17:45:00 171.7 ↑ High
2025-11-21 18:05:00 170.94 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 19:40:00 173.06 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.25%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.99%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.24%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
8.1451
4.71%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.7402
3.34%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-21 05:00:00 166.16 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 07:15:00 167.45 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 09:30:00 181.14 ↑ High
2025-11-21 11:00:00 166.51 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 12:00:00 176.7 ↑ High
2025-11-21 13:15:00 169.49 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 15:45:00 169.8 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 17:00:00 172.36 ↑ High
2025-11-21 18:00:00 170.94 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 19:30:00 173.06 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.70%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.68%
Bars Since Swing High
10 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
8.79%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
35.2151
20.36%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.7402
3.34%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-18 22:00:00 208.21 ↑ High
2025-11-19 00:00:00 199.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 07:00:00 206.17 ↑ High
2025-11-19 13:00:00 181.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-19 20:00:00 196.6 ↑ High
2025-11-20 08:00:00 194.37 ↑ High
2025-11-20 14:00:00 171.8 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 05:00:00 166.16 ↓ Low
2025-11-21 09:00:00 181.14 ↑ High
2025-11-21 11:00:00 166.51 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
21 Nov 2025
19:57:27		 21 Nov 2025
20:00:00		 2 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
172.63 172.9949 171.9002 2 131.56
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 172.63
  • Stop Loss: 172.9949
  • Take Profit: 171.9002

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 172.9949 - 172.63 = 0.36490000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 172.63 - 171.9002 = 0.72979999999998

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.72979999999998 / 0.36490000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3784.9111 100 21.925 37.85
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.36490000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.36490000000001 = 21.92

Taille de position USD = 21.92 x 172.63 = 3784.05

Donc, tu peux acheter 21.92 avec un stoploss a 172.9949

Avec un position size USD de 3784.05$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 21.92 x 0.36490000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 21.92 x 0.72979999999998 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 21.92
  • Taille de position USD 3784.05
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.42 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.21 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.42
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.9002
            [stop_loss] => 172.9949
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 20:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.71775
            [stop_loss] => 172.9949
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 20:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.5353
            [stop_loss] => 172.9949
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 20:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.35285
            [stop_loss] => 172.9949
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 20:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.1704
            [stop_loss] => 172.9949
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 20:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 170.98795
            [stop_loss] => 172.9949
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 20:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 170.8055
            [stop_loss] => 172.9949
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 20:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 170.62305
            [stop_loss] => 172.9949
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 20:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 170.4406
            [stop_loss] => 172.9949
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-21 20:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.33
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 172.63000000
            [low] => 170.30000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.35
            [mae_pct] => 0
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-21T19:57:27-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-21T21:57:27-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.33
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 172.63000000
            [low] => 170.30000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.35
            [mae_pct] => 0
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-21T19:57:27-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-22T02:57:27-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 173.06000000
            [high_after] => 172.63000000
            [low_before] => 169.87000000
            [low_after] => 170.30000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)