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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 01 Dec 2025 at 14:08:07

Take profit at 162.0505 (1.83 %) and Stop Loss at 166.5797 (0.91 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 01 Dec 2025 at 14:08:07

With 5.2989 MSTR at 165.07$ per unit.

Position size of 874.6957 $

Take profit at 162.0505 (1.83 %) and Stop Loss at 166.5797 (0.91 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.25
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.53
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.5
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.85
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.576536

15m : -0.094785

1H : -0.016326

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.31
  4. atr: 1.006491004
Details
  1. score: 1.31
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 164.254
  4. ema21 : 167.665
  5. ema50 : 171.896
  6. ema100 : 174.47
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00496594
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0203461
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0246138
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0538814
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.360645
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.305398
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.193277
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.114575
  17. rsi : 0.407641
  18. adx : 0.533505
  19. kc_percentage : 0.30766
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0742548
  21. volume_ema_diff : 1.04555
  22. volume_ema1 : 531604.81374932
  23. volume_ema2 : 259883.25375514
  24. chop : 14.1474
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 162.063
  28. ema21 : 162.427
  29. ema50 : 165.439
  30. ema100 : 168.854
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0185531
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00224167
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0182055
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0224141
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0137762
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.140863
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.145304
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.110181
  41. rsi : 0.560087
  42. adx : 0.421987
  43. kc_percentage : 0.838283
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0491366
  45. volume_ema_diff : 0.0300757
  46. volume_ema1 : 160577.44203138
  47. volume_ema2 : 155888.96031953
  48. chop : 41.7439
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 163.156
  52. ema21 : 161.771
  53. ema50 : 161.695
  54. ema100 : 163.596
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0117265
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00856421
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0004697
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00900664
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.195882
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.137473
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0358047
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0116008
  65. rsi : 0.719871
  66. adx : 0.305497
  67. kc_percentage : 1.30968
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0241397
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.214188
  70. volume_ema1 : 75889.680345281
  71. volume_ema2 : 62502.378703718
  72. chop : 34.6986
  73. regime : bull_medium_confirmed
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    85388.1
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00666559
  78. 5m_price: 
    84819
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.576536
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86963.8
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0246641
  83. 15m_price: 
    84819
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.094785
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    89406.8
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0513142
  88. 1H_price: 
    84819
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.016326
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 08:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 10:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 12:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 14:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 16:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 18:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 20:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 23:00:00
                    [1] => 168.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 04:00:00
                    [1] => 171.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 10:00:00
                    [1] => 156.12
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.1467676179383
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.4189085318985
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.9795029464514
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 19:45:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 20:00:00
                    [1] => 168.99
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 23:30:00
                    [1] => 168.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 02:15:00
                    [1] => 169.47
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 04:00:00
                    [1] => 171.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 07:45:00
                    [1] => 166.23
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 09:00:00
                    [1] => 170.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 10:30:00
                    [1] => 156.12
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 12:15:00
                    [1] => 156.13
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 14:00:00
                    [1] => 165.18
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.36324010170723
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.4121565362198
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.7964516748863
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 08:30:00
                    [1] => 170.09
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 09:10:00
                    [1] => 170.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 09:35:00
                    [1] => 163.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 10:40:00
                    [1] => 156.12
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 11:00:00
                    [1] => 159.66
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 11:20:00
                    [1] => 156.18
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 11:40:00
                    [1] => 159.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 12:15:00
                    [1] => 156.13
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 13:25:00
                    [1] => 163
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 14:05:00
                    [1] => 165.18
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.36324010170723
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.4121565362198
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 22
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3374233128834
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.36%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.41%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
22 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.34%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.7203
2.23%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.9305
3.66%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-01 08:30:00 170.09 ↑ High
2025-12-01 09:10:00 170.3 ↑ High
2025-12-01 09:35:00 163.66 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 10:40:00 156.12 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 11:00:00 159.66 ↑ High
2025-12-01 11:20:00 156.18 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 11:40:00 159.67 ↑ High
2025-12-01 12:15:00 156.13 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 13:25:00 163 ↑ High
2025-12-01 14:05:00 165.18 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.36%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.41%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.80%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11.1603
6.70%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.9305
3.66%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-30 19:45:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 20:00:00 168.99 ↓ Low
2025-11-30 23:30:00 168.43 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 02:15:00 169.47 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 04:00:00 171.7 ↑ High
2025-12-01 07:45:00 166.23 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 09:00:00 170.3 ↑ High
2025-12-01 10:30:00 156.12 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 12:15:00 156.13 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 14:00:00 165.18 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.42%
Bars Since Swing High
10 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
9.98%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11.1603
6.70%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.9305
3.66%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-30 08:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 10:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 12:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 14:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 16:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 18:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 20:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 23:00:00 168.43 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 04:00:00 171.7 ↑ High
2025-12-01 10:00:00 156.12 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
01 Dec 2025
14:08:07		 01 Dec 2025
15:00:00		 51 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
165.07 166.5797 162.0505 2 133.02
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 165.07
  • Stop Loss: 166.5797
  • Take Profit: 162.0505

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 166.5797 - 165.07 = 1.5097

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 165.07 - 162.0505 = 3.0195

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.0195 / 1.5097 = 2.0001

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
874.6957 100 5.2989 8.75
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.5097

Taille de position = 8 / 1.5097 = 5.3

Taille de position USD = 5.3 x 165.07 = 874.87

Donc, tu peux acheter 5.3 avec un stoploss a 166.5797

Avec un position size USD de 874.87$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5.3 x 1.5097 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5.3 x 3.0195 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5.3
  • Taille de position USD 874.87
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0001

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.83 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.91 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.91
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.5872 % 173.54 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 162.0505
            [entry_price] => 165.07
            [stop_loss] => 166.73067
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 15:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 162.0505
            [entry_price] => 165.07
            [stop_loss] => 166.88164
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 15:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 162.0505
            [entry_price] => 165.07
            [stop_loss] => 167.03261
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 15:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 162.0505
            [entry_price] => 165.07
            [stop_loss] => 167.33455
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 15:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.71
            [max_drawdown] => 8.85
            [rr_ratio] => 0.19
            [high] => 173.92000000
            [low] => 163.36000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.04
            [mae_pct] => 5.36
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.19
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-01T14:08:07-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-01T16:08:07-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.71
            [max_drawdown] => 10.48
            [rr_ratio] => 0.16
            [high] => 175.55000000
            [low] => 163.36000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.04
            [mae_pct] => 6.35
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.16
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-01T14:08:07-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-01T21:08:07-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 165.74000000
            [high_after] => 175.55000000
            [low_before] => 156.12000000
            [low_after] => 163.36000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)