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Short Trade on ARC

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Short Trade on ARC 26 Nov 2025 at 04:14:35

Take profit at 0.03316 (7.71 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03732 (3.87 %)

Short Trade on ARC

The 26 Nov 2025 at 04:14:35

With 5767.7348 ARC at 0.03593$ per unit.

Position size of 207.2347 $

Take profit at 0.03316 (7.71 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03732 (3.87 %)

That's a 1.99 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -90
ML Pullback Score: 8.9
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.94
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.89
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.91
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.070614

15m : 0.001739

1H : -0.047258

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.2
  4. atr: 0.0009246842107
Details
  1. score: 1.2
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0340158
  4. ema21 : 0.0370389
  5. ema50 : 0.0378396
  6. ema100 : 0.036997
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0562725
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0816201
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0211591
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0288425
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -2.31461
  14. ema_slope_21 : -1.50802
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.558385
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.206604
  17. rsi : 0.459274
  18. adx : 0.358675
  19. kc_percentage : 0.421553
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.338896
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.298881
  22. volume_ema1 : 1700748.0816386
  23. volume_ema2 : 2425764.1853843
  24. chop : 26.9593
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 0.0330508
  28. ema21 : 0.0323479
  29. ema50 : 0.035113
  30. ema100 : 0.0387487
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0871126
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0217305
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0787493
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0727449
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.874476
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0555031
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.422706
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.379519
  41. rsi : 0.675856
  42. adx : 0.458328
  43. kc_percentage : 1.13892
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.157401
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.0368601
  46. volume_ema1 : 632688.64350825
  47. volume_ema2 : 656902.12564113
  48. chop : 32.9469
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 0.0341646
  52. ema21 : 0.0330247
  53. ema50 : 0.0320018
  54. ema100 : 0.0323061
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0516718
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0345174
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0319621
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.112171
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.781046
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.634625
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.331358
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.115886
  65. rsi : 0.748828
  66. adx : 0.374366
  67. kc_percentage : 1.19571
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.113168
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.311773
  70. volume_ema1 : 233481.24113372
  71. volume_ema2 : 177989.05482133
  72. chop : 29.9347
  73. regime : bull_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    87541.4
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00216679
  78. 5m_price: 
    87351.8
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.070614
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    87421
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.000792401
  83. 15m_price: 
    87351.8
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.001739
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    86747.3
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00696736
  88. 1H_price: 
    87351.8
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.047258
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-22 01:00:00
                    [1] => 0.03412
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-22 07:00:00
                    [1] => 0.04089
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-23 22:00:00
                    [1] => 0.02418
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-24 02:00:00
                    [1] => 0.03239
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-24 12:00:00
                    [1] => 0.03379
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 13:00:00
                    [1] => 0.05696
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-26 00:00:00
                    [1] => 0.02773
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-26 04:00:00
                    [1] => 0.03613
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.4392471630224
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 28.416877028489
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 30.292102416156
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 03:30:00
                    [1] => 0.04255
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 06:30:00
                    [1] => 0.04242
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 07:00:00
                    [1] => 0.05411
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 08:45:00
                    [1] => 0.05533
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 10:45:00
                    [1] => 0.05499
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 11:15:00
                    [1] => 0.04965
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 13:15:00
                    [1] => 0.05696
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-26 00:15:00
                    [1] => 0.02773
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-26 04:00:00
                    [1] => 0.03613
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.4392471630224
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 28.416877028489
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 30.292102416156
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 1
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 20:20:00
                    [1] => 0.03485
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 20:40:00
                    [1] => 0.03605
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 21:05:00
                    [1] => 0.03463
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-25 23:30:00
                    [1] => 0.03207
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-26 00:25:00
                    [1] => 0.02773
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-26 01:35:00
                    [1] => 0.03084
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-26 01:45:00
                    [1] => 0.02902
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-26 02:55:00
                    [1] => 0.03026
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-26 04:05:00
                    [1] => 0.03307
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-26 04:10:00
                    [1] => 0.03613
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.4392471630224
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.6806773510735
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.2530994859389
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.44%
Dist From Last Low Pct
7.68%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
9.25%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0012
3.19%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0054
16.38%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-25 20:20:00 0.03485 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 20:40:00 0.03605 ↑ High
2025-11-25 21:05:00 0.03463 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 23:30:00 0.03207 ↑ High
2025-11-26 00:25:00 0.02773 ↓ Low
2025-11-26 01:35:00 0.03084 ↑ High
2025-11-26 01:45:00 0.02902 ↓ Low
2025-11-26 02:55:00 0.03026 ↓ Low
2025-11-26 04:05:00 0.03307 ↓ Low
2025-11-26 04:10:00 0.03613 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.44%
Dist From Last Low Pct
28.42%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
15 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
30.29%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0196
52.63%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0054
16.38%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-25 03:30:00 0.04255 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 06:30:00 0.04242 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 07:00:00 0.05411 ↑ High
2025-11-25 08:45:00 0.05533 ↑ High
2025-11-25 10:45:00 0.05499 ↑ High
2025-11-25 11:15:00 0.04965 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 13:15:00 0.05696 ↑ High
2025-11-26 00:15:00 0.02773 ↓ Low
2025-11-26 04:00:00 0.03613 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.44%
Dist From Last Low Pct
28.42%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
30.29%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0196
52.63%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0090
27.08%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-22 01:00:00 0.03412 ↓ Low
2025-11-22 07:00:00 0.04089 ↑ High
2025-11-23 22:00:00 0.02418 ↓ Low
2025-11-24 02:00:00 0.03239 ↑ High
2025-11-24 12:00:00 0.03379 ↑ High
2025-11-25 13:00:00 0.05696 ↑ High
2025-11-26 00:00:00 0.02773 ↓ Low
2025-11-26 04:00:00 0.03613 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
26 Nov 2025
04:14:35		 26 Nov 2025
04:35:00		 20 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.03593 0.03732 0.03316 1.99 0.02872
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.03593
  • Stop Loss: 0.03732
  • Take Profit: 0.03316

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.03732 - 0.03593 = 0.00139

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.03593 - 0.03316 = 0.00277

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00277 / 0.00139 = 1.9928

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
207.2347 100 5767.7348 2.07
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00139

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00139 = 5755.4

Taille de position USD = 5755.4 x 0.03593 = 206.79

Donc, tu peux acheter 5755.4 avec un stoploss a 0.03732

Avec un position size USD de 206.79$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5755.4 x 0.00139 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5755.4 x 0.00277 = 15.94

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.94$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5755.4
  • Taille de position USD 206.79
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.94
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9928

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
7.71 % 15.98 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.87 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
-8.02 $ -3.87
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.4253 % 114.39 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03316
            [entry_price] => 0.03593
            [stop_loss] => 0.037459
            [rr_ratio] => 1.81
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-26 04:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03316
            [entry_price] => 0.03593
            [stop_loss] => 0.037598
            [rr_ratio] => 1.66
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-26 04:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03316
            [entry_price] => 0.03593
            [stop_loss] => 0.037737
            [rr_ratio] => 1.53
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-26 04:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03316
            [entry_price] => 0.03593
            [stop_loss] => 0.038015
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-26 04:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00976
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00198
            [rr_ratio] => 4.93
            [high] => 0.03791000
            [low] => 0.02617000
            [mfe_pct] => 27.16
            [mae_pct] => 5.51
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.93
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-26T04:14:35-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-26T06:14:35-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00976
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00198
            [rr_ratio] => 4.93
            [high] => 0.03791000
            [low] => 0.02617000
            [mfe_pct] => 27.16
            [mae_pct] => 5.51
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.93
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-26T04:14:35-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-26T11:14:35-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.03613000
            [high_after] => 0.03791000
            [low_before] => 0.02773000
            [low_after] => 0.02617000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)