Long Trade on MSTR 24 Nov 2025 at 19:18:08
Take profit at 177.8404 (0.63 %) and Stop Loss at 176.1748 (0.31 %)
Long Trade on MSTR 24 Nov 2025 at 19:18:08
Take profit at 177.8404 (0.63 %) and Stop Loss at 176.1748 (0.31 %)
Position size of 2546.4582 $
Take profit at 177.8404 (0.63 %) and Stop Loss at 176.1748 (0.31 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.57 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.39 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.8 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.476502 15m : -0.108851 1H : -0.099029 |
2 |
Indicators:
88264.7
-0.00413256
87900
0.476502
87466.1
0.00496076
87900
-0.108851
86490.1
0.0163009
87900
-0.099029
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-23 04:00:00
[1] => 170.3
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-23 06:00:00
[1] => 170.3
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-23 08:00:00
[1] => 170.3
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-23 10:00:00
[1] => 170.3
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-23 12:00:00
[1] => 170.3
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-23 14:00:00
[1] => 170.3
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-23 20:00:00
[1] => 170.02
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-23 22:00:00
[1] => 180.42
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 09:00:00
[1] => 165.96
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 16:00:00
[1] => 180.31
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.068659530808
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.3991323210412
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.646661846228
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-23 22:00:00
[1] => 180.42
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-23 23:15:00
[1] => 176.61
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 05:30:00
[1] => 171.59
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 06:45:00
[1] => 174.06
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 07:15:00
[1] => 171.96
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 08:30:00
[1] => 174.09
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 09:45:00
[1] => 165.96
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 16:00:00
[1] => 180.31
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 17:45:00
[1] => 179.79
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 19:15:00
[1] => 176.57
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.7854163190389
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.0056634762417281
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8236393498329
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 13:25:00
[1] => 175.28
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 14:05:00
[1] => 178.16
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 14:35:00
[1] => 178.44
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 14:45:00
[1] => 175.9
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 15:15:00
[1] => 178.65
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 15:40:00
[1] => 177
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 16:10:00
[1] => 180.31
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 16:40:00
[1] => 178.67
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 17:55:00
[1] => 179.79
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 19:15:00
[1] => 176.57
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.7854163190389
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.0056634762417281
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 16
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.8236393498329
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-24 13:25:00 | 175.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-24 14:05:00 | 178.16 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-24 14:35:00 | 178.44 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-24 14:45:00 | 175.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-24 15:15:00 | 178.65 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-24 15:40:00 | 177 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-24 16:10:00 | 180.31 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-24 16:40:00 | 178.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-24 17:55:00 | 179.79 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-24 19:15:00 | 176.57 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-23 22:00:00 | 180.42 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-23 23:15:00 | 176.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-24 05:30:00 | 171.59 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-24 06:45:00 | 174.06 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-24 07:15:00 | 171.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-24 08:30:00 | 174.09 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-24 09:45:00 | 165.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-24 16:00:00 | 180.31 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-24 17:45:00 | 179.79 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-24 19:15:00 | 176.57 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-23 04:00:00 | 170.3 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-23 06:00:00 | 170.3 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-23 08:00:00 | 170.3 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-23 10:00:00 | 170.3 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-23 12:00:00 | 170.3 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-23 14:00:00 | 170.3 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-23 20:00:00 | 170.02 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-23 22:00:00 | 180.42 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-24 09:00:00 | 165.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-24 16:00:00 | 180.31 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov 2025 19:18:08 |
24 Nov 2025 20:50:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 176.73 | 176.1748 | 177.8404 | 2 | 132.49 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 176.1748 - 176.73 = -0.55519999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 176.73 - 177.8404 = -1.1104
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.1104 / -0.55519999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2546.4582 | 100 | 14.4087 | 25.46 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.55519999999999 = -14.41
Taille de position USD = -14.41 x 176.73 = -2546.68
Donc, tu peux acheter -14.41 avec un stoploss a 176.1748
Avec un position size USD de -2546.68$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -14.41 x -0.55519999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -14.41 x -1.1104 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.63 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.31 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.31 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.679 % | 216.1 % | 6 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 177.8404
[entry_price] => 176.73
[stop_loss] => 176.11928
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-11-24 20:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 177.8404
[entry_price] => 176.73
[stop_loss] => 176.06376
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-24 20:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 177.8404
[entry_price] => 176.73
[stop_loss] => 176.00824
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-24 20:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 177.8404
[entry_price] => 176.73
[stop_loss] => 175.8972
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-24 20:50:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.07
[max_drawdown] => 1.53
[rr_ratio] => 0.7
[high] => 177.80000000
[low] => 175.20000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.61
[mae_pct] => 0.87
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.7
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-24T19:18:08-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-24T21:18:08-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.27
[max_drawdown] => 2.01
[rr_ratio] => 1.13
[high] => 179.00000000
[low] => 174.72000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.28
[mae_pct] => 1.14
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.13
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-24T19:18:08-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-25T02:18:08-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 180.31000000
[high_after] => 179.00000000
[low_before] => 176.57000000
[low_after] => 174.72000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)