Short Trade on ORDI 22 Nov 2025 at 05:06:16
Take profit at 3.7776 (1.68 %) and Stop Loss at 3.8742 (0.84 %)
Short Trade on ORDI 22 Nov 2025 at 05:06:16
Take profit at 3.7776 (1.68 %) and Stop Loss at 3.8742 (0.84 %)
Position size of 955.2006 $
Take profit at 3.7776 (1.68 %) and Stop Loss at 3.8742 (0.84 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.91 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.94 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.697317 15m : 0.023106 1H : -0.030104 |
2 |
Indicators:
84345
-0.00461163
83956.1
0.697317
84099.8
-0.00170981
83956.1
0.023106
87512.3
-0.040637
83956.1
-0.030104
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 07:00:00
[1] => 4.665
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 14:00:00
[1] => 4.197
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 09:00:00
[1] => 4.802
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 14:00:00
[1] => 4.308
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 17:00:00
[1] => 4.572
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 02:00:00
[1] => 3.424
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 10:00:00
[1] => 4.153
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 18:00:00
[1] => 3.707
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 01:00:00
[1] => 3.681
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 05:00:00
[1] => 3.844
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.23413111342351
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.1836457484379
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.428144525944
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 11:00:00
[1] => 3.929
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 12:00:00
[1] => 4.135
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 16:00:00
[1] => 3.811
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 18:00:00
[1] => 3.707
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 19:00:00
[1] => 3.865
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 21:00:00
[1] => 3.9
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 01:00:00
[1] => 3.681
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 02:30:00
[1] => 3.806
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 03:30:00
[1] => 3.703
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 05:00:00
[1] => 3.844
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.23413111342351
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.5646772886849
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.8077234674588
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 21:00:00
[1] => 3.9
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 21:45:00
[1] => 3.81
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 22:15:00
[1] => 3.868
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 23:40:00
[1] => 3.74
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 23:50:00
[1] => 3.814
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 01:05:00
[1] => 3.681
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 02:35:00
[1] => 3.806
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 03:30:00
[1] => 3.703
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 05:05:00
[1] => 3.844
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.23413111342351
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.5646772886849
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 19
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.8077234674588
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 21:00:00 | 3.9 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 21:45:00 | 3.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 22:15:00 | 3.868 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 23:40:00 | 3.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 23:50:00 | 3.814 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-22 01:05:00 | 3.681 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-22 02:35:00 | 3.806 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-22 03:30:00 | 3.703 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-22 05:05:00 | 3.844 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 11:00:00 | 3.929 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 12:00:00 | 4.135 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 16:00:00 | 3.811 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 18:00:00 | 3.707 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 19:00:00 | 3.865 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 21:00:00 | 3.9 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-22 01:00:00 | 3.681 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-22 02:30:00 | 3.806 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-22 03:30:00 | 3.703 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-22 05:00:00 | 3.844 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 07:00:00 | 4.665 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 14:00:00 | 4.197 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 09:00:00 | 4.802 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 14:00:00 | 4.308 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 17:00:00 | 4.572 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 02:00:00 | 3.424 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 10:00:00 | 4.153 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 18:00:00 | 3.707 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-22 01:00:00 | 3.681 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-22 05:00:00 | 3.844 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 05:06:16 |
22 Nov 2025 05:20:00 |
13 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.842 | 3.8742 | 3.7776 | 2 | 2.507 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.8742 - 3.842 = 0.0322
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.842 - 3.7776 = 0.0644
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0644 / 0.0322 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 955.2006 | 100 | 248.6207 | 9.55 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0322 = 248.45
Taille de position USD = 248.45 x 3.842 = 954.54
Donc, tu peux acheter 248.45 avec un stoploss a 3.8742
Avec un position size USD de 954.54$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 248.45 x 0.0322 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 248.45 x 0.0644 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.68 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.84 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.01 $ | 1.68 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3.7776
[stop_loss] => 3.8742
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-22 05:20:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3.7615
[stop_loss] => 3.8742
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-22 07:45:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3.7454
[stop_loss] => 3.8742
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-22 08:00:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3.7293
[stop_loss] => 3.8742
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-22 08:35:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.076
[max_drawdown] => 0.02
[rr_ratio] => 3.8
[high] => 3.86200000
[low] => 3.76600000
[mfe_pct] => 1.98
[mae_pct] => 0.52
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.8
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-22T05:06:16-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-22T07:06:16-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.124
[max_drawdown] => 0.02
[rr_ratio] => 6.2
[high] => 3.86200000
[low] => 3.71800000
[mfe_pct] => 3.23
[mae_pct] => 0.52
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.2
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-22T05:06:16-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-22T12:06:16-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 3.84400000
[high_after] => 3.86200000
[low_before] => 3.68100000
[low_after] => 3.71800000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)