Long Trade on ORCA 29 Nov 2025 at 19:06:43
Take profit at 1.4349 (2.64 %) and Stop Loss at 1.3795 (1.32 %)
Long Trade on ORCA 29 Nov 2025 at 19:06:43
Take profit at 1.4349 (2.64 %) and Stop Loss at 1.3795 (1.32 %)
Position size of 606.1318 $
Take profit at 1.4349 (2.64 %) and Stop Loss at 1.3795 (1.32 %)
That's a 1.99 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.69 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.57 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.69 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.158817 15m : 0.195423 1H : 0.037293 |
1 |
Indicators:
90771.7
0.000424995
90810.3
0.158817
90730.9
0.000874861
90810.3
0.195423
90169.3
0.00710835
90810.3
0.037293
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-27 14:00:00
[1] => 1.474
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-28 02:00:00
[1] => 1.252
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-28 03:00:00
[1] => 1.334
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-28 13:00:00
[1] => 1.228
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-28 17:00:00
[1] => 1.423
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 02:00:00
[1] => 1.254
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 09:00:00
[1] => 1.266
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 10:00:00
[1] => 1.507
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 16:00:00
[1] => 1.49
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 19:00:00
[1] => 1.383
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -6.3758389261745
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.86767895878525
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.7368040491685
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 03:30:00
[1] => 1.297
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 05:45:00
[1] => 1.305
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 07:15:00
[1] => 1.271
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 09:00:00
[1] => 1.266
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 10:30:00
[1] => 1.507
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 12:00:00
[1] => 1.375
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 12:30:00
[1] => 1.455
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 13:45:00
[1] => 1.402
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 16:30:00
[1] => 1.49
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 19:00:00
[1] => 1.383
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -6.3758389261745
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.86767895878525
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.7368040491685
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 14:45:00
[1] => 1.424
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 15:15:00
[1] => 1.488
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 15:45:00
[1] => 1.449
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 16:30:00
[1] => 1.49
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 16:45:00
[1] => 1.44
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 17:10:00
[1] => 1.44
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 17:20:00
[1] => 1.458
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 17:50:00
[1] => 1.422
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 18:20:00
[1] => 1.448
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 19:00:00
[1] => 1.383
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.6602209944751
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.86767895878525
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.6999276934201
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 14:45:00 | 1.424 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 15:15:00 | 1.488 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 15:45:00 | 1.449 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 16:30:00 | 1.49 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 16:45:00 | 1.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 17:10:00 | 1.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 17:20:00 | 1.458 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 17:50:00 | 1.422 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 18:20:00 | 1.448 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 19:00:00 | 1.383 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 03:30:00 | 1.297 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 05:45:00 | 1.305 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 07:15:00 | 1.271 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 09:00:00 | 1.266 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 10:30:00 | 1.507 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 12:00:00 | 1.375 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 12:30:00 | 1.455 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 13:45:00 | 1.402 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 16:30:00 | 1.49 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 19:00:00 | 1.383 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-27 14:00:00 | 1.474 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-28 02:00:00 | 1.252 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-28 03:00:00 | 1.334 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-28 13:00:00 | 1.228 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-28 17:00:00 | 1.423 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 02:00:00 | 1.254 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 09:00:00 | 1.266 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 10:00:00 | 1.507 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 16:00:00 | 1.49 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 19:00:00 | 1.383 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 19:06:43 |
29 Nov 2025 20:15:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.398 | 1.3795 | 1.4349 | 1.99 | 0.913 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.3795 - 1.398 = -0.0185
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.398 - 1.4349 = -0.0369
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0369 / -0.0185 = 1.9946
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 606.1318 | 100 | 433.5706 | 6.06 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0185 = -432.43
Taille de position USD = -432.43 x 1.398 = -604.54
Donc, tu peux acheter -432.43 avec un stoploss a 1.3795
Avec un position size USD de -604.54$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -432.43 x -0.0185 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -432.43 x -0.0369 = 15.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.96$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.64 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.32 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -1.32 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.9313 % | 145.95 % | 7 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.4349
[entry_price] => 1.398
[stop_loss] => 1.37765
[rr_ratio] => 1.81
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-11-29 20:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.4349
[entry_price] => 1.398
[stop_loss] => 1.3758
[rr_ratio] => 1.66
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-29 20:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.4349
[entry_price] => 1.398
[stop_loss] => 1.37395
[rr_ratio] => 1.53
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-29 20:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.4349
[entry_price] => 1.398
[stop_loss] => 1.37025
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-29 20:20:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.008
[max_drawdown] => 0.034
[rr_ratio] => 0.24
[high] => 1.40600000
[low] => 1.36400000
[mfe_pct] => 0.57
[mae_pct] => 2.43
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.24
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-29T19:06:43-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-29T21:06:43-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.024
[max_drawdown] => 0.097
[rr_ratio] => 0.25
[high] => 1.42200000
[low] => 1.30100000
[mfe_pct] => 1.72
[mae_pct] => 6.94
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.25
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-29T19:06:43-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-30T02:06:43-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 1.49000000
[high_after] => 1.40600000
[low_before] => 1.38300000
[low_after] => 1.30100000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)