Short Trade on TAO 01 Dec 2025 at 04:11:46
Take profit at 269.085 (1.13 %) and Stop Loss at 273.7125 (0.57 %)
Short Trade on TAO 01 Dec 2025 at 04:11:46
Take profit at 269.085 (1.13 %) and Stop Loss at 273.7125 (0.57 %)
Position size of 1411.5953 $
Take profit at 269.085 (1.13 %) and Stop Loss at 273.7125 (0.57 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.59 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.68 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.651656 15m : -0.21422 1H : 0.020204 |
2 |
Indicators:
86459.5
0.00280873
86702.4
0.651656
88769.3
-0.0232847
86702.4
-0.21422
90255.7
-0.03937
86702.4
0.020204
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-28 23:00:00
[1] => 301.14
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 06:00:00
[1] => 299.56
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 13:00:00
[1] => 292.11
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 17:00:00
[1] => 297.25
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 22:00:00
[1] => 290
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 07:00:00
[1] => 290.53
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 08:00:00
[1] => 296.62
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 17:00:00
[1] => 299.09
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 00:00:00
[1] => 264.94
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 04:00:00
[1] => 272.97
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14287284316959
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.8836717747414
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.0308749150751
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 11:45:00
[1] => 296.19
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 13:45:00
[1] => 292.64
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 15:15:00
[1] => 298.31
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 16:15:00
[1] => 294.79
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 17:00:00
[1] => 299.09
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 19:45:00
[1] => 268.48
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 00:00:00
[1] => 264.94
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 01:45:00
[1] => 270.73
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 02:30:00
[1] => 267.68
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 04:00:00
[1] => 272.97
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14287284316959
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8305439330544
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9762402869098
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 21:40:00
[1] => 274.64
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 22:35:00
[1] => 267.39
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 23:25:00
[1] => 265.17
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 00:00:00
[1] => 264.94
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 00:25:00
[1] => 268.24
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 01:55:00
[1] => 270.73
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 02:35:00
[1] => 267.68
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 03:05:00
[1] => 270.53
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 03:30:00
[1] => 268.22
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 04:00:00
[1] => 272.97
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.14287284316959
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6255312802923
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7709343076579
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 21:40:00 | 274.64 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 22:35:00 | 267.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 23:25:00 | 265.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 00:00:00 | 264.94 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 00:25:00 | 268.24 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 01:55:00 | 270.73 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 02:35:00 | 267.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 03:05:00 | 270.53 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 03:30:00 | 268.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 04:00:00 | 272.97 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 11:45:00 | 296.19 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 13:45:00 | 292.64 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 15:15:00 | 298.31 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 16:15:00 | 294.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 17:00:00 | 299.09 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 19:45:00 | 268.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 00:00:00 | 264.94 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 01:45:00 | 270.73 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 02:30:00 | 267.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 04:00:00 | 272.97 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-28 23:00:00 | 301.14 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 06:00:00 | 299.56 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 13:00:00 | 292.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 17:00:00 | 297.25 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 22:00:00 | 290 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 07:00:00 | 290.53 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 08:00:00 | 296.62 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 17:00:00 | 299.09 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 00:00:00 | 264.94 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 04:00:00 | 272.97 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec 2025 04:11:46 |
01 Dec 2025 04:45:00 |
33 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 272.17 | 273.7125 | 269.085 | 2 | 188.25 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 273.7125 - 272.17 = 1.5425
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 272.17 - 269.085 = 3.085
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.085 / 1.5425 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1411.5953 | 100 | 5.1864 | 14.12 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.5425 = 5.19
Taille de position USD = 5.19 x 272.17 = 1412.56
Donc, tu peux acheter 5.19 avec un stoploss a 273.7125
Avec un position size USD de 1412.56$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 5.19 x 1.5425 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 5.19 x 3.085 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.13 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.57 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 1.13 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4519 % | 79.74 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 269.085
[stop_loss] => 273.7125
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 04:45:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 268.31375
[stop_loss] => 273.7125
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 05:20:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 267.5425
[stop_loss] => 273.7125
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 06:05:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 266.77125
[stop_loss] => 273.7125
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 06:05:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 266
[stop_loss] => 273.7125
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 06:25:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 265.22875
[stop_loss] => 273.7125
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 06:40:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 264.4575
[stop_loss] => 273.7125
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 06:40:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 263.68625
[stop_loss] => 273.7125
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 06:40:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 262.915
[stop_loss] => 273.7125
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 07:35:00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 262.14375
[stop_loss] => 273.7125
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 07:40:00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 261.3725
[stop_loss] => 273.7125
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 07:45:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 5.89
[max_drawdown] => 1.23
[rr_ratio] => 4.79
[high] => 273.40000000
[low] => 266.28000000
[mfe_pct] => 2.16
[mae_pct] => 0.45
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.79
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-01T04:11:46-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-01T06:11:46-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 18.09
[max_drawdown] => 1.23
[rr_ratio] => 14.71
[high] => 273.40000000
[low] => 254.08000000
[mfe_pct] => 6.65
[mae_pct] => 0.45
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 14.71
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-01T04:11:46-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-01T11:11:46-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 272.97000000
[high_after] => 273.40000000
[low_before] => 265.48000000
[low_after] => 261.14000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)