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Short Trade on AR

Short Trade on AR

The 01 Dec 2025 at 03:38:53

With 314.1437 AR at 4.003$ per unit.

Position size of 1257.517 $

Take profit at 3.9521 (1.27 %) and Stop Loss at 4.0285 (0.64 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.46
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.56
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.69
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.7
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.430636

15m : -0.042463

1H : -0.038152

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0
  4. atr: 0.01697737093
Details
  1. score: 1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 3.98329
  4. ema21 - 4.03175
  5. ema50 - 4.08671
  6. ema100 - 4.12917
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.00494593
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0120191
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.013447
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0305569
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.344995
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.215098
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.119433
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.0734142
  17. rsi - 0.450458
  18. adx - 0.330855
  19. kc_percentage - 0.395466
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0614748
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.118648
  22. volume_ema1 - 168493.68428506
  23. volume_ema2 - 191176.4216684
  24. chop - 30.8704
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 3.96548
  28. ema21 - 3.9619
  29. ema50 - 4.00118
  30. ema100 - 4.04604
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.00946011
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.000903583
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0098157
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.0106385
  35. all_emas_in_trend - False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.0679162
  38. ema_slope_21 - -0.00487755
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.0553463
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0496188
  41. rsi - 0.532424
  42. adx - 0.264978
  43. kc_percentage - 0.850002
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0298686
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.535818
  46. volume_ema1 - 30079.718403718
  47. volume_ema2 - 64801.637015206
  48. chop - 61.666
  49. regime - bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 3.98363
  52. ema21 - 3.96724
  53. ema50 - 3.95449
  54. ema100 - 3.95353
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.00486087
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00413157
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00322352
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.0125107
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.0850602
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.0536013
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.0269166
  64. ema_slope_100 - 0.011528
  65. rsi - 0.647768
  66. adx - 0.223942
  67. kc_percentage - 1.00322
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.0172858
  69. volume_ema_diff - -0.36737
  70. volume_ema1 - 10326.637494092
  71. volume_ema2 - 16323.36762309
  72. chop - 43.677
  73. regime - bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 86640.1
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 9.07188E-5
  78. 5m_price: 86648
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.430636
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 88820.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0256106
  83. 15m_price: 86545.4
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.042463
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 90287.3
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0403085
  88. 1H_price: 86648
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.038152
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
01 Dec 2025
03:38:53		 01 Dec 2025
04:00:00		 21 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.003 4.0285 3.9521 2 3.607
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.003
  • Stop Loss: 4.0285
  • Take Profit: 3.9521

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.0285 - 4.003 = 0.0255

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.003 - 3.9521 = 0.0509

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0509 / 0.0255 = 1.9961

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1257.517 100 314.1437 12.58
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0255

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0255 = 313.73

Taille de position USD = 313.73 x 4.003 = 1255.86

Donc, tu peux acheter 313.73 avec un stoploss a 4.0285

Avec un position size USD de 1255.86$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 313.73 x 0.0255 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 313.73 x 0.0509 = 15.97

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.97$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 313.73
  • Taille de position USD 1255.86
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.97
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9961

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.27 % 15.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.64 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -0.64
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6995 % 109.81 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.9521
            [entry_price] => 4.003
            [stop_loss] => 4.03105
            [rr_ratio] => 1.81
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 04:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.9521
            [entry_price] => 4.003
            [stop_loss] => 4.0336
            [rr_ratio] => 1.66
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 04:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.9521
            [entry_price] => 4.003
            [stop_loss] => 4.03615
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 04:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.9521
            [entry_price] => 4.003
            [stop_loss] => 4.04125
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 05:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.018
            [max_drawdown] => 0.053
            [rr_ratio] => 0.34
            [high] => 4.05600000
            [low] => 3.98500000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.45
            [mae_pct] => 1.32
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.34
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-01T03:38:53-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-01T05:38:53-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.105
            [max_drawdown] => 0.053
            [rr_ratio] => 1.98
            [high] => 4.05600000
            [low] => 3.89800000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.62
            [mae_pct] => 1.32
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.98
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-01T03:38:53-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-01T10:38:53-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4.00600000
            [high_after] => 4.05600000
            [low_before] => 3.88200000
            [low_after] => 3.89800000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)