Short Trade on ARC 26 Nov 2025 at 03:17:56
Take profit at 0.03048 (6.1 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03345 (3.05 %)
Short Trade on ARC 26 Nov 2025 at 03:17:56
Take profit at 0.03048 (6.1 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03345 (3.05 %)
Position size of 262.3972 $
Take profit at 0.03048 (6.1 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03345 (3.05 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.55 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.64 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.055082 15m : -0.124967 1H : -0.024168 |
0 |
Indicators:
87577.6
-0.000157146
87563.9
0.055082
87446.1
0.00134609
87563.9
-0.124967
86690.2
0.0100782
87563.9
-0.024168
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 00:00:00
[1] => 0.03311
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 07:00:00
[1] => 0.04089
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-23 22:00:00
[1] => 0.02418
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 02:00:00
[1] => 0.03239
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 12:00:00
[1] => 0.03379
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 13:00:00
[1] => 0.05696
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 00:00:00
[1] => 0.02773
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -42.661516853933
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 17.778579156149
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 14
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 105.40930400288
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 02:30:00
[1] => 0.04422
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 03:00:00
[1] => 0.04195
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 06:30:00
[1] => 0.04242
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 07:00:00
[1] => 0.05411
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 08:45:00
[1] => 0.05533
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 10:45:00
[1] => 0.05499
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 11:15:00
[1] => 0.04965
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 13:15:00
[1] => 0.05696
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 00:15:00
[1] => 0.02773
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 03:15:00
[1] => 0.03288
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.66909975669099
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 17.778579156149
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 18.571943743238
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 19:05:00
[1] => 0.0354
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 20:20:00
[1] => 0.03485
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 20:40:00
[1] => 0.03605
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 21:05:00
[1] => 0.03463
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 23:30:00
[1] => 0.03207
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 00:25:00
[1] => 0.02773
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 01:35:00
[1] => 0.03084
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 01:45:00
[1] => 0.02902
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 02:55:00
[1] => 0.03026
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 03:15:00
[1] => 0.03288
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.66909975669099
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.9312623925975
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.6582947785856
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-25 19:05:00 | 0.0354 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-25 20:20:00 | 0.03485 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-25 20:40:00 | 0.03605 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-25 21:05:00 | 0.03463 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-25 23:30:00 | 0.03207 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-26 00:25:00 | 0.02773 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-26 01:35:00 | 0.03084 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-26 01:45:00 | 0.02902 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-26 02:55:00 | 0.03026 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-26 03:15:00 | 0.03288 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-25 02:30:00 | 0.04422 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-25 03:00:00 | 0.04195 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-25 06:30:00 | 0.04242 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-25 07:00:00 | 0.05411 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-25 08:45:00 | 0.05533 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-25 10:45:00 | 0.05499 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-25 11:15:00 | 0.04965 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-25 13:15:00 | 0.05696 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-26 00:15:00 | 0.02773 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-26 03:15:00 | 0.03288 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 00:00:00 | 0.03311 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-22 07:00:00 | 0.04089 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-23 22:00:00 | 0.02418 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-24 02:00:00 | 0.03239 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-24 12:00:00 | 0.03379 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-25 13:00:00 | 0.05696 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-26 00:00:00 | 0.02773 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov 2025 03:17:56 |
26 Nov 2025 03:30:00 |
12 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03246 | 0.03345 | 0.03048 | 2 | 0.03406 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03345 - 0.03246 = 0.00099
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03246 - 0.03048 = 0.00198
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00198 / 0.00099 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 262.3972 | 100 | 8083.71 | 2.62 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00099 = 8080.81
Taille de position USD = 8080.81 x 0.03246 = 262.3
Donc, tu peux acheter 8080.81 avec un stoploss a 0.03345
Avec un position size USD de 262.3$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 8080.81 x 0.00099 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 8080.81 x 0.00198 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.1 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.05 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -3.05 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.6352 % | 119.19 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.03048
[entry_price] => 0.03246
[stop_loss] => 0.033549
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-11-26 03:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.03048
[entry_price] => 0.03246
[stop_loss] => 0.033648
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-26 03:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.03048
[entry_price] => 0.03246
[stop_loss] => 0.033747
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-26 03:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.03048
[entry_price] => 0.03246
[stop_loss] => 0.033945
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-26 03:40:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00413
[max_drawdown] => 0.00545
[rr_ratio] => 0.76
[high] => 0.03791000
[low] => 0.02833000
[mfe_pct] => 12.72
[mae_pct] => 16.79
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.76
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-26T03:17:56-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-26T05:17:56-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00629
[max_drawdown] => 0.00545
[rr_ratio] => 1.15
[high] => 0.03791000
[low] => 0.02617000
[mfe_pct] => 19.38
[mae_pct] => 16.79
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.15
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-26T03:17:56-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-26T10:17:56-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.03288000
[high_after] => 0.03791000
[low_before] => 0.02773000
[low_after] => 0.02617000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)