Short Trade on AAVE 01 Dec 2025 at 05:50:22
Take profit at 166.3729 (0.67 %) and Stop Loss at 168.0636 (0.34 %)
Short Trade on AAVE 01 Dec 2025 at 05:50:22
Take profit at 166.3729 (0.67 %) and Stop Loss at 168.0636 (0.34 %)
Position size of 2377.7118 $
Take profit at 166.3729 (0.67 %) and Stop Loss at 168.0636 (0.34 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.82 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.9 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.82 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.648713 15m : -0.025397 1H : -0.105932 |
2 |
Indicators:
86463.8
0.00178327
86618
0.648713
88500
-0.0212661
86618
-0.025397
90206.3
-0.0397797
86618
-0.105932
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-28 03:00:00
[1] => 189.22
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-28 12:00:00
[1] => 182.13
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 00:00:00
[1] => 186.55
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 10:00:00
[1] => 184.73
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 13:00:00
[1] => 180.77
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 22:00:00
[1] => 180.93
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 23:00:00
[1] => 190.59
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 06:00:00
[1] => 176.71
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 04:00:00
[1] => 164.86
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 05:00:00
[1] => 167.81
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.017877361301473
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7711998058959
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7893970641757
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 11:45:00
[1] => 181.83
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 13:45:00
[1] => 179.83
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 15:00:00
[1] => 180.77
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 15:30:00
[1] => 178.93
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 17:15:00
[1] => 180.84
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 20:00:00
[1] => 168.76
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 02:00:00
[1] => 165.22
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 02:45:00
[1] => 166.77
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 04:15:00
[1] => 164.86
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 05:45:00
[1] => 167.81
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.017877361301473
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7711998058959
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7893970641757
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 00:05:00
[1] => 167.4
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 00:40:00
[1] => 165.56
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 01:00:00
[1] => 166.82
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 01:45:00
[1] => 166.41
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 02:05:00
[1] => 165.22
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 02:50:00
[1] => 166.77
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 03:30:00
[1] => 165.41
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 04:00:00
[1] => 166.54
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 04:25:00
[1] => 164.86
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 05:50:00
[1] => 167.81
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.017877361301473
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7711998058959
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 17
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7893970641757
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-01 00:05:00 | 167.4 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 00:40:00 | 165.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 01:00:00 | 166.82 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 01:45:00 | 166.41 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 02:05:00 | 165.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 02:50:00 | 166.77 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 03:30:00 | 165.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 04:00:00 | 166.54 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 04:25:00 | 164.86 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 05:50:00 | 167.81 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 11:45:00 | 181.83 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 13:45:00 | 179.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 15:00:00 | 180.77 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 15:30:00 | 178.93 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 17:15:00 | 180.84 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 20:00:00 | 168.76 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 02:00:00 | 165.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 02:45:00 | 166.77 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 04:15:00 | 164.86 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 05:45:00 | 167.81 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-28 03:00:00 | 189.22 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-28 12:00:00 | 182.13 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 00:00:00 | 186.55 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 10:00:00 | 184.73 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 13:00:00 | 180.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 22:00:00 | 180.93 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 23:00:00 | 190.59 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 06:00:00 | 176.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 04:00:00 | 164.86 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 05:00:00 | 167.81 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec 2025 05:50:22 |
01 Dec 2025 06:15:00 |
24 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 167.5 | 168.0636 | 166.3729 | 2 | 113.79 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 168.0636 - 167.5 = 0.56360000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 167.5 - 166.3729 = 1.1271
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.1271 / 0.56360000000001 = 1.9998
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2377.7118 | 100 | 14.1953 | 23.78 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.56360000000001 = 14.19
Taille de position USD = 14.19 x 167.5 = 2376.83
Donc, tu peux acheter 14.19 avec un stoploss a 168.0636
Avec un position size USD de 2376.83$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 14.19 x 0.56360000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 14.19 x 1.1271 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.67 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.34 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.34 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4299 % | 127.76 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 166.3729
[entry_price] => 167.5
[stop_loss] => 168.11996
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 06:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 166.3729
[entry_price] => 167.5
[stop_loss] => 168.17632
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 06:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 166.3729
[entry_price] => 167.5
[stop_loss] => 168.23268
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 06:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 166.3729
[entry_price] => 167.5
[stop_loss] => 168.3454
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 06:25:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.36
[max_drawdown] => 0.90000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 2.62
[high] => 168.40000000
[low] => 165.14000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.41
[mae_pct] => 0.54
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.62
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-01T05:50:22-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-01T07:50:22-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 5.32
[max_drawdown] => 1.76
[rr_ratio] => 3.02
[high] => 169.26000000
[low] => 162.18000000
[mfe_pct] => 3.18
[mae_pct] => 1.05
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.02
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-01T05:50:22-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-01T12:50:22-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 167.81000000
[high_after] => 169.26000000
[low_before] => 164.86000000
[low_after] => 162.18000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)