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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 25 Nov 2025 at 18:15:55

Take profit at 172.4219 (0.79 %) and Stop Loss at 174.4741 (0.39 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 25 Nov 2025 at 18:15:55

With 11.6947 MSTR at 173.79$ per unit.

Position size of 2032.4208 $

Take profit at 172.4219 (0.79 %) and Stop Loss at 174.4741 (0.39 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 4.55
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.92
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.62
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.56
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : range_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.540255

15m : 0.091047

1H : 0.125157

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 0.4560472859
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 173.28
  4. ema21 : 173.997
  5. ema50 : 174.067
  6. ema100 : 173.186
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00294101
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00412142
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000403044
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.00348322
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.111019
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0804314
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0223064
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.00222203
  17. rsi : 0.487985
  18. adx : 0.190368
  19. kc_percentage : 0.483641
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0583397
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.136654
  22. volume_ema1 : 750733.88746667
  23. volume_ema2 : 869563.53457525
  24. chop : 45.8964
  25. regime : range_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 173.038
  28. ema21 : 172.717
  29. ema50 : 173.374
  30. ema100 : 174.673
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00434113
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00185781
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00378817
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00506014
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.130782
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0410784
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.00932439
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0210941
  41. rsi : 0.555773
  42. adx : 0.138048
  43. kc_percentage : 0.753024
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0244359
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.646797
  46. volume_ema1 : 92878.391189213
  47. volume_ema2 : 262961.04080954
  48. chop : 49.6523
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 173.27
  52. ema21 : 172.934
  53. ema50 : 172.535
  54. ema100 : 172.568
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00299821
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00194031
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00231529
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00707758
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0335428
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0253463
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0171184
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0067455
  65. rsi : 0.624455
  66. adx : 0.212159
  67. kc_percentage : 1.0108
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00935124
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.746196
  70. volume_ema1 : 19501.307189075
  71. volume_ema2 : 76836.134338954
  72. chop : 53.4961
  73. regime : bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    87031.4
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00812121
  78. 5m_price: 
    87738.3
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.540255
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    87527.7
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00240512
  83. 15m_price: 
    87738.3
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.091047
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    86575
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0134363
  88. 1H_price: 
    87738.3
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.125157
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 08:00:00
                    [1] => 170.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 10:00:00
                    [1] => 170.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 12:00:00
                    [1] => 170.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 14:00:00
                    [1] => 170.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 20:00:00
                    [1] => 170.02
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 22:00:00
                    [1] => 180.42
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-24 09:00:00
                    [1] => 165.96
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-24 16:00:00
                    [1] => 180.31
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 07:00:00
                    [1] => 177.35
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 14:00:00
                    [1] => 167.84
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.2215957146885
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3186367969495
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.6661105815062
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-24 23:45:00
                    [1] => 179
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 04:15:00
                    [1] => 172.48
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 07:30:00
                    [1] => 177.35
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 09:30:00
                    [1] => 176.97
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 10:15:00
                    [1] => 171.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 12:30:00
                    [1] => 177
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 14:30:00
                    [1] => 167.84
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 16:00:00
                    [1] => 174.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 17:15:00
                    [1] => 171.95
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 18:15:00
                    [1] => 173.79
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.21865469819897
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.849084036057
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0700785111951
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 10:45:00
                    [1] => 173.8
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 11:55:00
                    [1] => 176.07
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 12:35:00
                    [1] => 177
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 12:55:00
                    [1] => 172.75
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 13:30:00
                    [1] => 174.76
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 14:35:00
                    [1] => 167.84
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 14:55:00
                    [1] => 170.14
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 16:05:00
                    [1] => 174.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 17:15:00
                    [1] => 171.95
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 18:15:00
                    [1] => 173.79
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.21865469819897
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.849084036057
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0700785111951
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.22%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.85%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.07%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.5259
1.45%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.5819
2.66%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-25 10:45:00 173.8 ↑ High
2025-11-25 11:55:00 176.07 ↑ High
2025-11-25 12:35:00 177 ↑ High
2025-11-25 12:55:00 172.75 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 13:30:00 174.76 ↑ High
2025-11-25 14:35:00 167.84 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 14:55:00 170.14 ↑ High
2025-11-25 16:05:00 174.21 ↑ High
2025-11-25 17:15:00 171.95 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 18:15:00 173.79 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.22%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.85%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.07%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
4.5259
2.59%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.5819
2.66%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-24 23:45:00 179 ↑ High
2025-11-25 04:15:00 172.48 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 07:30:00 177.35 ↑ High
2025-11-25 09:30:00 176.97 ↑ High
2025-11-25 10:15:00 171.07 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 12:30:00 177 ↑ High
2025-11-25 14:30:00 167.84 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 16:00:00 174.21 ↑ High
2025-11-25 17:15:00 171.95 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 18:15:00 173.79 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.22%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.32%
Bars Since Swing High
11 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.67%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.9459
3.41%
TP to Pivot Distance
6.4619
3.75%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-23 08:00:00 170.3 ↑ High
2025-11-23 10:00:00 170.3 ↑ High
2025-11-23 12:00:00 170.3 ↑ High
2025-11-23 14:00:00 170.3 ↑ High
2025-11-23 20:00:00 170.02 ↓ Low
2025-11-23 22:00:00 180.42 ↑ High
2025-11-24 09:00:00 165.96 ↓ Low
2025-11-24 16:00:00 180.31 ↑ High
2025-11-25 07:00:00 177.35 ↑ High
2025-11-25 14:00:00 167.84 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
25 Nov 2025
18:15:55		 25 Nov 2025
20:40:00		 2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
173.79 174.4741 172.4219 2 133.59
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 173.79
  • Stop Loss: 174.4741
  • Take Profit: 172.4219

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 174.4741 - 173.79 = 0.6841

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 173.79 - 172.4219 = 1.3681

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.3681 / 0.6841 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2032.4208 100 11.6947 20.32
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.6841

Taille de position = 8 / 0.6841 = 11.69

Taille de position USD = 11.69 x 173.79 = 2031.61

Donc, tu peux acheter 11.69 avec un stoploss a 174.4741

Avec un position size USD de 2031.61$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 11.69 x 0.6841 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 11.69 x 1.3681 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 11.69
  • Taille de position USD 2031.61
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.79 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.39 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.39
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6962 % 176.88 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.4219
            [entry_price] => 173.79
            [stop_loss] => 174.54251
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-25 20:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.4219
            [entry_price] => 173.79
            [stop_loss] => 174.61092
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-25 20:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.4219
            [entry_price] => 173.79
            [stop_loss] => 174.67933
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-25 20:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.4219
            [entry_price] => 173.79
            [stop_loss] => 174.81615
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-25 20:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.12
            [max_drawdown] => 0.090000000000003
            [rr_ratio] => 12.44
            [high] => 173.88000000
            [low] => 172.67000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.64
            [mae_pct] => 0.05
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 12.44
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-25T18:15:55-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-25T20:15:55-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.12
            [max_drawdown] => 1.23
            [rr_ratio] => 0.91
            [high] => 175.02000000
            [low] => 172.67000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.64
            [mae_pct] => 0.71
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.91
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-25T18:15:55-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-26T01:15:55-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 174.21000000
            [high_after] => 175.02000000
            [low_before] => 167.84000000
            [low_after] => 172.67000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)