Short Trade on TAO 01 Dec 2025 at 15:56:26
Take profit at 258.9583 (1.15 %) and Stop Loss at 263.4909 (0.58 %)
Short Trade on TAO 01 Dec 2025 at 15:56:26
Take profit at 258.9583 (1.15 %) and Stop Loss at 263.4909 (0.58 %)
Position size of 1387.1797 $
Take profit at 258.9583 (1.15 %) and Stop Loss at 263.4909 (0.58 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.97 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.63 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.92 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.783216 15m : -0.025971 1H : -0.022032 |
2 |
Indicators:
85176.5
0.0023016
85372.6
0.783216
86751.8
-0.0160941
85355.7
-0.025971
89331.8
-0.0443204
85372.6
-0.022032
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 06:00:00
[1] => 299.56
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 13:00:00
[1] => 292.11
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 17:00:00
[1] => 297.25
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 22:00:00
[1] => 290
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 07:00:00
[1] => 290.53
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 08:00:00
[1] => 296.62
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 17:00:00
[1] => 299.09
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 00:00:00
[1] => 264.94
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 04:00:00
[1] => 273.4
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 10:00:00
[1] => 254.08
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.4550109729334
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.8101385390428
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.6039042821159
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 01:45:00
[1] => 270.73
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 02:30:00
[1] => 267.68
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 04:15:00
[1] => 273.4
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 07:45:00
[1] => 261.14
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 08:00:00
[1] => 266.5
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 09:45:00
[1] => 267.03
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 10:30:00
[1] => 254.08
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 12:30:00
[1] => 255.43
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 14:30:00
[1] => 256.35
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 15:45:00
[1] => 262.09
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.33194704109273
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8997464404135
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2391261946557
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 10:30:00
[1] => 254.08
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 11:35:00
[1] => 260.59
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 12:30:00
[1] => 255.43
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 13:05:00
[1] => 255.91
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 13:15:00
[1] => 259.25
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 13:55:00
[1] => 259.87
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 14:30:00
[1] => 256.35
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 15:10:00
[1] => 261.49
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 15:35:00
[1] => 259.69
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 15:55:00
[1] => 262.09
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.33194704109273
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.58916400323464
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.92417882860333
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-01 10:30:00 | 254.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 11:35:00 | 260.59 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 12:30:00 | 255.43 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 13:05:00 | 255.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 13:15:00 | 259.25 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 13:55:00 | 259.87 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 14:30:00 | 256.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 15:10:00 | 261.49 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 15:35:00 | 259.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 15:55:00 | 262.09 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-01 01:45:00 | 270.73 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 02:30:00 | 267.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 04:15:00 | 273.4 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 07:45:00 | 261.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 08:00:00 | 266.5 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 09:45:00 | 267.03 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 10:30:00 | 254.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 12:30:00 | 255.43 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 14:30:00 | 256.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 15:45:00 | 262.09 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 06:00:00 | 299.56 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 13:00:00 | 292.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 17:00:00 | 297.25 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 22:00:00 | 290 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 07:00:00 | 290.53 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 08:00:00 | 296.62 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 17:00:00 | 299.09 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 00:00:00 | 264.94 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 04:00:00 | 273.4 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 10:00:00 | 254.08 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec 2025 15:56:26 |
01 Dec 2025 16:20:00 |
23 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 261.98 | 263.4909 | 258.9583 | 2 | 181.67 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 263.4909 - 261.98 = 1.5109
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 261.98 - 258.9583 = 3.0217
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.0217 / 1.5109 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1387.1797 | 100 | 5.295 | 13.87 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.5109 = 5.29
Taille de position USD = 5.29 x 261.98 = 1385.87
Donc, tu peux acheter 5.29 avec un stoploss a 263.4909
Avec un position size USD de 1385.87$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 5.29 x 1.5109 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 5.29 x 3.0217 = 15.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.98$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.15 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.58 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.58 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.981 % | 170.11 % | 4 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 258.9583
[entry_price] => 261.98
[stop_loss] => 263.64199
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 16:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 258.9583
[entry_price] => 261.98
[stop_loss] => 263.79308
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 16:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 258.9583
[entry_price] => 261.98
[stop_loss] => 263.94417
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 16:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 258.9583
[entry_price] => 261.98
[stop_loss] => 264.24635
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 16:20:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.44
[max_drawdown] => 4.97
[rr_ratio] => 0.29
[high] => 266.95000000
[low] => 260.54000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.55
[mae_pct] => 1.9
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.29
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-01T15:56:26-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-01T17:56:26-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.44
[max_drawdown] => 6.78
[rr_ratio] => 0.21
[high] => 268.76000000
[low] => 260.54000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.55
[mae_pct] => 2.59
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.21
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-01T15:56:26-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-01T22:56:26-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 262.09000000
[high_after] => 268.76000000
[low_before] => 255.43000000
[low_after] => 260.54000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)