Short Trade on MERL

The 30 Nov 2025 at 14:47:10

With 3190.0384 MERL at 0.3404$ per unit.

Position size of 1085.8891 $

Take profit at 0.3354 (1.47 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3429 (0.73 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.49
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.73
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.67
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.65
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bull_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.25504

15m : 0.168168

1H : 0.093476

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.02
  4. atr: 0.001671871192
Details
  1. score: 1.02
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 0.339654
  4. ema21 - 0.345687
  5. ema50 - 0.348807
  6. ema100 - 0.35421
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.0021951
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0174535
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00894329
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0389902
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.462978
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.28927
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.114125
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.0811044
  17. rsi - 0.435898
  18. adx - 0.205057
  19. kc_percentage - 0.338711
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0905182
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.656406
  22. volume_ema1 - 190267.70788338
  23. volume_ema2 - 553758.79851709
  24. chop - 44.796
  25. regime - bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 - 0.33714
  29. ema21 - 0.336871
  30. ema50 - 0.34158
  31. ema100 - 0.345825
  32. price_ema9_diff - 0.00966827
  33. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.000799627
  34. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0137884
  35. price_ema100_diff - -0.0156897
  36. all_emas_in_trend - False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  38. ema_slope_9 - 0.0915124
  39. ema_slope_21 - -0.0180501
  40. ema_slope_50 - -0.0809725
  41. ema_slope_100 - -0.0636957
  42. rsi - 0.5637
  43. adx - 0.278501
  44. kc_percentage - 0.768073
  45. kc_width_percentage - 0.0397988
  46. volume_ema_diff - -0.632448
  47. volume_ema1 - 20301.155196254
  48. volume_ema2 - 55233.525230056
  49. chop - 59.0541
  50. regime - bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 - 0.338352
  54. ema21 - 0.336965
  55. ema50 - 0.336104
  56. ema100 - 0.337859
  57. price_ema9_diff - 0.00605094
  58. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00411628
  59. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00256121
  60. price_ema100_diff - 0.00751986
  61. all_emas_in_trend - True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  63. ema_slope_9 - 0.105508
  64. ema_slope_21 - 0.076688
  65. ema_slope_50 - 0.0338031
  66. ema_slope_100 - 0.0028033
  67. rsi - 0.658928
  68. adx - 0.308405
  69. kc_percentage - 1.02499
  70. kc_width_percentage - 0.0187191
  71. volume_ema_diff - -0.759073
  72. volume_ema1 - 3655.6163547236
  73. volume_ema2 - 15173.182117104
  74. chop - 39.0447
  75. regime - bull_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100: 91381.8
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.000466842
  81. 5m_price: 91424.5
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.25504
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100: 91152.5
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 0.00298311
  86. 15m_price: 91424.5
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.168168
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100: 90596.2
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 0.00914184
  91. 1H_price: 91424.5
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.093476
  93. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
30 Nov 2025
14:47:10
30 Nov 2025
15:10:00
22 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3404 0.3429 0.3354 2 0.4741
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3404
  • Stop Loss: 0.3429
  • Take Profit: 0.3354

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3429 - 0.3404 = 0.0025

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3404 - 0.3354 = 0.005

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.005 / 0.0025 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1085.8891 100 3190.0384 10.86
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0025

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0025 = 3200

Taille de position USD = 3200 x 0.3404 = 1089.28

Donc, tu peux acheter 3200 avec un stoploss a 0.3429

Avec un position size USD de 1089.28$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 3200 x 0.0025 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 3200 x 0.005 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 3200
  • Taille de position USD 1089.28
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.47 % 15.95 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.73 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
-7.98 $ -0.73
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.087 % 148.01 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3354
            [entry_price] => 0.3404
            [stop_loss] => 0.34315
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-30 15:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3354
            [entry_price] => 0.3404
            [stop_loss] => 0.3434
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-30 15:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3354
            [entry_price] => 0.3404
            [stop_loss] => 0.34365
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-30 15:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3354
            [entry_price] => 0.3404
            [stop_loss] => 0.34415
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-30 15:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0018
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0056
            [rr_ratio] => 0.32
            [high] => 0.34600000
            [low] => 0.33860000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.53
            [mae_pct] => 1.65
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.32
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-30T14:47:10-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-30T16:47:10-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0049
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0127
            [rr_ratio] => 0.39
            [high] => 0.35310000
            [low] => 0.33550000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.44
            [mae_pct] => 3.73
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.39
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-30T14:47:10-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-30T21:47:10-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.34270000
            [high_after] => 0.35310000
            [low_before] => 0.32180000
            [low_after] => 0.33740000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)