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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 25 Nov 2025 at 19:27:34

Take profit at 172.7456 (0.45 %) and Stop Loss at 173.9222 (0.23 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 25 Nov 2025 at 19:27:34

With 20.399 MSTR at 173.53$ per unit.

Position size of 3539.8311 $

Take profit at 172.7456 (0.45 %) and Stop Loss at 173.9222 (0.23 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.56
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.81
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.54
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.69
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : range_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : range_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.50189

15m : -0.095867

1H : 0.07217

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.02
  4. atr: 0.2614512656
Details
  1. score: 1.02
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 173.173
  4. ema21 : 173.874
  5. ema50 : 174.041
  6. ema100 : 173.408
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00205861
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0040295
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000960595
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.000699838
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.123476
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0893587
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0294978
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.00452943
  17. rsi : 0.483269
  18. adx : 0.187596
  19. kc_percentage : 0.468617
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0552602
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.369851
  22. volume_ema1 : 513863.15735556
  23. volume_ema2 : 815463.26585302
  24. chop : 46.4951
  25. regime : range_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 173.019
  28. ema21 : 172.792
  29. ema50 : 173.283
  30. ema100 : 174.35
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00295154
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00131401
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00283698
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00470548
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0555958
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0295929
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.00645029
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0166748
  41. rsi : 0.530455
  42. adx : 0.118006
  43. kc_percentage : 0.725137
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0188287
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.888116
  46. volume_ema1 : 25185.414723384
  47. volume_ema2 : 225104.84604003
  48. chop : 79.2156
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 173.211
  52. ema21 : 173.079
  53. ema50 : 172.768
  54. ema100 : 172.615
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00183915
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000759997
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00180032
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00529893
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : -0.00162784
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00499086
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00964964
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00610211
  65. rsi : 0.615871
  66. adx : 0.190334
  67. kc_percentage : 1.02399
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00482224
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.952689
  70. volume_ema1 : 1985.9235608928
  71. volume_ema2 : 41976.819455913
  72. chop : 59.8966
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    87197.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00391357
  78. 5m_price: 
    87538.5
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.50189
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    87459.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00103953
  83. 15m_price: 
    87550.1
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.095867
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    86669.4
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.010027
  88. 1H_price: 
    87538.5
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.07217
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 08:00:00
                    [1] => 170.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 10:00:00
                    [1] => 170.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 12:00:00
                    [1] => 170.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 14:00:00
                    [1] => 170.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 20:00:00
                    [1] => 170.02
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 22:00:00
                    [1] => 180.42
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-24 09:00:00
                    [1] => 165.96
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-24 16:00:00
                    [1] => 180.31
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 07:00:00
                    [1] => 177.35
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 14:00:00
                    [1] => 167.84
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.1539329010431
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.3901334604385
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.6661105815062
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-24 23:45:00
                    [1] => 179
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 04:15:00
                    [1] => 172.48
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 07:30:00
                    [1] => 177.35
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 09:30:00
                    [1] => 176.97
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 10:15:00
                    [1] => 171.07
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 12:30:00
                    [1] => 177
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 14:30:00
                    [1] => 167.84
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 16:00:00
                    [1] => 174.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 17:15:00
                    [1] => 171.95
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 18:15:00
                    [1] => 173.79
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14960584613614
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.91887176504799
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.0700785111951
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 12:35:00
                    [1] => 177
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 12:55:00
                    [1] => 172.75
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 13:30:00
                    [1] => 174.76
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 14:35:00
                    [1] => 167.84
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 14:55:00
                    [1] => 170.14
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 16:05:00
                    [1] => 174.21
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 17:15:00
                    [1] => 171.95
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 18:15:00
                    [1] => 173.79
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 18:50:00
                    [1] => 172.67
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 19:25:00
                    [1] => 173.53
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.49805988301385
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.49805988301385
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.50%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.50%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.0778
1.77%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.9056
2.84%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-25 12:35:00 177 ↑ High
2025-11-25 12:55:00 172.75 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 13:30:00 174.76 ↑ High
2025-11-25 14:35:00 167.84 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 14:55:00 170.14 ↑ High
2025-11-25 16:05:00 174.21 ↑ High
2025-11-25 17:15:00 171.95 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 18:15:00 173.79 ↑ High
2025-11-25 18:50:00 172.67 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 19:25:00 173.53 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.92%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.07%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.0778
2.92%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.9056
2.84%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-24 23:45:00 179 ↑ High
2025-11-25 04:15:00 172.48 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 07:30:00 177.35 ↑ High
2025-11-25 09:30:00 176.97 ↑ High
2025-11-25 10:15:00 171.07 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 12:30:00 177 ↑ High
2025-11-25 14:30:00 167.84 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 16:00:00 174.21 ↑ High
2025-11-25 17:15:00 171.95 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 18:15:00 173.79 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.39%
Bars Since Swing High
12 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.67%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
6.4978
3.74%
TP to Pivot Distance
6.7856
3.93%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-23 08:00:00 170.3 ↑ High
2025-11-23 10:00:00 170.3 ↑ High
2025-11-23 12:00:00 170.3 ↑ High
2025-11-23 14:00:00 170.3 ↑ High
2025-11-23 20:00:00 170.02 ↓ Low
2025-11-23 22:00:00 180.42 ↑ High
2025-11-24 09:00:00 165.96 ↓ Low
2025-11-24 16:00:00 180.31 ↑ High
2025-11-25 07:00:00 177.35 ↑ High
2025-11-25 14:00:00 167.84 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
25 Nov 2025
19:27:34		 25 Nov 2025
20:25:00		 57 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
173.53 173.9222 172.7456 2 128.89
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 173.53
  • Stop Loss: 173.9222
  • Take Profit: 172.7456

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 173.9222 - 173.53 = 0.3922

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 173.53 - 172.7456 = 0.78440000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.78440000000001 / 0.3922 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3539.8311 100 20.399 35.40
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.3922

Taille de position = 8 / 0.3922 = 20.4

Taille de position USD = 20.4 x 173.53 = 3540.01

Donc, tu peux acheter 20.4 avec un stoploss a 173.9222

Avec un position size USD de 3540.01$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 20.4 x 0.3922 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 20.4 x 0.78440000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 20.4
  • Taille de position USD 3540.01
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.45 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.23 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.23
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2708 % 119.82 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.7456
            [entry_price] => 173.53
            [stop_loss] => 173.96142
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-25 20:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.7456
            [entry_price] => 173.53
            [stop_loss] => 174.00064
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-25 20:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.7456
            [entry_price] => 173.53
            [stop_loss] => 174.03986
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-25 20:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 172.7456
            [entry_price] => 173.53
            [stop_loss] => 174.1183
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-25 20:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.44
            [max_drawdown] => 1.49
            [rr_ratio] => 0.3
            [high] => 175.02000000
            [low] => 173.09000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.25
            [mae_pct] => 0.86
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.3
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-25T19:27:34-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-25T21:27:34-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.81
            [max_drawdown] => 1.49
            [rr_ratio] => 0.54
            [high] => 175.02000000
            [low] => 172.72000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.47
            [mae_pct] => 0.86
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.54
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-25T19:27:34-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-26T02:27:34-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 174.21000000
            [high_after] => 175.02000000
            [low_before] => 169.81000000
            [low_after] => 172.72000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)