Short Trade on ARC 26 Nov 2025 at 04:02:15
Take profit at 0.0324 (6.22 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03563 (3.13 %)
Short Trade on ARC 26 Nov 2025 at 04:02:15
Take profit at 0.0324 (6.22 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03563 (3.13 %)
Position size of 256.8855 $
Take profit at 0.0324 (6.22 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03563 (3.13 %)
That's a 1.99 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.89 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.8 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.94 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.057214 15m : 0.025247 1H : -0.010249 |
0 |
Indicators:
87569.5
-0.00239344
87360
0.057214
87421.2
-0.000700458
87360
0.025247
86747.5
0.00706
87360
-0.010249
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 01:00:00
[1] => 0.03412
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 07:00:00
[1] => 0.04089
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-23 22:00:00
[1] => 0.02418
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 02:00:00
[1] => 0.03239
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 12:00:00
[1] => 0.03379
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 13:00:00
[1] => 0.05696
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 00:00:00
[1] => 0.02773
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 04:00:00
[1] => 0.0353
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.6373937677054
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 20.122610890732
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 27.298954201226
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 03:30:00
[1] => 0.04255
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 06:30:00
[1] => 0.04242
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 07:00:00
[1] => 0.05411
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 08:45:00
[1] => 0.05533
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 10:45:00
[1] => 0.05499
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 11:15:00
[1] => 0.04965
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 13:15:00
[1] => 0.05696
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 00:15:00
[1] => 0.02773
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 04:00:00
[1] => 0.0353
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.6373937677054
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 20.122610890732
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 27.298954201226
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 19:45:00
[1] => 0.03625
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 20:20:00
[1] => 0.03485
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 20:40:00
[1] => 0.03605
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 21:05:00
[1] => 0.03463
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 23:30:00
[1] => 0.03207
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 00:25:00
[1] => 0.02773
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 01:35:00
[1] => 0.03084
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 01:45:00
[1] => 0.02902
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 02:55:00
[1] => 0.03026
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 04:00:00
[1] => 0.0353
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.6373937677054
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 10.079312623926
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 16.655651024455
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-25 19:45:00 | 0.03625 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-25 20:20:00 | 0.03485 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-25 20:40:00 | 0.03605 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-25 21:05:00 | 0.03463 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-25 23:30:00 | 0.03207 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-26 00:25:00 | 0.02773 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-26 01:35:00 | 0.03084 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-26 01:45:00 | 0.02902 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-26 02:55:00 | 0.03026 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-26 04:00:00 | 0.0353 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-25 03:30:00 | 0.04255 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-25 06:30:00 | 0.04242 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-25 07:00:00 | 0.05411 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-25 08:45:00 | 0.05533 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-25 10:45:00 | 0.05499 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-25 11:15:00 | 0.04965 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-25 13:15:00 | 0.05696 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-26 00:15:00 | 0.02773 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-26 04:00:00 | 0.0353 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 01:00:00 | 0.03412 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-22 07:00:00 | 0.04089 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-23 22:00:00 | 0.02418 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-24 02:00:00 | 0.03239 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-24 12:00:00 | 0.03379 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-25 13:00:00 | 0.05696 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-26 00:00:00 | 0.02773 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-26 04:00:00 | 0.0353 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov 2025 04:02:15 |
26 Nov 2025 04:10:00 |
7 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03455 | 0.03563 | 0.0324 | 1.99 | 0.03089 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03563 - 0.03455 = 0.00108
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03455 - 0.0324 = 0.00215
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00215 / 0.00108 = 1.9907
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 256.8855 | 100 | 7435.182 | 2.57 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00108 = 7407.41
Taille de position USD = 7407.41 x 0.03455 = 255.93
Donc, tu peux acheter 7407.41 avec un stoploss a 0.03563
Avec un position size USD de 255.93$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 7407.41 x 0.00108 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 7407.41 x 0.00215 = 15.93
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.93$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.22 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.13 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.03 $ | -3.13 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.5731 % | 146.3 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0324
[entry_price] => 0.03455
[stop_loss] => 0.035738
[rr_ratio] => 1.81
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-11-26 04:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0324
[entry_price] => 0.03455
[stop_loss] => 0.035846
[rr_ratio] => 1.66
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-26 04:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0324
[entry_price] => 0.03455
[stop_loss] => 0.035954
[rr_ratio] => 1.53
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-26 04:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0324
[entry_price] => 0.03455
[stop_loss] => 0.03617
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-26 04:20:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00838
[max_drawdown] => 0.00336
[rr_ratio] => 2.49
[high] => 0.03791000
[low] => 0.02617000
[mfe_pct] => 24.25
[mae_pct] => 9.73
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.49
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-26T04:02:15-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-26T06:02:15-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00838
[max_drawdown] => 0.00336
[rr_ratio] => 2.49
[high] => 0.03791000
[low] => 0.02617000
[mfe_pct] => 24.25
[mae_pct] => 9.73
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.49
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-26T04:02:15-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-26T11:02:15-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.03530000
[high_after] => 0.03791000
[low_before] => 0.02773000
[low_after] => 0.02617000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)