Short Trade on KAS 01 Dec 2025 at 16:34:45
Take profit at 0.05192 (1.48 %) and Stop Loss at 0.05309 (0.74 %)
Short Trade on KAS 01 Dec 2025 at 16:34:45
Take profit at 0.05192 (1.48 %) and Stop Loss at 0.05309 (0.74 %)
Position size of 1081.3378 $
Take profit at 0.05192 (1.48 %) and Stop Loss at 0.05309 (0.74 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.99 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.99 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.99 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bull_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.752886 15m : -0.106792 1H : -0.145182 |
2 |
Indicators:
85337.9
0.0124523
86400.6
0.752886
86680.5
-0.00322938
86400.6
-0.106792
89316.1
-0.032643
86400.6
-0.145182
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-28 09:00:00
[1] => 0.06304
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 00:00:00
[1] => 0.05891
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 03:00:00
[1] => 0.05647
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 09:00:00
[1] => 0.05596
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 15:00:00
[1] => 0.05602
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 00:00:00
[1] => 0.05571
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 15:00:00
[1] => 0.06061
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 04:00:00
[1] => 0.05363
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 10:00:00
[1] => 0.05032
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 16:00:00
[1] => 0.05273
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.7893481717011
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.7893481717011
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 23:45:00
[1] => 0.0521
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 01:30:00
[1] => 0.05308
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 02:00:00
[1] => 0.05112
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 04:15:00
[1] => 0.05363
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 07:45:00
[1] => 0.05059
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 09:30:00
[1] => 0.05221
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 10:45:00
[1] => 0.05032
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 13:00:00
[1] => 0.05173
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 14:30:00
[1] => 0.05066
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 16:30:00
[1] => 0.05273
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.0860639557837
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.0860639557837
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 10:45:00
[1] => 0.05032
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 10:50:00
[1] => 0.05161
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 11:35:00
[1] => 0.05154
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 12:15:00
[1] => 0.05059
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 13:10:00
[1] => 0.05173
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 13:35:00
[1] => 0.05085
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 13:55:00
[1] => 0.05151
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 14:30:00
[1] => 0.05066
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 15:10:00
[1] => 0.05205
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 16:30:00
[1] => 0.05273
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.0860639557837
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 24
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3064361191162
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-01 10:45:00 | 0.05032 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 10:50:00 | 0.05161 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 11:35:00 | 0.05154 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 12:15:00 | 0.05059 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 13:10:00 | 0.05173 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 13:35:00 | 0.05085 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 13:55:00 | 0.05151 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 14:30:00 | 0.05066 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 15:10:00 | 0.05205 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 16:30:00 | 0.05273 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 23:45:00 | 0.0521 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 01:30:00 | 0.05308 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 02:00:00 | 0.05112 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 04:15:00 | 0.05363 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 07:45:00 | 0.05059 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 09:30:00 | 0.05221 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 10:45:00 | 0.05032 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 13:00:00 | 0.05173 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 14:30:00 | 0.05066 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 16:30:00 | 0.05273 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-28 09:00:00 | 0.06304 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 00:00:00 | 0.05891 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 03:00:00 | 0.05647 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 09:00:00 | 0.05596 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 15:00:00 | 0.05602 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 00:00:00 | 0.05571 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 15:00:00 | 0.06061 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 04:00:00 | 0.05363 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 10:00:00 | 0.05032 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 16:00:00 | 0.05273 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec 2025 16:34:45 |
01 Dec 2025 18:50:00 |
2 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0527 | 0.05309 | 0.05192 | 2 | 0.03144 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.05309 - 0.0527 = 0.00039
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0527 - 0.05192 = 0.00078
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00078 / 0.00039 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1081.3378 | 100 | 20518.7429 | 10.81 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00039 = 20512.82
Taille de position USD = 20512.82 x 0.0527 = 1081.03
Donc, tu peux acheter 20512.82 avec un stoploss a 0.05309
Avec un position size USD de 1081.03$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 20512.82 x 0.00039 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 20512.82 x 0.00078 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.48 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.74 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 1.48 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3226 % | 43.59 % | 7 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.05192
[stop_loss] => 0.05309
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 18:50:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.051725
[stop_loss] => 0.05309
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 20:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.05153
[stop_loss] => 0.05309
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 20:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.051335
[stop_loss] => 0.05309
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 20:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.05114
[stop_loss] => 0.05309
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 20:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.050945
[stop_loss] => 0.05309
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 20:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.05075
[stop_loss] => 0.05309
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 20:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.050555
[stop_loss] => 0.05309
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 20:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.05036
[stop_loss] => 0.05309
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 20:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.050165
[stop_loss] => 0.05309
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 20:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.04997
[stop_loss] => 0.05309
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 20:05:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00053
[max_drawdown] => 0.00017
[rr_ratio] => 3.12
[high] => 0.05287000
[low] => 0.05217000
[mfe_pct] => 1.01
[mae_pct] => 0.32
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.12
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-01T16:34:45-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-01T18:34:45-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00086
[max_drawdown] => 0.00073
[rr_ratio] => 1.18
[high] => 0.05343000
[low] => 0.05184000
[mfe_pct] => 1.63
[mae_pct] => 1.39
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.18
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-01T16:34:45-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-01T23:34:45-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.05273000
[high_after] => 0.05327000
[low_before] => 0.05066000
[low_after] => 0.05184000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)