Short Trade on AAVE 30 Nov 2025 at 11:26:46
Take profit at 179.9976 (0.73 %) and Stop Loss at 181.9812 (0.36 %)
Short Trade on AAVE 30 Nov 2025 at 11:26:46
Take profit at 179.9976 (0.73 %) and Stop Loss at 181.9812 (0.36 %)
Position size of 2193.7973 $
Take profit at 179.9976 (0.73 %) and Stop Loss at 181.9812 (0.36 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.8 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.64 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.78 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.588559 15m : 0.05846 1H : -0.05805 |
0 |
Indicators:
91342.3
0.00382837
91692
0.588559
91081.3
0.00472767
91512
0.05846
90443.9
0.0137989
91692
-0.05805
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-27 16:00:00
[1] => 187.84
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-27 21:00:00
[1] => 182.41
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-28 03:00:00
[1] => 189.22
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-28 12:00:00
[1] => 182.13
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 00:00:00
[1] => 186.55
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 10:00:00
[1] => 184.73
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 13:00:00
[1] => 180.77
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 22:00:00
[1] => 180.93
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 23:00:00
[1] => 190.59
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 06:00:00
[1] => 176.71
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.9477936932683
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.518250240507
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.8546771546602
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 20:00:00
[1] => 183.08
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 21:00:00
[1] => 183.08
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 22:15:00
[1] => 180.93
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 23:00:00
[1] => 190.59
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 01:15:00
[1] => 184.2
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 03:15:00
[1] => 186.26
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 06:45:00
[1] => 176.71
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 08:45:00
[1] => 181.43
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 10:15:00
[1] => 179.01
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 11:15:00
[1] => 181.53
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.20382305954939
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2010502206581
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4077425842132
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 03:25:00
[1] => 186.26
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 04:10:00
[1] => 185.98
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 06:40:00
[1] => 182.64
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 06:55:00
[1] => 176.71
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 07:35:00
[1] => 178.13
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 07:45:00
[1] => 179.71
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 08:55:00
[1] => 181.43
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 09:35:00
[1] => 179.18
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 10:15:00
[1] => 179.01
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 11:20:00
[1] => 181.53
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.20382305954939
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2010502206581
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4077425842132
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 03:25:00 | 186.26 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 04:10:00 | 185.98 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 06:40:00 | 182.64 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 06:55:00 | 176.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 07:35:00 | 178.13 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 07:45:00 | 179.71 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 08:55:00 | 181.43 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 09:35:00 | 179.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 10:15:00 | 179.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 11:20:00 | 181.53 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 20:00:00 | 183.08 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 21:00:00 | 183.08 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 22:15:00 | 180.93 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 23:00:00 | 190.59 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 01:15:00 | 184.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 03:15:00 | 186.26 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 06:45:00 | 176.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 08:45:00 | 181.43 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 10:15:00 | 179.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 11:15:00 | 181.53 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-27 16:00:00 | 187.84 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-27 21:00:00 | 182.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-28 03:00:00 | 189.22 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-28 12:00:00 | 182.13 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 00:00:00 | 186.55 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 10:00:00 | 184.73 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 13:00:00 | 180.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 22:00:00 | 180.93 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 23:00:00 | 190.59 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 06:00:00 | 176.71 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov 2025 11:26:46 |
30 Nov 2025 13:40:00 |
2 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 181.32 | 181.9812 | 179.9976 | 2 | 114.13 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 181.9812 - 181.32 = 0.66120000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 181.32 - 179.9976 = 1.3224
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.3224 / 0.66120000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2193.7973 | 100 | 12.099 | 21.94 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.66120000000001 = 12.1
Taille de position USD = 12.1 x 181.32 = 2193.97
Donc, tu peux acheter 12.1 avec un stoploss a 181.9812
Avec un position size USD de 2193.97$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 12.1 x 0.66120000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 12.1 x 1.3224 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.73 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.36 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.73 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2813 % | 77.13 % | 4 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 179.9976
[stop_loss] => 181.9812
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-30 13:40:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 179.667
[stop_loss] => 181.9812
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-30 15:25:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 179.3364
[stop_loss] => 181.9812
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-30 15:30:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 179.0058
[stop_loss] => 181.9812
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-30 15:30:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.25
[max_drawdown] => 0.51000000000002
[rr_ratio] => 2.45
[high] => 181.83000000
[low] => 180.07000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.69
[mae_pct] => 0.28
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.45
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-30T11:26:46-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-30T13:26:46-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.91
[max_drawdown] => 0.51000000000002
[rr_ratio] => 5.71
[high] => 181.83000000
[low] => 178.41000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.6
[mae_pct] => 0.28
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.71
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-30T11:26:46-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-30T18:26:46-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 181.53000000
[high_after] => 181.83000000
[low_before] => 178.13000000
[low_after] => 178.93000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)