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Short Trade on ARC

Short Trade on ARC

The 01 Dec 2025 at 10:01:32

With 5564.2057 ARC at 0.04202$ per unit.

Position size of 233.8079 $

Take profit at 0.03914 (6.85 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04346 (3.43 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.45
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.55
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.62
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.74
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : -0.02814

15m : 0.115116

1H : -0.191029

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.04
  4. atr: 0.0009585075844
Details
  1. score: 1.04
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 0.0417587
  4. ema21 - 0.0434738
  5. ema50 - 0.0435974
  6. ema100 - 0.0423761
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.00625511
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0394497
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00283623
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.00840488
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -1.55593
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.776409
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.223667
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.0328527
  17. rsi - 0.459414
  18. adx - 0.257154
  19. kc_percentage - 0.384678
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.285702
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.541459
  22. volume_ema1 - 478893.39175615
  23. volume_ema2 - 1044386.194327
  24. chop - 30.152
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 0.0400438
  28. ema21 - 0.0402169
  29. ema50 - 0.0423501
  30. ema100 - 0.0439686
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.0493506
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00430604
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0503691
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.0443197
  35. all_emas_in_trend - True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - -0.0277793
  38. ema_slope_21 - -0.28164
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.345422
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.232393
  41. rsi - 0.567943
  42. adx - 0.43009
  43. kc_percentage - 0.826914
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.135838
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.113375
  46. volume_ema1 - 191294.96483336
  47. volume_ema2 - 215756.56070163
  48. chop - 42.8868
  49. regime - bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 0.0406728
  52. ema21 - 0.0396663
  53. ema50 - 0.0395208
  54. ema100 - 0.0396145
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.0331228
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.0253725
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00368232
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.0607217
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.502812
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.212292
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.0351522
  64. ema_slope_100 - 0.00312137
  65. rsi - 0.694318
  66. adx - 0.280686
  67. kc_percentage - 1.03721
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.102626
  69. volume_ema_diff - 0.453174
  70. volume_ema1 - 85842.653745577
  71. volume_ema2 - 59072.519974517
  72. chop - 18.1188
  73. regime - bull_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 86168.8
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: -0.00129374
  78. 5m_price: 86057.4
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: -0.02814
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 87809.4
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0199523
  83. 15m_price: 86057.4
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.115116
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 89738.7
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0410224
  88. 1H_price: 86057.4
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.191029
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
01 Dec 2025
10:01:32		 01 Dec 2025
11:40:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04202 0.04346 0.03914 2 0.04889
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04202
  • Stop Loss: 0.04346
  • Take Profit: 0.03914

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04346 - 0.04202 = 0.00144

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04202 - 0.03914 = 0.00288

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00288 / 0.00144 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
233.8079 100 5564.2057 2.34
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00144

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00144 = 5555.56

Taille de position USD = 5555.56 x 0.04202 = 233.44

Donc, tu peux acheter 5555.56 avec un stoploss a 0.04346

Avec un position size USD de 233.44$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5555.56 x 0.00144 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5555.56 x 0.00288 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5555.56
  • Taille de position USD 233.44
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
6.85 % 16.02 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.43 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -3.43
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.4503 % 129.86 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03914
            [entry_price] => 0.04202
            [stop_loss] => 0.043604
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 11:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03914
            [entry_price] => 0.04202
            [stop_loss] => 0.043748
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 11:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.03914
            [entry_price] => 0.04202
            [stop_loss] => 0.043892
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 11:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00227
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00206
            [rr_ratio] => 1.1
            [high] => 0.04408000
            [low] => 0.03975000
            [mfe_pct] => 5.4
            [mae_pct] => 4.9
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.1
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-01T10:01:32-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-01T12:01:32-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00227
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00238
            [rr_ratio] => 0.95
            [high] => 0.04440000
            [low] => 0.03975000
            [mfe_pct] => 5.4
            [mae_pct] => 5.66
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.95
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-01T10:01:32-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-01T17:01:32-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.04292000
            [high_after] => 0.04408000
            [low_before] => 0.03718000
            [low_after] => 0.03975000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)