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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 01 Dec 2025 at 14:58:59

Take profit at 163.2665 (1.61 %) and Stop Loss at 167.2617 (0.8 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 01 Dec 2025 at 14:58:59

With 6.0072 MSTR at 165.93$ per unit.

Position size of 996.7719 $

Take profit at 163.2665 (1.61 %) and Stop Loss at 167.2617 (0.8 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.77
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.75
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.62
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.590458

15m : -0.086694

1H : -3.2E-5

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.08
  4. atr: 0.8878260322
Details
  1. score: 1.08
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 164.426
  4. ema21 : 167.743
  5. ema50 : 171.93
  6. ema100 : 174.487
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00914499
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0197773
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0243504
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.049045
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.352296
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.301655
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.19168
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.113773
  17. rsi : 0.429496
  18. adx : 0.529628
  19. kc_percentage : 0.375763
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0766181
  21. volume_ema_diff : 1.41484
  22. volume_ema1 : 665663.36084932
  23. volume_ema2 : 275654.84753162
  24. chop : 14.2835
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 163.635
  28. ema21 : 163.115
  29. ema50 : 165.406
  30. ema100 : 168.638
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0140244
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00318823
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0138542
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0160588
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.188259
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0183181
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0906823
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0845335
  41. rsi : 0.580561
  42. adx : 0.344073
  43. kc_percentage : 0.88512
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0447458
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.152674
  46. volume_ema1 : 129051.52106362
  47. volume_ema2 : 152304.51428004
  48. chop : 38.391
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 165.144
  52. ema21 : 163.857
  53. ema50 : 162.804
  54. ema100 : 163.841
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00475519
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0078561
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00646476
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0127487
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.153486
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.142132
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0712668
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.01618
  65. rsi : 0.682852
  66. adx : 0.371056
  67. kc_percentage : 1.08253
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0204791
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.39161
  70. volume_ema1 : 33550.344106564
  71. volume_ema2 : 55146.114452915
  72. chop : 43.2757
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    85244.8
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00362495
  78. 5m_price: 
    84935.8
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.590458
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    86846.6
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0229916
  83. 15m_price: 
    84849.9
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.086694
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    89409.1
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0500324
  88. 1H_price: 
    84935.8
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -3.2E-5
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 08:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 10:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 12:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 14:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 16:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 18:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 20:00:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 23:00:00
                    [1] => 168.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 04:00:00
                    [1] => 171.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 10:00:00
                    [1] => 156.12
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.3779848573093
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.2644119907763
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.9795029464514
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 19:45:00
                    [1] => 177.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 20:00:00
                    [1] => 168.99
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-30 23:30:00
                    [1] => 168.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 02:15:00
                    [1] => 169.47
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 04:00:00
                    [1] => 171.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 07:45:00
                    [1] => 166.23
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 09:00:00
                    [1] => 170.3
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 10:30:00
                    [1] => 156.12
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 12:15:00
                    [1] => 156.13
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 14:45:00
                    [1] => 166.48
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.34839019702065
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.2576058412861
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.629091141997
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 09:35:00
                    [1] => 163.66
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 10:40:00
                    [1] => 156.12
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 11:00:00
                    [1] => 159.66
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 11:20:00
                    [1] => 156.18
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 11:40:00
                    [1] => 159.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 12:15:00
                    [1] => 156.13
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 13:25:00
                    [1] => 163
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 14:05:00
                    [1] => 165.18
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 14:30:00
                    [1] => 163.36
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 14:55:00
                    [1] => 166.48
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.34839019702065
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5548481880509
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9098922624877
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.35%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.55%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.91%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.7817
0.47%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.1465
4.38%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-01 09:35:00 163.66 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 10:40:00 156.12 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 11:00:00 159.66 ↑ High
2025-12-01 11:20:00 156.18 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 11:40:00 159.67 ↑ High
2025-12-01 12:15:00 156.13 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 13:25:00 163 ↑ High
2025-12-01 14:05:00 165.18 ↑ High
2025-12-01 14:30:00 163.36 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 14:55:00 166.48 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.35%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.26%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.63%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
10.4783
6.26%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.1465
4.38%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-30 19:45:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 20:00:00 168.99 ↓ Low
2025-11-30 23:30:00 168.43 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 02:15:00 169.47 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 04:00:00 171.7 ↑ High
2025-12-01 07:45:00 166.23 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 09:00:00 170.3 ↑ High
2025-12-01 10:30:00 156.12 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 12:15:00 156.13 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 14:45:00 166.48 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.38%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.26%
Bars Since Swing High
10 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
9.98%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
10.4783
6.26%
TP to Pivot Distance
7.1465
4.38%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-30 08:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 10:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 12:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 14:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 16:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 18:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 20:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 23:00:00 168.43 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 04:00:00 171.7 ↑ High
2025-12-01 10:00:00 156.12 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
01 Dec 2025
14:58:59		 01 Dec 2025
15:00:00		 1 minute

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
165.93 167.2617 163.2665 2 134.24
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 165.93
  • Stop Loss: 167.2617
  • Take Profit: 163.2665

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 167.2617 - 165.93 = 1.3317

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 165.93 - 163.2665 = 2.6635

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.6635 / 1.3317 = 2.0001

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
996.7719 100 6.0072 9.97
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.3317

Taille de position = 8 / 1.3317 = 6.01

Taille de position USD = 6.01 x 165.93 = 997.24

Donc, tu peux acheter 6.01 avec un stoploss a 167.2617

Avec un position size USD de 997.24$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 6.01 x 1.3317 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 6.01 x 2.6635 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 6.01
  • Taille de position USD 997.24
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0001

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.61 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.8 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.80
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0607 % 132.16 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 163.2665
            [entry_price] => 165.93
            [stop_loss] => 167.39487
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 15:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 163.2665
            [entry_price] => 165.93
            [stop_loss] => 167.52804
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 15:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 163.2665
            [entry_price] => 165.93
            [stop_loss] => 167.66121
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 15:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 163.2665
            [entry_price] => 165.93
            [stop_loss] => 167.92755
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-01 15:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.030000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 9.62
            [rr_ratio] => 0
            [high] => 175.55000000
            [low] => 165.90000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.02
            [mae_pct] => 5.8
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-01T14:58:59-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-01T16:58:59-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.030000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 9.62
            [rr_ratio] => 0
            [high] => 175.55000000
            [low] => 165.90000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.02
            [mae_pct] => 5.8
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-01T14:58:59-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-01T21:58:59-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 166.48000000
            [high_after] => 175.55000000
            [low_before] => 156.13000000
            [low_after] => 165.90000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)