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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 25 Nov 2025 at 16:08:03

Take profit at 170.9763 (1.42 %) and Stop Loss at 174.6718 (0.71 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 25 Nov 2025 at 16:08:03

With 6.4943 MSTR at 173.44$ per unit.

Position size of 1126.3777 $

Take profit at 170.9763 (1.42 %) and Stop Loss at 174.6718 (0.71 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.32
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.7
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.36
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.7
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : range_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : range_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.628029

15m : 0.117946

1H : -0.003088

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.14
  4. atr: 0.8212283659
Details
  1. score: 1.14
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 173.064
  4. ema21 : 174.071
  5. ema50 : 174.16
  6. ema100 : 173.576
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00217134
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00578403
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000513881
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.000784601
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.124754
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0789382
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0184644
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.000641877
  17. rsi : 0.477154
  18. adx : 0.203074
  19. kc_percentage : 0.448933
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0659361
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.157672
  22. volume_ema1 : 1019393.8455917
  23. volume_ema2 : 880554.28685365
  24. chop : 44.3787
  25. regime : range_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 171.553
  28. ema21 : 172.085
  29. ema50 : 173.436
  30. ema100 : 174.734
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0109974
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00309036
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00779126
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00740918
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.130473
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.110772
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0742089
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0494978
  41. rsi : 0.541181
  42. adx : 0.184485
  43. kc_percentage : 0.714031
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0380731
  45. volume_ema_diff : 0.393741
  46. volume_ema1 : 426403.80947156
  47. volume_ema2 : 305941.83625123
  48. chop : 35.6006
  49. regime : range_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 172.135
  52. ema21 : 171.326
  53. ema50 : 171.751
  54. ema100 : 172.813
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00758101
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0047203
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00247593
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00362768
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.138746
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0536772
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0051269
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0173672
  65. rsi : 0.694036
  66. adx : 0.301853
  67. kc_percentage : 1.13826
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0189201
  69. volume_ema_diff : 1.30663
  70. volume_ema1 : 271047.40489112
  71. volume_ema2 : 117507.50833973
  72. chop : 27.1859
  73. regime : range_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    87151.6
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.000193775
  78. 5m_price: 
    87134.8
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.628029
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    87581.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00509597
  83. 15m_price: 
    87134.8
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.117946
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    86535.9
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00692002
  88. 1H_price: 
    87134.8
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.003088
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 08:00:00
                    [1] => 170.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 10:00:00
                    [1] => 170.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 12:00:00
                    [1] => 170.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 14:00:00
                    [1] => 170.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 20:00:00
                    [1] => 170.02
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 22:00:00
                    [1] => 180.42
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-24 09:00:00
                    [1] => 165.96
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-24 16:00:00
                    [1] => 180.31
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 07:00:00
                    [1] => 177.35
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 14:00:00
                    [1] => 167.84
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.0637158161827
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.4854623450906
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.6661105815062
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-24 19:15:00
                    [1] => 176.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-24 21:30:00
                    [1] => 174.72
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-24 23:45:00
                    [1] => 179
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 04:15:00
                    [1] => 172.48
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 07:30:00
                    [1] => 177.35
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 09:30:00
                    [1] => 176.97
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 10:15:00
                    [1] => 171.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 12:30:00
                    [1] => 177
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 14:30:00
                    [1] => 167.84
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 16:00:00
                    [1] => 174.21
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.29849032776535
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.4854623450906
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.7952812202097
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 09:50:00
                    [1] => 172.23
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 10:20:00
                    [1] => 171.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 10:45:00
                    [1] => 173.8
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 11:55:00
                    [1] => 176.07
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 12:35:00
                    [1] => 177
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 12:55:00
                    [1] => 172.75
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 13:30:00
                    [1] => 174.76
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 14:35:00
                    [1] => 167.84
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 14:55:00
                    [1] => 170.14
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 16:05:00
                    [1] => 174.21
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.29849032776535
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.4854623450906
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 18
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.3921476431174
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.30%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.49%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
18 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.39%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.3282
1.33%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.1363
1.83%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-25 09:50:00 172.23 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 10:20:00 171.07 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 10:45:00 173.8 ↑ High
2025-11-25 11:55:00 176.07 ↑ High
2025-11-25 12:35:00 177 ↑ High
2025-11-25 12:55:00 172.75 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 13:30:00 174.76 ↑ High
2025-11-25 14:35:00 167.84 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 14:55:00 170.14 ↑ High
2025-11-25 16:05:00 174.21 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.30%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.49%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.80%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
4.3282
2.48%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.1363
1.83%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-24 19:15:00 176.34 ↓ Low
2025-11-24 21:30:00 174.72 ↓ Low
2025-11-24 23:45:00 179 ↑ High
2025-11-25 04:15:00 172.48 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 07:30:00 177.35 ↑ High
2025-11-25 09:30:00 176.97 ↑ High
2025-11-25 10:15:00 171.07 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 12:30:00 177 ↑ High
2025-11-25 14:30:00 167.84 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 16:00:00 174.21 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.06%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.49%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.67%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.7482
3.29%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.0163
2.93%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-23 08:00:00 170.3 ↑ High
2025-11-23 10:00:00 170.3 ↑ High
2025-11-23 12:00:00 170.3 ↑ High
2025-11-23 14:00:00 170.3 ↑ High
2025-11-23 20:00:00 170.02 ↓ Low
2025-11-23 22:00:00 180.42 ↑ High
2025-11-24 09:00:00 165.96 ↓ Low
2025-11-24 16:00:00 180.31 ↑ High
2025-11-25 07:00:00 177.35 ↑ High
2025-11-25 14:00:00 167.84 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
25 Nov 2025
16:08:03		 25 Nov 2025
20:40:00		 4 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
173.44 174.6718 170.9763 2 128.09
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 173.44
  • Stop Loss: 174.6718
  • Take Profit: 170.9763

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 174.6718 - 173.44 = 1.2318

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 173.44 - 170.9763 = 2.4637

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.4637 / 1.2318 = 2.0001

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1126.3777 100 6.4943 11.26
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.2318

Taille de position = 8 / 1.2318 = 6.49

Taille de position USD = 6.49 x 173.44 = 1125.63

Donc, tu peux acheter 6.49 avec un stoploss a 174.6718

Avec un position size USD de 1125.63$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 6.49 x 1.2318 = 7.99

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 6.49 x 2.4637 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 6.49
  • Taille de position USD 1125.63
  • Perte potentielle 7.99
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0001

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.42 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.71 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.71
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.8994 % 126.64 % 17

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 170.9763
            [entry_price] => 173.44
            [stop_loss] => 174.79498
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-25 20:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 170.9763
            [entry_price] => 173.44
            [stop_loss] => 174.91816
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-25 20:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.49
            [max_drawdown] => 0.68000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 2.19
            [high] => 174.12000000
            [low] => 171.95000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.86
            [mae_pct] => 0.39
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.19
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-25T16:08:03-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-25T18:08:03-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.49
            [max_drawdown] => 1.58
            [rr_ratio] => 0.94
            [high] => 175.02000000
            [low] => 171.95000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.86
            [mae_pct] => 0.91
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.94
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-25T16:08:03-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-25T23:08:03-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 177.00000000
            [high_after] => 175.02000000
            [low_before] => 167.84000000
            [low_after] => 171.95000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)