Short Trade on MERL 27 Nov 2025 at 14:36:16

Take profit at 0.2982 (4.7 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3202 (2.33 %)

Short Trade on MERL

The 27 Nov 2025 at 14:36:16

With 1091.7468 MERL at 0.3129$ per unit.

Position size of 341.6076 $

Take profit at 0.2982 (4.7 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3202 (2.33 %)

That's a 2.01 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 70
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.89
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.48
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.94
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : -0.078049

15m : -0.217903

1H : -0.113066

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 0.004885137437
Details
  1. score: 1.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.302465
  4. ema21 : 0.321797
  5. ema50 : 0.331241
  6. ema100 : 0.333286
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0344992
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0600766
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0285103
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0611691
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.78865
  14. ema_slope_21 : -1.35737
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.582787
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.282205
  17. rsi : 0.465415
  18. adx : 0.266444
  19. kc_percentage : 0.431331
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.361696
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.608764
  22. volume_ema1 : 1091854.5274712
  23. volume_ema2 : 2790784.0269735
  24. chop : 75.925
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.303012
  29. ema21 : 0.29863
  30. ema50 : 0.31036
  31. ema100 : 0.344371
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0326293
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0146758
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.037795
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0913874
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.396972
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.247199
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.133009
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.268838
  42. rsi : 0.613462
  43. adx : 0.181938
  44. kc_percentage : 0.885361
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.117237
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.676811
  47. volume_ema1 : 176374.90958761
  48. volume_ema2 : 545733.25959654
  49. chop : 57.0107
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.306769
  54. ema21 : 0.302757
  55. ema50 : 0.298092
  56. ema100 : 0.293251
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0199841
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0132522
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.015647
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0670021
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.306915
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.158837
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.109267
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0834377
  67. rsi : 0.680159
  68. adx : 0.179349
  69. kc_percentage : 1.02865
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.059982
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.287977
  72. volume_ema1 : 65113.896698331
  73. volume_ema2 : 91449.161851217
  74. chop : 41.8657
  75. regime : bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    91285.7
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00204211
  81. 5m_price:
    91472.2
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.078049
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    90988.7
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00531213
  86. 15m_price:
    91472.1
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.217903
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    88751.3
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0306574
  91. 1H_price:
    91472.2
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.113066
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-23 20:00:00
                        [1] => 0.3668
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-24 02:00:00
                        [1] => 0.3523
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-24 05:00:00
                        [1] => 0.3659
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-24 13:00:00
                        [1] => 0.3598
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-24 15:00:00
                        [1] => 0.3383
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-25 17:00:00
                        [1] => 0.202
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-26 16:00:00
                        [1] => 0.355
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-26 20:00:00
                        [1] => 0.527
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-27 04:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2614
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-27 12:00:00
                        [1] => 0.3191
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.0369790034472
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 19.586840091813
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 22.073450650344
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-26 21:15:00
                        [1] => 0.446
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-27 00:30:00
                        [1] => 0.2945
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-27 02:00:00
                        [1] => 0.3355
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-27 04:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2614
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-27 07:15:00
                        [1] => 0.2724
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-27 08:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2975
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-27 11:00:00
                        [1] => 0.2764
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-27 12:15:00
                        [1] => 0.3191
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-27 13:30:00
                        [1] => 0.2898
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-27 14:30:00
                        [1] => 0.3151
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.79339892097747
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.8674948240166
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.7301587301587
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-27 08:10:00
                        [1] => 0.2975
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-27 08:40:00
                        [1] => 0.2808
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-27 09:10:00
                        [1] => 0.2942
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-27 10:15:00
                        [1] => 0.2805
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-27 10:25:00
                        [1] => 0.2903
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-27 11:05:00
                        [1] => 0.2764
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-27 12:15:00
                        [1] => 0.3191
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-27 12:40:00
                        [1] => 0.2947
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-27 13:35:00
                        [1] => 0.2898
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-27 14:35:00
                        [1] => 0.3151
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.79339892097747
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.8674948240166
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.7301587301587
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.79%
Dist From Last Low Pct
7.87%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
8.73%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0011
0.34%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0218
7.31%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-27 08:10:00 0.2975 ↑ High
2025-11-27 08:40:00 0.2808 ↓ Low
2025-11-27 09:10:00 0.2942 ↑ High
2025-11-27 10:15:00 0.2805 ↓ Low
2025-11-27 10:25:00 0.2903 ↑ High
2025-11-27 11:05:00 0.2764 ↓ Low
2025-11-27 12:15:00 0.3191 ↑ High
2025-11-27 12:40:00 0.2947 ↓ Low
2025-11-27 13:35:00 0.2898 ↓ Low
2025-11-27 14:35:00 0.3151 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.79%
Dist From Last Low Pct
7.87%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
8.73%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0153
4.78%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0368
12.34%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-26 21:15:00 0.446 ↓ Low
2025-11-27 00:30:00 0.2945 ↓ Low
2025-11-27 02:00:00 0.3355 ↑ High
2025-11-27 04:00:00 0.2614 ↓ Low
2025-11-27 07:15:00 0.2724 ↓ Low
2025-11-27 08:00:00 0.2975 ↑ High
2025-11-27 11:00:00 0.2764 ↓ Low
2025-11-27 12:15:00 0.3191 ↑ High
2025-11-27 13:30:00 0.2898 ↓ Low
2025-11-27 14:30:00 0.3151 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.04%
Dist From Last Low Pct
19.59%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
22.07%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2068
64.58%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0962
32.26%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-23 20:00:00 0.3668 ↑ High
2025-11-24 02:00:00 0.3523 ↓ Low
2025-11-24 05:00:00 0.3659 ↑ High
2025-11-24 13:00:00 0.3598 ↑ High
2025-11-24 15:00:00 0.3383 ↓ Low
2025-11-25 17:00:00 0.202 ↓ Low
2025-11-26 16:00:00 0.355 ↓ Low
2025-11-26 20:00:00 0.527 ↑ High
2025-11-27 04:00:00 0.2614 ↓ Low
2025-11-27 12:00:00 0.3191 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
27 Nov 2025
14:36:16
27 Nov 2025
16:05:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3129 0.3202 0.2982 2.01 0.0433
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3129
  • Stop Loss: 0.3202
  • Take Profit: 0.2982

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3202 - 0.3129 = 0.0073

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3129 - 0.2982 = 0.0147

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0147 / 0.0073 = 2.0137

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
341.6076 100 1091.7468 3.42
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0073

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0073 = 1095.89

Taille de position USD = 1095.89 x 0.3129 = 342.9

Donc, tu peux acheter 1095.89 avec un stoploss a 0.3202

Avec un position size USD de 342.9$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1095.89 x 0.0073 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1095.89 x 0.0147 = 16.11

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.11$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1095.89
  • Taille de position USD 342.9
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.11
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0137

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
4.7 % 16.05 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.33 % 7.97 $
PNL PNL %
16.05 $ 4.70
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7031 % 30.14 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2983
            [stop_loss] => 0.3202
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-27 16:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.29465
            [stop_loss] => 0.3202
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-27 17:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.291
            [stop_loss] => 0.3202
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-27 17:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.28735
            [stop_loss] => 0.3202
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-27 18:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0154
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0022
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [high] => 0.31510000
            [low] => 0.29750000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.92
            [mae_pct] => 0.7
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 7
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-27T14:36:16-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-27T16:36:16-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0316
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0022
            [rr_ratio] => 14.36
            [high] => 0.31510000
            [low] => 0.28130000
            [mfe_pct] => 10.1
            [mae_pct] => 0.7
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 14.36
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-27T14:36:16-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-27T21:36:16-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.31910000
            [high_after] => 0.31510000
            [low_before] => 0.27640000
            [low_after] => 0.28540000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)