Short Trade on ARC 29 Nov 2025 at 14:07:22

Take profit at 0.03626 (5.43 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03938 (2.71 %)

Short Trade on ARC

The 29 Nov 2025 at 14:07:22

With 7705.466 ARC at 0.03834$ per unit.

Position size of 295.4276 $

Take profit at 0.03626 (5.43 %) and Stop Loss at 0.03938 (2.71 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.17
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.93
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.89
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.98
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.1951

15m : 0.095533

1H : -0.04724

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.09
  4. atr: 0.0006921493591
Details
  1. score: 1.09
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 0.0366046
  4. ema21 : 0.038689
  5. ema50 : 0.0405697
  6. ema100 : 0.0418841
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0474077
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0538756
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0463569
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0846182
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -1.28291
  14. ema_slope_21 : -1.07361
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.533255
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.300653
  17. rsi : 0.464011
  18. adx : 0.280007
  19. kc_percentage : 0.477908
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.231549
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.294202
  22. volume_ema1 : 976285.52551759
  23. volume_ema2 : 1383238.3460867
  24. chop : 46.8278
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 0.0365449
  29. ema21 : 0.0356709
  30. ema50 : 0.0368936
  31. ema100 : 0.0395398
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0491191
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0245015
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0331411
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0303446
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.652257
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.172832
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.170908
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.2246
  42. rsi : 0.685481
  43. adx : 0.381907
  44. kc_percentage : 1.08877
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.117788
  46. volume_ema_diff : 0.231351
  47. volume_ema1 : 372174.1177297
  48. volume_ema2 : 302248.41988569
  49. chop : 28.9542
  50. regime : range_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 0.0374698
  54. ema21 : 0.036551
  55. ema50 : 0.0355024
  56. ema100 : 0.0354275
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0232229
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.025137
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0295356
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0822088
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.478726
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.484568
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.28974
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.12914
  67. rsi : 0.714013
  68. adx : 0.416517
  69. kc_percentage : 1.09037
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0760584
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.0968253
  72. volume_ema1 : 127634.78691608
  73. volume_ema2 : 116367.46157467
  74. chop : 43.6864
  75. regime : bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    90631.3
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.000803092
  81. 5m_price:
    90704.1
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.1951
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    90694.7
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.000102904
  86. 15m_price:
    90704.1
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.095533
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    90119.2
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00648971
  91. 1H_price:
    90704.1
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.04724
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-25 13:00:00
                        [1] => 0.05696
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-26 04:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03791
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-26 06:00:00
                        [1] => 0.02617
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-27 01:00:00
                        [1] => 0.0415
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-27 04:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03354
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-27 12:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03891
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-28 12:00:00
                        [1] => 0.068
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-28 20:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04182
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-29 11:00:00
                        [1] => 0.0326
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-29 14:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03864
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.25879917184266
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 18.220858895706
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 18.527607361963
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-28 13:30:00
                        [1] => 0.05272
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-28 15:00:00
                        [1] => 0.05016
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-28 18:45:00
                        [1] => 0.04646
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-28 20:30:00
                        [1] => 0.04182
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-28 22:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04429
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-29 00:00:00
                        [1] => 0.04225
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-29 08:45:00
                        [1] => 0.03311
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-29 10:30:00
                        [1] => 0.03489
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-29 11:00:00
                        [1] => 0.0326
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-29 14:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03864
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.25879917184266
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 18.220858895706
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 18.527607361963
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-29 08:50:00
                        [1] => 0.03311
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-29 09:15:00
                        [1] => 0.03455
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-29 09:30:00
                        [1] => 0.0333
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-29 10:00:00
                        [1] => 0.03332
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-29 10:30:00
                        [1] => 0.03489
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-29 11:05:00
                        [1] => 0.0326
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-29 11:35:00
                        [1] => 0.03353
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-29 11:45:00
                        [1] => 0.0327
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-29 13:50:00
                        [1] => 0.03616
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-29 14:05:00
                        [1] => 0.03864
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.25879917184266
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.5818584070796
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.858407079646
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.26%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.58%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.86%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0007
1.88%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0037
10.09%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-29 08:50:00 0.03311 ↓ Low
2025-11-29 09:15:00 0.03455 ↑ High
2025-11-29 09:30:00 0.0333 ↓ Low
2025-11-29 10:00:00 0.03332 ↓ Low
2025-11-29 10:30:00 0.03489 ↑ High
2025-11-29 11:05:00 0.0326 ↓ Low
2025-11-29 11:35:00 0.03353 ↑ High
2025-11-29 11:45:00 0.0327 ↓ Low
2025-11-29 13:50:00 0.03616 ↓ Low
2025-11-29 14:05:00 0.03864 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.26%
Dist From Last Low Pct
18.22%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
18.53%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0133
33.88%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0037
10.09%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-28 13:30:00 0.05272 ↑ High
2025-11-28 15:00:00 0.05016 ↑ High
2025-11-28 18:45:00 0.04646 ↑ High
2025-11-28 20:30:00 0.04182 ↓ Low
2025-11-28 22:00:00 0.04429 ↑ High
2025-11-29 00:00:00 0.04225 ↓ Low
2025-11-29 08:45:00 0.03311 ↓ Low
2025-11-29 10:30:00 0.03489 ↑ High
2025-11-29 11:00:00 0.0326 ↓ Low
2025-11-29 14:00:00 0.03864 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.26%
Dist From Last Low Pct
18.22%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
18.53%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0286
72.68%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0101
27.83%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-25 13:00:00 0.05696 ↑ High
2025-11-26 04:00:00 0.03791 ↑ High
2025-11-26 06:00:00 0.02617 ↓ Low
2025-11-27 01:00:00 0.0415 ↑ High
2025-11-27 04:00:00 0.03354 ↓ Low
2025-11-27 12:00:00 0.03891 ↑ High
2025-11-28 12:00:00 0.068 ↑ High
2025-11-28 20:00:00 0.04182 ↓ Low
2025-11-29 11:00:00 0.0326 ↓ Low
2025-11-29 14:00:00 0.03864 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
29 Nov 2025
14:07:22
29 Nov 2025
14:35:00
27 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.03834 0.03938 0.03626 2 0.03053
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.03834
  • Stop Loss: 0.03938
  • Take Profit: 0.03626

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.03938 - 0.03834 = 0.00104

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.03834 - 0.03626 = 0.00208

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00208 / 0.00104 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
295.4276 100 7705.466 2.95
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00104

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00104 = 7692.31

Taille de position USD = 7692.31 x 0.03834 = 294.92

Donc, tu peux acheter 7692.31 avec un stoploss a 0.03938

Avec un position size USD de 294.92$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 7692.31 x 0.00104 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 7692.31 x 0.00208 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 7692.31
  • Taille de position USD 294.92
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
5.43 % 16.03 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.71 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -2.71
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.9212 % 107.69 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03626
            [entry_price] => 0.03834
            [stop_loss] => 0.039484
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-29 14:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03626
            [entry_price] => 0.03834
            [stop_loss] => 0.039588
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-29 15:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03626
            [entry_price] => 0.03834
            [stop_loss] => 0.039692
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-29 15:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03626
            [entry_price] => 0.03834
            [stop_loss] => 0.0399
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-29 15:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00033
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00213
            [rr_ratio] => 0.15
            [high] => 0.04047000
            [low] => 0.03801000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.86
            [mae_pct] => 5.56
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.15
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-29T14:07:22-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-29T16:07:22-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00033
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0036
            [rr_ratio] => 0.09
            [high] => 0.04194000
            [low] => 0.03801000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.86
            [mae_pct] => 9.39
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.09
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-29T14:07:22-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-29T21:07:22-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.03864000
            [high_after] => 0.04194000
            [low_before] => 0.03260000
            [low_after] => 0.03801000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)