Short Trade on ARIA 22 Nov 2025 at 08:35:53
Take profit at 0.05859 (3.14 %) and Stop Loss at 0.06144 (1.57 %)
Short Trade on ARIA 22 Nov 2025 at 08:35:53
Take profit at 0.05859 (3.14 %) and Stop Loss at 0.06144 (1.57 %)
Position size of 509.0487 $
Take profit at 0.05859 (3.14 %) and Stop Loss at 0.06144 (1.57 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.93 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.88 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.7 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.308527 15m : -0.002374 1H : -0.036639 |
2 |
Indicators:
83971.1
-0.00134715
83858
0.308527
84093.9
-0.0028058
83858
-0.002374
87437.9
-0.0409425
83858
-0.036639
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 15:00:00
[1] => 0.08236
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-18 20:00:00
[1] => 0.08538
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 01:00:00
[1] => 0.083
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 09:00:00
[1] => 0.08977
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-19 11:00:00
[1] => 0.07819
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 04:00:00
[1] => 0.09825
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 11:00:00
[1] => 0.0779
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 13:00:00
[1] => 0.09512
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 01:00:00
[1] => 0.05552
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 08:00:00
[1] => 0.06049
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.59513969251116
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 8.3033141210375
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.9517291066282
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 07:30:00
[1] => 0.08107
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 11:00:00
[1] => 0.07985
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 13:15:00
[1] => 0.07034
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 18:15:00
[1] => 0.06287
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 20:15:00
[1] => 0.06091
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-21 21:30:00
[1] => 0.06334
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 01:00:00
[1] => 0.05552
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 03:30:00
[1] => 0.05585
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 06:30:00
[1] => 0.0574
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 08:30:00
[1] => 0.06049
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.59513969251116
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.7560975609756
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.383275261324
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 04:30:00
[1] => 0.05653
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 05:05:00
[1] => 0.05663
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 05:30:00
[1] => 0.05859
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 05:55:00
[1] => 0.05744
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 06:10:00
[1] => 0.05883
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 06:30:00
[1] => 0.0574
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 07:00:00
[1] => 0.05745
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 07:20:00
[1] => 0.06041
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 08:00:00
[1] => 0.05793
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 08:35:00
[1] => 0.06049
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.59513969251116
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.7976868634559
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.4191265320214
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 04:30:00 | 0.05653 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-22 05:05:00 | 0.05663 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-22 05:30:00 | 0.05859 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-22 05:55:00 | 0.05744 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-22 06:10:00 | 0.05883 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-22 06:30:00 | 0.0574 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-22 07:00:00 | 0.05745 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-22 07:20:00 | 0.06041 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-22 08:00:00 | 0.05793 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-22 08:35:00 | 0.06049 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 07:30:00 | 0.08107 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 11:00:00 | 0.07985 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-21 13:15:00 | 0.07034 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 18:15:00 | 0.06287 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 20:15:00 | 0.06091 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-21 21:30:00 | 0.06334 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-22 01:00:00 | 0.05552 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-22 03:30:00 | 0.05585 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-22 06:30:00 | 0.0574 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-22 08:30:00 | 0.06049 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-18 15:00:00 | 0.08236 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-18 20:00:00 | 0.08538 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 01:00:00 | 0.083 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-19 09:00:00 | 0.08977 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-19 11:00:00 | 0.07819 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 04:00:00 | 0.09825 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-20 11:00:00 | 0.0779 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 13:00:00 | 0.09512 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-22 01:00:00 | 0.05552 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-22 08:00:00 | 0.06049 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 08:35:53 |
22 Nov 2025 08:45:00 |
9 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06049 | 0.06144 | 0.05859 | 2 | 0.08066 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.06144 - 0.06049 = 0.00095
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06049 - 0.05859 = 0.0019
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0019 / 0.00095 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 509.0487 | 100 | 8415.4188 | 5.09 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00095 = 8421.05
Taille de position USD = 8421.05 x 0.06049 = 509.39
Donc, tu peux acheter 8421.05 avec un stoploss a 0.06144
Avec un position size USD de 509.39$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 8421.05 x 0.00095 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 8421.05 x 0.0019 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.14 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.57 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -1.57 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.8681 % | 118.95 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.05859
[entry_price] => 0.06049
[stop_loss] => 0.061535
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-11-22 08:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.05859
[entry_price] => 0.06049
[stop_loss] => 0.06163
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-22 09:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.05859
[entry_price] => 0.06049
[stop_loss] => 0.061725
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-22 09:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.05859
[entry_price] => 0.06049
[stop_loss] => 0.061915
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-22 09:45:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00041
[max_drawdown] => 0.00251
[rr_ratio] => 0.16
[high] => 0.06300000
[low] => 0.06008000
[mfe_pct] => 0.68
[mae_pct] => 4.15
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.16
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-22T08:35:53-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-22T10:35:53-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00103
[max_drawdown] => 0.00251
[rr_ratio] => 0.41
[high] => 0.06300000
[low] => 0.05946000
[mfe_pct] => 1.7
[mae_pct] => 4.15
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.41
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-22T08:35:53-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-22T15:35:53-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.06049000
[high_after] => 0.06300000
[low_before] => 0.05663000
[low_after] => 0.05946000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)