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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 25 Nov 2025 at 16:21:59

Take profit at 171.2983 (1.33 %) and Stop Loss at 174.7659 (0.67 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 25 Nov 2025 at 16:21:59

With 6.9212 MSTR at 173.61$ per unit.

Position size of 1201.5901 $

Take profit at 171.2983 (1.33 %) and Stop Loss at 174.7659 (0.67 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 4.71
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.52
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.35
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.77
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : range_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : range_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.618041

15m : -0.111373

1H : 0.101323

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.07
  4. atr: 0.7705788934
Details
  1. score: 1.07
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 173.098
  4. ema21 : 174.086
  5. ema50 : 174.167
  6. ema100 : 173.579
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0029566
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00567699
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000463405
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.000175398
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.123142
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0782054
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0181462
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.000803506
  17. rsi : 0.481769
  18. adx : 0.203074
  19. kc_percentage : 0.462382
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0658715
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.373139
  22. volume_ema1 : 1245679.8846917
  23. volume_ema2 : 907176.17380659
  24. chop : 44.3787
  25. regime : range_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 171.91
  28. ema21 : 172.198
  29. ema50 : 173.423
  30. ema100 : 174.645
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00988492
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00166974
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.007067
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00593069
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.110915
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.10372
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0723783
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0484207
  41. rsi : 0.540716
  42. adx : 0.184495
  43. kc_percentage : 0.737548
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0353842
  45. volume_ema_diff : 0.392879
  46. volume_ema1 : 448321.19635882
  47. volume_ema2 : 321866.49825386
  48. chop : 45.2843
  49. regime : range_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 172.815
  52. ema21 : 171.875
  53. ema50 : 171.947
  54. ema100 : 172.807
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00459761
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00546998
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000417468
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00464157
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.170035
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.090804
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0184018
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00412154
  65. rsi : 0.681851
  66. adx : 0.315117
  67. kc_percentage : 1.06528
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0172911
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.432404
  70. volume_ema1 : 184999.86255539
  71. volume_ema2 : 129153.33107105
  72. chop : 28.685
  73. regime : range_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    87147.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00102488
  78. 5m_price: 
    87236.6
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.618041
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    87581.3
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00401077
  83. 15m_price: 
    87230.1
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.111373
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    86537.9
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00807293
  88. 1H_price: 
    87236.6
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.101323
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 08:00:00
                    [1] => 170.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 10:00:00
                    [1] => 170.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 12:00:00
                    [1] => 170.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 14:00:00
                    [1] => 170.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 20:00:00
                    [1] => 170.02
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 22:00:00
                    [1] => 180.42
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-24 09:00:00
                    [1] => 165.96
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-24 16:00:00
                    [1] => 180.31
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 07:00:00
                    [1] => 177.35
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 14:00:00
                    [1] => 167.84
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.2948970961376
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.2411820781697
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.6661105815062
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-24 19:15:00
                    [1] => 176.34
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-24 21:30:00
                    [1] => 174.72
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-24 23:45:00
                    [1] => 179
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 04:15:00
                    [1] => 172.48
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 07:30:00
                    [1] => 177.35
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 09:30:00
                    [1] => 176.97
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 10:15:00
                    [1] => 171.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 12:30:00
                    [1] => 177
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 14:30:00
                    [1] => 167.84
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 16:00:00
                    [1] => 174.21
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.53383847081109
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.2411820781697
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.7952812202097
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 09:50:00
                    [1] => 172.23
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 10:20:00
                    [1] => 171.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 10:45:00
                    [1] => 173.8
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 11:55:00
                    [1] => 176.07
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 12:35:00
                    [1] => 177
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 12:55:00
                    [1] => 172.75
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 13:30:00
                    [1] => 174.76
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 14:35:00
                    [1] => 167.84
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 14:55:00
                    [1] => 170.14
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 16:05:00
                    [1] => 174.21
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.53383847081109
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.2411820781697
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 21
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.3921476431174
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.53%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.24%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
21 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.39%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.2341
1.28%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.4583
2.02%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-25 09:50:00 172.23 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 10:20:00 171.07 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 10:45:00 173.8 ↑ High
2025-11-25 11:55:00 176.07 ↑ High
2025-11-25 12:35:00 177 ↑ High
2025-11-25 12:55:00 172.75 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 13:30:00 174.76 ↑ High
2025-11-25 14:35:00 167.84 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 14:55:00 170.14 ↑ High
2025-11-25 16:05:00 174.21 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.53%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.24%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.80%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
4.2341
2.42%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.4583
2.02%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-24 19:15:00 176.34 ↓ Low
2025-11-24 21:30:00 174.72 ↓ Low
2025-11-24 23:45:00 179 ↑ High
2025-11-25 04:15:00 172.48 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 07:30:00 177.35 ↑ High
2025-11-25 09:30:00 176.97 ↑ High
2025-11-25 10:15:00 171.07 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 12:30:00 177 ↑ High
2025-11-25 14:30:00 167.84 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 16:00:00 174.21 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.29%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.24%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.67%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.6541
3.24%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.3383
3.12%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-23 08:00:00 170.3 ↑ High
2025-11-23 10:00:00 170.3 ↑ High
2025-11-23 12:00:00 170.3 ↑ High
2025-11-23 14:00:00 170.3 ↑ High
2025-11-23 20:00:00 170.02 ↓ Low
2025-11-23 22:00:00 180.42 ↑ High
2025-11-24 09:00:00 165.96 ↓ Low
2025-11-24 16:00:00 180.31 ↑ High
2025-11-25 07:00:00 177.35 ↑ High
2025-11-25 14:00:00 167.84 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
25 Nov 2025
16:21:59		 25 Nov 2025
20:40:00		 4 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
173.61 174.7659 171.2983 2 129.5
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 173.61
  • Stop Loss: 174.7659
  • Take Profit: 171.2983

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 174.7659 - 173.61 = 1.1559

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 173.61 - 171.2983 = 2.3117

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.3117 / 1.1559 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1201.5901 100 6.9212 12.02
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.1559

Taille de position = 8 / 1.1559 = 6.92

Taille de position USD = 6.92 x 173.61 = 1201.38

Donc, tu peux acheter 6.92 avec un stoploss a 174.7659

Avec un position size USD de 1201.38$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 6.92 x 1.1559 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 6.92 x 2.3117 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 6.92
  • Taille de position USD 1201.38
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.33 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.67 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.67
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.8006 % 120.25 % 7

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.2983
            [entry_price] => 173.61
            [stop_loss] => 174.88149
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-25 20:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 171.2983
            [entry_price] => 173.61
            [stop_loss] => 174.99708
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-25 20:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.66
            [max_drawdown] => 0.25999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 6.38
            [high] => 173.87000000
            [low] => 171.95000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.96
            [mae_pct] => 0.15
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.38
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-25T16:21:59-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-25T18:21:59-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.66
            [max_drawdown] => 1.41
            [rr_ratio] => 1.18
            [high] => 175.02000000
            [low] => 171.95000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.96
            [mae_pct] => 0.81
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.18
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-25T16:21:59-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-25T23:21:59-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 177.00000000
            [high_after] => 175.02000000
            [low_before] => 167.84000000
            [low_after] => 171.95000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)