Short Trade on AIA 22 Nov 2025 at 01:44:09
Take profit at 0.4539 (3.53 %) and Stop Loss at 0.4789 (1.79 %)
Short Trade on AIA 22 Nov 2025 at 01:44:09
Take profit at 0.4539 (3.53 %) and Stop Loss at 0.4789 (1.79 %)
Position size of 451.7022 $
Take profit at 0.4539 (3.53 %) and Stop Loss at 0.4789 (1.79 %)
That's a 1.98 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.96 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.74 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.58 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.410369 15m : -0.021514 1H : -0.054619 |
2 |
Indicators:
84443.6
0.00120973
84545.8
0.410369
84560.7
0.0021676
84744
-0.021514
87837
-0.0374698
84545.8
-0.054619
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 16:00:00
[1] => 0.66382
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 22:00:00
[1] => 0.65566
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 01:00:00
[1] => 0.58516
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 09:00:00
[1] => 0.7114
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 11:00:00
[1] => 0.49848
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 11:00:00
[1] => 0.46803
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 17:00:00
[1] => 0.58447
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 07:00:00
[1] => 0.43863
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 11:00:00
[1] => 0.50043
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 23:00:00
[1] => 0.44115
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.8209939452071
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.8344100646039
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 14
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 13.437606256375
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 13:15:00
[1] => 0.47175
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 14:15:00
[1] => 0.49444
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 15:00:00
[1] => 0.47046
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 15:45:00
[1] => 0.49832
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 18:00:00
[1] => 0.46195
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 18:45:00
[1] => 0.48805
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 22:15:00
[1] => 0.47899
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 23:15:00
[1] => 0.44115
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 00:45:00
[1] => 0.44361
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 01:30:00
[1] => 0.4713
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.2419692973558
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.2419692973558
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 21:05:00
[1] => 0.46525
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 21:30:00
[1] => 0.47599
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 21:45:00
[1] => 0.45478
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 22:15:00
[1] => 0.47899
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 22:50:00
[1] => 0.47413
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 23:20:00
[1] => 0.44115
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 00:00:00
[1] => 0.46214
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 00:20:00
[1] => 0.44678
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 00:50:00
[1] => 0.44361
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 01:40:00
[1] => 0.4713
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.2419692973558
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.2419692973558
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 21:05:00 | 0.46525 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 21:30:00 | 0.47599 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 21:45:00 | 0.45478 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 22:15:00 | 0.47899 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 22:50:00 | 0.47413 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 23:20:00 | 0.44115 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-22 00:00:00 | 0.46214 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-22 00:20:00 | 0.44678 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-22 00:50:00 | 0.44361 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-22 01:40:00 | 0.4713 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 13:15:00 | 0.47175 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 14:15:00 | 0.49444 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 15:00:00 | 0.47046 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 15:45:00 | 0.49832 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 18:00:00 | 0.46195 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 18:45:00 | 0.48805 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 22:15:00 | 0.47899 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 23:15:00 | 0.44115 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-22 00:45:00 | 0.44361 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-22 01:30:00 | 0.4713 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 16:00:00 | 0.66382 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-18 22:00:00 | 0.65566 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 01:00:00 | 0.58516 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 09:00:00 | 0.7114 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 11:00:00 | 0.49848 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 11:00:00 | 0.46803 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 17:00:00 | 0.58447 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 07:00:00 | 0.43863 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 11:00:00 | 0.50043 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 23:00:00 | 0.44115 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 01:44:09 |
22 Nov 2025 03:45:00 |
2 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4705 | 0.4789 | 0.4539 | 1.98 | 0.1513 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4789 - 0.4705 = 0.0084
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4705 - 0.4539 = 0.0166
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0166 / 0.0084 = 1.9762
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 451.7022 | 100 | 959.9861 | 4.52 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0084 = 952.38
Taille de position USD = 952.38 x 0.4705 = 448.09
Donc, tu peux acheter 952.38 avec un stoploss a 0.4789
Avec un position size USD de 448.09$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 952.38 x 0.0084 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 952.38 x 0.0166 = 15.81
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.81$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.53 % | 15.94 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.79 % | 8.06 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.94 $ | 3.53 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.2051 % | 67.5 % | 8 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4537
[stop_loss] => 0.4789
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-22 03:45:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4495
[stop_loss] => 0.4789
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-22 04:25:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4453
[stop_loss] => 0.4789
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-22 06:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4411
[stop_loss] => 0.4789
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-22 06:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4369
[stop_loss] => 0.4789
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-22 06:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4327
[stop_loss] => 0.4789
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-22 06:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4285
[stop_loss] => 0.4789
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-22 06:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4243
[stop_loss] => 0.4789
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-22 06:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4201
[stop_loss] => 0.4789
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-11-22 06:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4159
[stop_loss] => 0.4789
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-22 06:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.4117
[stop_loss] => 0.4789
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-11-22 06:50:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.01484
[max_drawdown] => 0.00567
[rr_ratio] => 2.62
[high] => 0.47617000
[low] => 0.45566000
[mfe_pct] => 3.15
[mae_pct] => 1.21
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.62
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-22T01:44:09-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-22T03:44:09-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0237
[max_drawdown] => 0.37714
[rr_ratio] => 0.06
[high] => 0.84764000
[low] => 0.44680000
[mfe_pct] => 5.04
[mae_pct] => 80.16
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.06
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-22T01:44:09-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-22T08:44:09-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.47899000
[high_after] => 0.56200000
[low_before] => 0.44115000
[low_after] => 0.44680000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)