Short Trade on ARC 01 Dec 2025 at 09:51:18
Take profit at 0.03902 (6.76 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04326 (3.37 %)
Short Trade on ARC 01 Dec 2025 at 09:51:18
Take profit at 0.03902 (6.76 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04326 (3.37 %)
Position size of 236.6295 $
Take profit at 0.03902 (6.76 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04326 (3.37 %)
That's a 2.01 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.54 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.56 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.63 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.040665 15m : 0.071175 1H : 0.052083 |
2 |
Indicators:
86165.6
-0.00290297
85915.5
-0.040665
87861.5
-0.0218684
85940.2
0.071175
89863.2
-0.0439307
85915.5
0.052083
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-27 06:00:00
[1] => 0.03384
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-27 12:00:00
[1] => 0.03891
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-28 12:00:00
[1] => 0.068
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-28 20:00:00
[1] => 0.04182
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 11:00:00
[1] => 0.0326
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 02:00:00
[1] => 0.04959
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 07:00:00
[1] => 0.04043
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 22:00:00
[1] => 0.0574
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 01:00:00
[1] => 0.03736
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 09:00:00
[1] => 0.04269
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.8667135160459
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 13.82463690156
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 14.266595289079
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 08:30:00
[1] => 0.04224
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 11:15:00
[1] => 0.04815
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 12:15:00
[1] => 0.04264
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 17:00:00
[1] => 0.05235
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 22:15:00
[1] => 0.0574
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 01:45:00
[1] => 0.03736
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 03:30:00
[1] => 0.04337
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 09:15:00
[1] => 0.03718
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 09:45:00
[1] => 0.04269
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.8667135160459
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 13.82463690156
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 14.819795589026
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 03:45:00
[1] => 0.04019
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 04:25:00
[1] => 0.0425
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 05:15:00
[1] => 0.04083
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 06:00:00
[1] => 0.03972
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 07:10:00
[1] => 0.03844
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 08:15:00
[1] => 0.03781
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 08:25:00
[1] => 0.0397
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 08:50:00
[1] => 0.03774
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 09:20:00
[1] => 0.03718
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 09:45:00
[1] => 0.04269
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.8667135160459
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 13.82463690156
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 14.819795589026
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-01 03:45:00 | 0.04019 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 04:25:00 | 0.0425 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 05:15:00 | 0.04083 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 06:00:00 | 0.03972 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 07:10:00 | 0.03844 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 08:15:00 | 0.03781 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 08:25:00 | 0.0397 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 08:50:00 | 0.03774 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 09:20:00 | 0.03718 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 09:45:00 | 0.04269 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 08:30:00 | 0.04224 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 11:15:00 | 0.04815 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 12:15:00 | 0.04264 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 17:00:00 | 0.05235 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 22:15:00 | 0.0574 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 01:45:00 | 0.03736 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 03:30:00 | 0.04337 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 09:15:00 | 0.03718 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 09:45:00 | 0.04269 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-27 06:00:00 | 0.03384 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-27 12:00:00 | 0.03891 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-28 12:00:00 | 0.068 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-28 20:00:00 | 0.04182 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 11:00:00 | 0.0326 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 02:00:00 | 0.04959 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 07:00:00 | 0.04043 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 22:00:00 | 0.0574 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 01:00:00 | 0.03736 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 09:00:00 | 0.04269 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec 2025 09:51:18 |
01 Dec 2025 11:40:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04185 | 0.04326 | 0.03902 | 2.01 | 0.03371 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04326 - 0.04185 = 0.00141
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04185 - 0.03902 = 0.00283
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00283 / 0.00141 = 2.0071
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 236.6295 | 100 | 5654.2284 | 2.37 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00141 = 5673.76
Taille de position USD = 5673.76 x 0.04185 = 237.45
Donc, tu peux acheter 5673.76 avec un stoploss a 0.04326
Avec un position size USD de 237.45$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 5673.76 x 0.00141 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 5673.76 x 0.00283 = 16.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.06$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.76 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.37 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.97 $ | -3.37 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.8746 % | 144.68 % | 4 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.03902
[entry_price] => 0.04185
[stop_loss] => 0.043401
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 11:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.03902
[entry_price] => 0.04185
[stop_loss] => 0.043542
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 11:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.03902
[entry_price] => 0.04185
[stop_loss] => 0.043683
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 11:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.03902
[entry_price] => 0.04185
[stop_loss] => 0.043965
[rr_ratio] => 1.34
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 11:50:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0021
[max_drawdown] => 0.00223
[rr_ratio] => 0.94
[high] => 0.04408000
[low] => 0.03975000
[mfe_pct] => 5.02
[mae_pct] => 5.33
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.94
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-01T09:51:18-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-01T11:51:18-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0021
[max_drawdown] => 0.00255
[rr_ratio] => 0.82
[high] => 0.04440000
[low] => 0.03975000
[mfe_pct] => 5.02
[mae_pct] => 6.09
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.82
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-01T09:51:18-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-01T16:51:18-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.04269000
[high_after] => 0.04408000
[low_before] => 0.03718000
[low_after] => 0.03975000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)