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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 25 Nov 2025 at 15:58:11

Take profit at 170.066 (1.38 %) and Stop Loss at 173.642 (0.69 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 25 Nov 2025 at 15:58:11

With 6.7113 MSTR at 172.45$ per unit.

Position size of 1157.3687 $

Take profit at 170.066 (1.38 %) and Stop Loss at 173.642 (0.69 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.34
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.75
Prediction 2 Probability
2 0.37
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.86
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : range_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.638532

15m : 0.048996

1H : -0.140928

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0
  4. atr: 0.7946761923
Details
  1. score: 1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 172.908
  4. ema21 : 174.106
  5. ema50 : 174.207
  6. ema100 : 173.79
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00265037
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00687987
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000584391
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.00771579
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.144903
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0826269
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0184187
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.00135373
  17. rsi : 0.449205
  18. adx : 0.216061
  19. kc_percentage : 0.36522
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0690981
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.323209
  22. volume_ema1 : 1169124.7085708
  23. volume_ema2 : 883552.15906209
  24. chop : 43.4513
  25. regime : range_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 170.965
  28. ema21 : 171.896
  29. ema50 : 173.418
  30. ema100 : 174.782
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00868196
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00541764
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00877165
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0133448
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.166797
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.123643
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.078154
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.051309
  41. rsi : 0.494928
  42. adx : 0.180267
  43. kc_percentage : 0.598848
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0368018
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.398186
  46. volume_ema1 : 167139.07449067
  47. volume_ema2 : 277725.69562068
  48. chop : 34.6281
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 171.416
  52. ema21 : 170.885
  53. ema50 : 171.624
  54. ema100 : 172.879
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00602916
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00310836
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00430473
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00248261
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.104397
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0231382
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0223319
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0272189
  65. rsi : 0.637701
  66. adx : 0.291175
  67. kc_percentage : 1.0013
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0181086
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.150625
  70. volume_ema1 : 112960.55208835
  71. volume_ema2 : 98173.2019671
  72. chop : 38.4913
  73. regime : range_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    87166.7
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00221171
  78. 5m_price: 
    87359.5
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.638532
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    87558.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00276965
  83. 15m_price: 
    87315.6
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.048996
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    86566.4
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00916125
  88. 1H_price: 
    87359.5
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.140928
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 08:00:00
                    [1] => 170.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 10:00:00
                    [1] => 170.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 12:00:00
                    [1] => 170.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 14:00:00
                    [1] => 170.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 20:00:00
                    [1] => 170.02
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 22:00:00
                    [1] => 180.42
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-24 09:00:00
                    [1] => 165.96
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-24 16:00:00
                    [1] => 180.31
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 07:00:00
                    [1] => 177.35
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 14:00:00
                    [1] => 167.84
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.588102621934
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9313632030505
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.6661105815062
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-24 19:15:00
                    [1] => 176.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-24 21:30:00
                    [1] => 174.72
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-24 23:45:00
                    [1] => 179
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 04:15:00
                    [1] => 172.48
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 07:30:00
                    [1] => 177.35
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 09:30:00
                    [1] => 176.97
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 10:15:00
                    [1] => 171.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 12:30:00
                    [1] => 177
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 14:30:00
                    [1] => 167.84
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 15:45:00
                    [1] => 172.76
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9313632030505
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.9313632030505
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 09:50:00
                    [1] => 172.23
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 10:20:00
                    [1] => 171.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 10:45:00
                    [1] => 173.8
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 11:55:00
                    [1] => 176.07
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 12:35:00
                    [1] => 177
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 12:55:00
                    [1] => 172.75
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 13:30:00
                    [1] => 174.76
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 14:35:00
                    [1] => 167.84
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 14:55:00
                    [1] => 170.14
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 15:55:00
                    [1] => 172.76
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9313632030505
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5399083108029
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.93%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
16 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.54%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.3580
1.93%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.2260
1.31%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-25 09:50:00 172.23 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 10:20:00 171.07 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 10:45:00 173.8 ↑ High
2025-11-25 11:55:00 176.07 ↑ High
2025-11-25 12:35:00 177 ↑ High
2025-11-25 12:55:00 172.75 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 13:30:00 174.76 ↑ High
2025-11-25 14:35:00 167.84 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 14:55:00 170.14 ↑ High
2025-11-25 15:55:00 172.76 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.93%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.93%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.3580
3.09%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.2260
1.31%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-24 19:15:00 176.34 ↓ Low
2025-11-24 21:30:00 174.72 ↓ Low
2025-11-24 23:45:00 179 ↑ High
2025-11-25 04:15:00 172.48 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 07:30:00 177.35 ↑ High
2025-11-25 09:30:00 176.97 ↑ High
2025-11-25 10:15:00 171.07 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 12:30:00 177 ↑ High
2025-11-25 14:30:00 167.84 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 15:45:00 172.76 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.59%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.93%
Bars Since Swing High
8 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.67%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
6.7780
3.90%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.1060
2.41%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-23 08:00:00 170.3 ↑ High
2025-11-23 10:00:00 170.3 ↑ High
2025-11-23 12:00:00 170.3 ↑ High
2025-11-23 14:00:00 170.3 ↑ High
2025-11-23 20:00:00 170.02 ↓ Low
2025-11-23 22:00:00 180.42 ↑ High
2025-11-24 09:00:00 165.96 ↓ Low
2025-11-24 16:00:00 180.31 ↑ High
2025-11-25 07:00:00 177.35 ↑ High
2025-11-25 14:00:00 167.84 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
25 Nov 2025
15:58:11		 25 Nov 2025
16:05:00		 6 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
172.45 173.642 170.066 2 126
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 172.45
  • Stop Loss: 173.642
  • Take Profit: 170.066

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 173.642 - 172.45 = 1.192

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 172.45 - 170.066 = 2.384

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.384 / 1.192 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1157.3687 100 6.7113 11.57
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.192

Taille de position = 8 / 1.192 = 6.71

Taille de position USD = 6.71 x 172.45 = 1157.14

Donc, tu peux acheter 6.71 avec un stoploss a 173.642

Avec un position size USD de 1157.14$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 6.71 x 1.192 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 6.71 x 2.384 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 6.71
  • Taille de position USD 1157.14
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.38 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.69 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.69
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0206 % 147.66 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 170.066
            [entry_price] => 172.45
            [stop_loss] => 173.7612
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-25 16:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 170.066
            [entry_price] => 172.45
            [stop_loss] => 173.8804
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-25 16:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 170.066
            [entry_price] => 172.45
            [stop_loss] => 173.9996
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-25 16:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 170.066
            [entry_price] => 172.45
            [stop_loss] => 174.238
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-25 20:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.5
            [max_drawdown] => 1.76
            [rr_ratio] => 0.28
            [high] => 174.21000000
            [low] => 171.95000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.29
            [mae_pct] => 1.02
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.28
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-25T15:58:11-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-25T17:58:11-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.5
            [max_drawdown] => 2.57
            [rr_ratio] => 0.19
            [high] => 175.02000000
            [low] => 171.95000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.29
            [mae_pct] => 1.49
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.19
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-25T15:58:11-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-25T22:58:11-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 177.00000000
            [high_after] => 175.02000000
            [low_before] => 167.84000000
            [low_after] => 171.95000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)