Short Trade on AVAX 30 Nov 2025 at 07:30:29
Take profit at 14.0826 (0.47 %) and Stop Loss at 14.1822 (0.23 %)
Short Trade on AVAX 30 Nov 2025 at 07:30:29
Take profit at 14.0826 (0.47 %) and Stop Loss at 14.1822 (0.23 %)
Position size of 3409.0338 $
Take profit at 14.0826 (0.47 %) and Stop Loss at 14.1822 (0.23 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.87 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.87 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.579616 15m : -0.022795 1H : 0.062313 |
0 |
Indicators:
91077
0.00146696
91210.7
0.579616
90896
0.00346202
91210.7
-0.022795
90304.6
0.0100328
91210.7
0.062313
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-27 17:00:00
[1] => 14.968
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-28 03:00:00
[1] => 15.121
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-28 06:00:00
[1] => 14.785
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-28 10:00:00
[1] => 15.259
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-28 16:00:00
[1] => 14.775
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-28 23:00:00
[1] => 14.9
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 03:00:00
[1] => 14.625
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 06:00:00
[1] => 14.883
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 01:00:00
[1] => 13.968
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 04:00:00
[1] => 14.212
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.61919504643962
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1168384879725
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7468499427262
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 15:30:00
[1] => 14.246
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 17:45:00
[1] => 14.391
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 18:30:00
[1] => 14.174
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 21:00:00
[1] => 14.322
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 22:15:00
[1] => 14.121
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 01:15:00
[1] => 13.968
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 03:30:00
[1] => 14.036
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 04:00:00
[1] => 14.212
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 06:15:00
[1] => 14.032
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 07:15:00
[1] => 14.159
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.24719259834734
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.65564424173319
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.90507411630559
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 01:50:00
[1] => 13.982
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 02:50:00
[1] => 14.141
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 03:20:00
[1] => 14.15
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 03:35:00
[1] => 14.036
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 04:10:00
[1] => 14.212
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 05:15:00
[1] => 14.071
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 05:30:00
[1] => 14.127
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 06:20:00
[1] => 14.032
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 07:00:00
[1] => 14.043
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 07:25:00
[1] => 14.159
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.24719259834734
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.57679982909636
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.82603432315033
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 01:50:00 | 13.982 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 02:50:00 | 14.141 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 03:20:00 | 14.15 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 03:35:00 | 14.036 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 04:10:00 | 14.212 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 05:15:00 | 14.071 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 05:30:00 | 14.127 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 06:20:00 | 14.032 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 07:00:00 | 14.043 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 07:25:00 | 14.159 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 15:30:00 | 14.246 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 17:45:00 | 14.391 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 18:30:00 | 14.174 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 21:00:00 | 14.322 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 22:15:00 | 14.121 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 01:15:00 | 13.968 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 03:30:00 | 14.036 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 04:00:00 | 14.212 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 06:15:00 | 14.032 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 07:15:00 | 14.159 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-27 17:00:00 | 14.968 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-28 03:00:00 | 15.121 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-28 06:00:00 | 14.785 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-28 10:00:00 | 15.259 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-28 16:00:00 | 14.775 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-28 23:00:00 | 14.9 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 03:00:00 | 14.625 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 06:00:00 | 14.883 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 01:00:00 | 13.968 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 04:00:00 | 14.212 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov 2025 07:30:29 |
30 Nov 2025 07:40:00 |
9 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.149 | 14.1822 | 14.0826 | 2 | 9.396 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 14.1822 - 14.149 = 0.033200000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 14.149 - 14.0826 = 0.0664
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0664 / 0.033200000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3409.0338 | 100 | 240.9381 | 34.09 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.033200000000001 = 240.96
Taille de position USD = 240.96 x 14.149 = 3409.34
Donc, tu peux acheter 240.96 avec un stoploss a 14.1822
Avec un position size USD de 3409.34$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 240.96 x 0.033200000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 240.96 x 0.0664 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.47 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.23 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.23 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2615 % | 111.47 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 14.0826
[entry_price] => 14.149
[stop_loss] => 14.18552
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-11-30 07:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 14.0826
[entry_price] => 14.149
[stop_loss] => 14.18884
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-30 07:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 14.0826
[entry_price] => 14.149
[stop_loss] => 14.19216
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-30 07:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 14.0826
[entry_price] => 14.149
[stop_loss] => 14.1988
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-30 07:45:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.031999999999998
[max_drawdown] => 0.146
[rr_ratio] => 0.22
[high] => 14.29500000
[low] => 14.11700000
[mfe_pct] => 0.23
[mae_pct] => 1.03
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.22
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-30T07:30:29-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-30T09:30:29-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.33
[max_drawdown] => 0.146
[rr_ratio] => 2.26
[high] => 14.29500000
[low] => 13.81900000
[mfe_pct] => 2.33
[mae_pct] => 1.03
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.26
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-30T07:30:29-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-30T14:30:29-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 14.21200000
[high_after] => 14.29500000
[low_before] => 14.03200000
[low_after] => 13.93400000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)