Long Trade on ARIA 24 Nov 2025 at 09:57:38
Take profit at 0.0693 (7.11 %) and Stop Loss at 0.0624 (3.55 %)
Long Trade on ARIA 24 Nov 2025 at 09:57:38
Take profit at 0.0693 (7.11 %) and Stop Loss at 0.0624 (3.55 %)
Position size of 225.1007 $
Take profit at 0.0693 (7.11 %) and Stop Loss at 0.0624 (3.55 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.51 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.68 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.96 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.146955 15m : 0.005926 1H : -0.019904 |
0 |
Indicators:
86278.9
-0.00530951
85820.9
0.146955
86650.7
-0.014009
85436.9
0.005926
86790.7
-0.011174
85820.9
-0.019904
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 11:00:00
[1] => 0.0779
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-20 13:00:00
[1] => 0.09512
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 01:00:00
[1] => 0.05552
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 10:00:00
[1] => 0.063
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 20:00:00
[1] => 0.0618
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-23 01:00:00
[1] => 0.05832
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-23 10:00:00
[1] => 0.059
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-23 19:00:00
[1] => 0.06878
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-23 23:00:00
[1] => 0.0624
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 08:00:00
[1] => 0.07479
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -12.902794491242
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.3910256410257
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 19.855769230769
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-23 19:30:00
[1] => 0.06878
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-23 20:30:00
[1] => 0.06417
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-23 22:00:00
[1] => 0.0653
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-23 23:15:00
[1] => 0.0624
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 00:15:00
[1] => 0.06542
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 02:15:00
[1] => 0.06257
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 03:30:00
[1] => 0.06502
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 04:30:00
[1] => 0.06295
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 08:15:00
[1] => 0.07479
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 09:45:00
[1] => 0.06413
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -12.902794491242
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5749259317012
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 16.622485576173
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 04:35:00
[1] => 0.06295
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 04:50:00
[1] => 0.06432
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 05:10:00
[1] => 0.0635
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 05:35:00
[1] => 0.06497
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 06:15:00
[1] => 0.0637
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 06:50:00
[1] => 0.06446
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 08:20:00
[1] => 0.07479
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 08:50:00
[1] => 0.06937
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 09:05:00
[1] => 0.07239
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 09:45:00
[1] => 0.06413
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -10.015195468987
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5749259317012
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 12.880087322626
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-24 04:35:00 | 0.06295 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-24 04:50:00 | 0.06432 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-24 05:10:00 | 0.0635 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-24 05:35:00 | 0.06497 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-24 06:15:00 | 0.0637 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-24 06:50:00 | 0.06446 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-24 08:20:00 | 0.07479 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-24 08:50:00 | 0.06937 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-24 09:05:00 | 0.07239 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-24 09:45:00 | 0.06413 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-23 19:30:00 | 0.06878 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-23 20:30:00 | 0.06417 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-23 22:00:00 | 0.0653 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-23 23:15:00 | 0.0624 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-24 00:15:00 | 0.06542 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-24 02:15:00 | 0.06257 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-24 03:30:00 | 0.06502 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-24 04:30:00 | 0.06295 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-24 08:15:00 | 0.07479 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-24 09:45:00 | 0.06413 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 11:00:00 | 0.0779 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-20 13:00:00 | 0.09512 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-22 01:00:00 | 0.05552 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-22 10:00:00 | 0.063 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-22 20:00:00 | 0.0618 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-23 01:00:00 | 0.05832 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-23 10:00:00 | 0.059 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-23 19:00:00 | 0.06878 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-23 23:00:00 | 0.0624 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-24 08:00:00 | 0.07479 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov 2025 09:57:38 |
24 Nov 2025 13:10:00 |
3 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0647 | 0.0624 | 0.0693 | 2 | 0.08115 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0624 - 0.0647 = -0.0023
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0647 - 0.0693 = -0.0046
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0046 / -0.0023 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 225.1007 | 100 | 3479.1447 | 2.25 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0023 = -3478.26
Taille de position USD = -3478.26 x 0.0647 = -225.04
Donc, tu peux acheter -3478.26 avec un stoploss a 0.0624
Avec un position size USD de -225.04$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3478.26 x -0.0023 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3478.26 x -0.0046 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.11 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.55 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 7.11 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7573 % | 21.3 % | 4 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0693
[stop_loss] => 0.0624
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-24 13:10:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00263
[max_drawdown] => 0.00048999999999999
[rr_ratio] => 5.37
[high] => 0.06733000
[low] => 0.06421000
[mfe_pct] => 4.06
[mae_pct] => 0.76
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.37
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-24T09:57:38-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-24T11:57:38-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00479
[max_drawdown] => 0.00048999999999999
[rr_ratio] => 9.78
[high] => 0.06949000
[low] => 0.06421000
[mfe_pct] => 7.4
[mae_pct] => 0.76
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 9.78
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-24T09:57:38-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-24T16:57:38-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.07479000
[high_after] => 0.06949000
[low_before] => 0.06370000
[low_after] => 0.06421000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)