Short Trade on ARC 26 Nov 2025 at 03:09:07
Take profit at 0.03008 (6.06 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03299 (3.03 %)
Short Trade on ARC 26 Nov 2025 at 03:09:07
Take profit at 0.03008 (6.06 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03299 (3.03 %)
Position size of 264.1404 $
Take profit at 0.03008 (6.06 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03299 (3.03 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.72 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.69 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.75 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.01165 15m : 0.169788 1H : 0.050647 |
0 |
Indicators:
87546.2
0.00144837
87673
0.01165
87446.1
0.00259395
87673
0.169788
86692.3
0.0113115
87673
0.050647
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Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-25 19:05:00 | 0.0354 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-25 20:20:00 | 0.03485 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-25 20:40:00 | 0.03605 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-25 21:05:00 | 0.03463 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-25 23:30:00 | 0.03207 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-26 00:25:00 | 0.02773 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-26 01:35:00 | 0.03084 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-26 01:45:00 | 0.02902 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-26 02:55:00 | 0.03026 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-26 03:00:00 | 0.03257 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-25 02:30:00 | 0.04422 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-25 03:00:00 | 0.04195 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-25 06:30:00 | 0.04242 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-25 07:00:00 | 0.05411 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-25 08:45:00 | 0.05533 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-25 10:45:00 | 0.05499 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-25 11:15:00 | 0.04965 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-25 13:15:00 | 0.05696 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-26 00:15:00 | 0.02773 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-26 03:00:00 | 0.03257 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 00:00:00 | 0.03311 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-22 07:00:00 | 0.04089 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-23 22:00:00 | 0.02418 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-24 02:00:00 | 0.03239 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-24 12:00:00 | 0.03379 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-25 13:00:00 | 0.05696 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-26 00:00:00 | 0.02773 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov 2025 03:09:07 |
26 Nov 2025 03:25:00 |
15 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03202 | 0.03299 | 0.03008 | 2 | 0.03185 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03299 - 0.03202 = 0.00097
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03202 - 0.03008 = 0.00194
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00194 / 0.00097 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 264.1404 | 100 | 8249.2318 | 2.64 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00097 = 8247.42
Taille de position USD = 8247.42 x 0.03202 = 264.08
Donc, tu peux acheter 8247.42 avec un stoploss a 0.03299
Avec un position size USD de 264.08$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 8247.42 x 0.00097 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 8247.42 x 0.00194 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.06 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.03 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -3.03 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.4035 % | 145.36 % | 2 |
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