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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 01 Dec 2025 at 13:57:35

Take profit at 160.5356 (1.76 %) and Stop Loss at 164.8472 (0.88 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 01 Dec 2025 at 13:57:35

With 5.5663 MSTR at 163.41$ per unit.

Position size of 909.5905 $

Take profit at 160.5356 (1.76 %) and Stop Loss at 164.8472 (0.88 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.01
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.52
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.53
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.8
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high_confirmed

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.580942

15m : 0.206791

1H : -0.07093

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.13
  4. atr: 0.9581454483
Details
  1. score: 1.13
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 163.874
  4. ema21 : 167.845
  5. ema50 : 172.14
  6. ema100 : 174.643
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00283388
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0236577
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0249539
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0643209
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.396127
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.314465
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.192608
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.112733
  17. rsi : 0.36227
  18. adx : 0.553131
  19. kc_percentage : 0.168045
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0770934
  21. volume_ema_diff : 1.74469
  22. volume_ema1 : 725689.58702398
  23. volume_ema2 : 264397.61175019
  24. chop : 11.1541
  25. regime : bear_high_confirmed
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 160.785
  28. ema21 : 161.923
  29. ema50 : 165.351
  30. ema100 : 168.879
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0163228
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00703075
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0207268
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0323847
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.106763
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.204285
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.1712
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.122204
  41. rsi : 0.462942
  42. adx : 0.46446
  43. kc_percentage : 0.721046
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0449353
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.257346
  46. volume_ema1 : 110880.82894708
  47. volume_ema2 : 149303.62968815
  48. chop : 51.6736
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 161.982
  52. ema21 : 161.029
  53. ema50 : 161.392
  54. ema100 : 163.525
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00881568
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00591481
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00224806
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00070476
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.154483
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.108839
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0160263
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0230368
  65. rsi : 0.662036
  66. adx : 0.274198
  67. kc_percentage : 1.1283
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0227183
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.222258
  70. volume_ema1 : 75115.388676882
  71. volume_ema2 : 61456.227218024
  72. chop : 45.4928
  73. regime : range_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    85400.5
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00461235
  78. 5m_price: 
    85006.7
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.580942
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86985.9
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.025433
  83. 15m_price: 
    84773.6
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.206791
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    89426.4
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0494232
  88. 1H_price: 
    85006.7
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.07093
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 08:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 10:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 12:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 14:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 16:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 18:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 20:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 23:00:00
                    [1] => 168.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 04:00:00
                    [1] => 171.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 10:00:00
                    [1] => 156.12
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.3156668608037
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.2331539841148
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.9795029464514
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 19:45:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 20:00:00
                    [1] => 168.99
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 23:30:00
                    [1] => 168.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 02:15:00
                    [1] => 169.47
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 04:00:00
                    [1] => 171.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 07:45:00
                    [1] => 166.23
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 09:00:00
                    [1] => 170.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 10:30:00
                    [1] => 156.12
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 12:15:00
                    [1] => 156.13
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 13:45:00
                    [1] => 164.4
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.066909975669108
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.2264138858643
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.2968679946199
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 08:30:00
                    [1] => 170.09
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 09:10:00
                    [1] => 170.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 09:35:00
                    [1] => 163.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 10:40:00
                    [1] => 156.12
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 11:00:00
                    [1] => 159.66
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 11:20:00
                    [1] => 156.18
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 11:40:00
                    [1] => 159.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 12:15:00
                    [1] => 156.13
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 13:25:00
                    [1] => 163
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 13:55:00
                    [1] => 164.4
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.066909975669108
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.2264138858643
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 20
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.85889570552148
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.23%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
20 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.86%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.4528
3.31%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.4156
2.75%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-01 08:30:00 170.09 ↑ High
2025-12-01 09:10:00 170.3 ↑ High
2025-12-01 09:35:00 163.66 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 10:40:00 156.12 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 11:00:00 159.66 ↑ High
2025-12-01 11:20:00 156.18 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 11:40:00 159.67 ↑ High
2025-12-01 12:15:00 156.13 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 13:25:00 163 ↑ High
2025-12-01 13:55:00 164.4 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.23%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.30%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.8928
7.82%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.4156
2.75%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-30 19:45:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 20:00:00 168.99 ↓ Low
2025-11-30 23:30:00 168.43 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 02:15:00 169.47 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 04:00:00 171.7 ↑ High
2025-12-01 07:45:00 166.23 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 09:00:00 170.3 ↑ High
2025-12-01 10:30:00 156.12 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 12:15:00 156.13 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 13:45:00 164.4 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.32%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.23%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
9.98%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.8928
7.82%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.4156
2.75%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-30 08:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 10:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 12:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 14:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 16:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 18:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 20:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 23:00:00 168.43 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 04:00:00 171.7 ↑ High
2025-12-01 10:00:00 156.12 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
01 Dec 2025
13:57:35		 01 Dec 2025
14:05:00		 7 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
163.41 164.8472 160.5356 2 133.49
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 163.41
  • Stop Loss: 164.8472
  • Take Profit: 160.5356

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 164.8472 - 163.41 = 1.4372

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 163.41 - 160.5356 = 2.8744

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.8744 / 1.4372 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
909.5905 100 5.5663 9.10
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.4372

Taille de position = 8 / 1.4372 = 5.57

Taille de position USD = 5.57 x 163.41 = 910.19

Donc, tu peux acheter 5.57 avec un stoploss a 164.8472

Avec un position size USD de 910.19$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5.57 x 1.4372 = 8.01

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5.57 x 2.8744 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5.57
  • Taille de position USD 910.19
  • Perte potentielle 8.01
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.76 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.88 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.88
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0832 % 123.16 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.5356
            [entry_price] => 163.41
            [stop_loss] => 164.99092
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 14:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.5356
            [entry_price] => 163.41
            [stop_loss] => 165.13464
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 14:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.5356
            [entry_price] => 163.41
            [stop_loss] => 165.27836
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 14:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 160.5356
            [entry_price] => 163.41
            [stop_loss] => 165.5658
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 14:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.049999999999983
            [max_drawdown] => 9.07
            [rr_ratio] => 0.01
            [high] => 172.48000000
            [low] => 163.36000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.03
            [mae_pct] => 5.55
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.01
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-01T13:57:35-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-01T15:57:35-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.049999999999983
            [max_drawdown] => 12.14
            [rr_ratio] => 0
            [high] => 175.55000000
            [low] => 163.36000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.03
            [mae_pct] => 7.43
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-01T13:57:35-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-01T20:57:35-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 166.36000000
            [high_after] => 175.55000000
            [low_before] => 156.12000000
            [low_after] => 163.36000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)