Short Trade on ARC 26 Nov 2025 at 03:31:14
Take profit at 0.03161 (6.01 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03464 (3 %)
Short Trade on ARC 26 Nov 2025 at 03:31:14
Take profit at 0.03161 (6.01 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03464 (3 %)
Position size of 265.7842 $
Take profit at 0.03161 (6.01 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03464 (3 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.77 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.63 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.72 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.050648 15m : -0.02718 1H : 0.004737 |
0 |
Indicators:
87572.9
-0.000832636
87500
0.050648
87404.5
0.00109204
87500
-0.02718
86688.9
0.00935589
87500
0.004737
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Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-25 19:20:00 | 0.03671 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-25 20:20:00 | 0.03485 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-25 20:40:00 | 0.03605 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-25 21:05:00 | 0.03463 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-25 23:30:00 | 0.03207 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-26 00:25:00 | 0.02773 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-26 01:35:00 | 0.03084 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-26 01:45:00 | 0.02902 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-26 02:55:00 | 0.03026 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-26 03:30:00 | 0.03365 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-25 02:30:00 | 0.04422 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-25 03:00:00 | 0.04195 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-25 06:30:00 | 0.04242 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-25 07:00:00 | 0.05411 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-25 08:45:00 | 0.05533 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-25 10:45:00 | 0.05499 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-25 11:15:00 | 0.04965 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-25 13:15:00 | 0.05696 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-26 00:15:00 | 0.02773 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-26 03:30:00 | 0.03365 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 00:00:00 | 0.03311 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-22 07:00:00 | 0.04089 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-23 22:00:00 | 0.02418 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-24 02:00:00 | 0.03239 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-24 12:00:00 | 0.03379 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-25 13:00:00 | 0.05696 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-26 00:00:00 | 0.02773 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov 2025 03:31:14 |
26 Nov 2025 03:50:00 |
18 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03363 | 0.03464 | 0.03161 | 2 | 0.03333 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03464 - 0.03363 = 0.00101
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03363 - 0.03161 = 0.00202
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00202 / 0.00101 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 265.7842 | 100 | 7903.1871 | 2.66 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00101 = 7920.79
Taille de position USD = 7920.79 x 0.03363 = 266.38
Donc, tu peux acheter 7920.79 avec un stoploss a 0.03464
Avec un position size USD de 266.38$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 7920.79 x 0.00101 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 7920.79 x 0.00202 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.01 % | 15.96 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.98 $ | -3.00 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.8953 % | 129.7 % | 1 |
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