Short Trade on SWARMS
The 01 Dec 2025 at 16:36:00
With 65169.8951 SWARMS at 0.01264$ per unit.
Position size of 823.7475 $
Take profit at 0.01239 (1.98 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01276 (0.95 %)
That's a 2.08 RR TradePosition size of 823.7475 $
Take profit at 0.01239 (1.98 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01276 (0.95 %)
That's a 2.08 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.89 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.79 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.87 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bull_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.462063 15m : 0.101488 1H : 0.011219 |
2 |
Indicators:
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec 2025 16:36:00 |
01 Dec 2025 17:30:00 |
54 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01264 | 0.01276 | 0.01239 | 2.08 | 0.01678 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01276 - 0.01264 = 0.00012
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01264 - 0.01239 = 0.00025
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00025 / 0.00012 = 2.0833
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 823.7475 | 100 | 65169.8951 | 8.24 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00012 = 66666.67
Taille de position USD = 66666.67 x 0.01264 = 842.67
Donc, tu peux acheter 66666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.01276
Avec un position size USD de 842.67$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 66666.67 x 0.00012 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 66666.67 x 0.00025 = 16.67
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.67$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.98 % | 16.29 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.95 % | 7.82 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.29 $ | 1.98 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2373 % | 24.99 % | 2 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0124
[stop_loss] => 0.01276
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 17:30:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01234
[stop_loss] => 0.01276
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 17:30:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01228
[stop_loss] => 0.01276
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 17:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01222
[stop_loss] => 0.01276
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 19:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01216
[stop_loss] => 0.01276
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 19:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0121
[stop_loss] => 0.01276
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 19:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01204
[stop_loss] => 0.01276
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 19:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01198
[stop_loss] => 0.01276
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 19:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01192
[stop_loss] => 0.01276
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 19:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01186
[stop_loss] => 0.01276
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 19:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0118
[stop_loss] => 0.01276
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 19:35:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00041
[max_drawdown] => 3.0000000000001E-5
[rr_ratio] => 13.67
[high] => 0.01267000
[low] => 0.01223000
[mfe_pct] => 3.24
[mae_pct] => 0.24
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 13.67
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-01T16:36:00-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-01T18:36:00-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00041
[max_drawdown] => 0.00061
[rr_ratio] => 0.67
[high] => 0.01325000
[low] => 0.01223000
[mfe_pct] => 3.24
[mae_pct] => 4.83
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.67
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-01T16:36:00-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-01T23:36:00-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.01268000
[high_after] => 0.01309000
[low_before] => 0.01198000
[low_after] => 0.01223000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)