Short Trade on ARC 26 Nov 2025 at 09:35:44
Take profit at 0.02986 (6.28 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03286 (3.14 %)
Short Trade on ARC 26 Nov 2025 at 09:35:44
Take profit at 0.02986 (6.28 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03286 (3.14 %)
Position size of 254.928 $
Take profit at 0.02986 (6.28 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03286 (3.14 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.89 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.46 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.76 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.039438 15m : 0.163844 1H : 0.168258 |
0 |
Indicators:
87049.6
0.00107464
87143.2
-0.039438
87178.1
-0.000678854
87119
0.163844
86692.5
0.00519874
87143.2
0.168258
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 06:00:00
[1] => 0.0354
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-22 07:00:00
[1] => 0.04089
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-23 22:00:00
[1] => 0.02418
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 02:00:00
[1] => 0.03239
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-24 12:00:00
[1] => 0.03379
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 13:00:00
[1] => 0.05696
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 04:00:00
[1] => 0.03791
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 06:00:00
[1] => 0.02617
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -14.956475863888
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 23.19449751624
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 44.86052732136
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 08:45:00
[1] => 0.05533
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 10:45:00
[1] => 0.05499
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 11:15:00
[1] => 0.04965
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-25 13:15:00
[1] => 0.05696
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 00:15:00
[1] => 0.02773
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 04:30:00
[1] => 0.03791
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 06:00:00
[1] => 0.02617
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 09:30:00
[1] => 0.03247
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.70834616569141
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 23.19449751624
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 24.073366450134
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 04:05:00
[1] => 0.03307
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 04:40:00
[1] => 0.03791
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 05:10:00
[1] => 0.02833
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 06:00:00
[1] => 0.02617
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 06:45:00
[1] => 0.02887
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 07:00:00
[1] => 0.02724
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 07:30:00
[1] => 0.02881
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 07:35:00
[1] => 0.02728
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 08:30:00
[1] => 0.02979
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-26 09:35:00
[1] => 0.03247
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.70834616569141
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 18.181818181818
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 24
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.9963074857335
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-26 04:05:00 | 0.03307 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-26 04:40:00 | 0.03791 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-26 05:10:00 | 0.02833 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-26 06:00:00 | 0.02617 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-26 06:45:00 | 0.02887 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-26 07:00:00 | 0.02724 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-26 07:30:00 | 0.02881 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-26 07:35:00 | 0.02728 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-26 08:30:00 | 0.02979 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-26 09:35:00 | 0.03247 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-25 08:45:00 | 0.05533 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-25 10:45:00 | 0.05499 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-25 11:15:00 | 0.04965 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-25 13:15:00 | 0.05696 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-26 00:15:00 | 0.02773 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-26 04:30:00 | 0.03791 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-26 06:00:00 | 0.02617 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-26 09:30:00 | 0.03247 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 06:00:00 | 0.0354 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-22 07:00:00 | 0.04089 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-23 22:00:00 | 0.02418 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-24 02:00:00 | 0.03239 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-24 12:00:00 | 0.03379 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-25 13:00:00 | 0.05696 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-26 04:00:00 | 0.03791 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-26 06:00:00 | 0.02617 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov 2025 09:35:44 |
26 Nov 2025 10:05:00 |
29 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03186 | 0.03286 | 0.02986 | 2 | 0.03472 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03286 - 0.03186 = 0.001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03186 - 0.02986 = 0.002
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.002 / 0.001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 254.928 | 100 | 8001.5053 | 2.55 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.001 = 8000
Taille de position USD = 8000 x 0.03186 = 254.88
Donc, tu peux acheter 8000 avec un stoploss a 0.03286
Avec un position size USD de 254.88$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 8000 x 0.001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 8000 x 0.002 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.28 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.14 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 6.28 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.1971 % | 70 % | 2 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02986
[stop_loss] => 0.03286
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-26 10:05:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02936
[stop_loss] => 0.03286
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-26 11:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02886
[stop_loss] => 0.03286
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-26 11:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02836
[stop_loss] => 0.03286
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-26 11:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02786
[stop_loss] => 0.03286
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-26 11:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02736
[stop_loss] => 0.03286
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-26 11:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02686
[stop_loss] => 0.03286
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-26 11:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02636
[stop_loss] => 0.03286
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-26 11:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02586
[stop_loss] => 0.03286
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-11-26 11:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02536
[stop_loss] => 0.03286
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-26 11:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02486
[stop_loss] => 0.03286
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-11-26 11:55:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00226
[max_drawdown] => 0.0008
[rr_ratio] => 2.82
[high] => 0.03266000
[low] => 0.02960000
[mfe_pct] => 7.09
[mae_pct] => 2.51
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.82
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-26T09:35:44-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-26T11:35:44-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00226
[max_drawdown] => 0.00588
[rr_ratio] => 0.38
[high] => 0.03774000
[low] => 0.02960000
[mfe_pct] => 7.09
[mae_pct] => 18.46
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.38
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-26T09:35:44-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-26T16:35:44-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.03247000
[high_after] => 0.03774000
[low_before] => 0.02617000
[low_after] => 0.02960000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)