Short Trade on BTC 01 Dec 2025 at 16:38:13
Take profit at 85443.7769 (0.9 %) and Stop Loss at 86608.7116 (0.45 %)
Short Trade on BTC 01 Dec 2025 at 16:38:13
Take profit at 85443.7769 (0.9 %) and Stop Loss at 86608.7116 (0.45 %)
Position size of 1776.3138 $
Take profit at 85443.7769 (0.9 %) and Stop Loss at 86608.7116 (0.45 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.99 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.93 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.97 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bull_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 1 15m : 0.036694 1H : -0.078443 |
2 |
Indicators:
85354
0.0101506
86220.4
1
86680.3
-0.00331307
86393.2
0.036694
89312.5
-0.034622
86220.4
-0.078443
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Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-01 10:45:00 | 83777.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 11:15:00 | 84000 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 11:40:00 | 85440 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 12:15:00 | 84425.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 13:20:00 | 85533.8 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 13:40:00 | 84686 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 14:30:00 | 84562.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 15:10:00 | 85788 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 15:30:00 | 85126.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 16:35:00 | 86440 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 17:15:00 | 91300 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 20:00:00 | 86902.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 00:00:00 | 85555.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 04:00:00 | 86900 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 07:45:00 | 84707.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 09:30:00 | 86641.8 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 10:45:00 | 83777.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 13:15:00 | 85533.8 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 14:30:00 | 84562.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 16:30:00 | 86440 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-28 12:00:00 | 90163.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 01:00:00 | 90283 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 11:00:00 | 91135 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 13:00:00 | 90113 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 22:00:00 | 90420 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 08:00:00 | 91915 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 00:00:00 | 85555.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 04:00:00 | 86900 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 10:00:00 | 83777.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 16:00:00 | 86440 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec 2025 16:38:13 |
01 Dec 2025 17:05:00 |
26 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86220.4 | 86608.7116 | 85443.7769 | 2 | 67387.4 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 86608.7116 - 86220.4 = 388.3116
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 86220.4 - 85443.7769 = 776.6231
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 776.6231 / 388.3116 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1776.3138 | 100 | 0.0206 | 17.76 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 388.3116 = 0.02
Taille de position USD = 0.02 x 86220.4 = 1724.41
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.02 avec un stoploss a 86608.7116
Avec un position size USD de 1724.41$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.02 x 388.3116 = 7.77
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.77$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.02 x 776.6231 = 15.53
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.53$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.9 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.45 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.45 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6222 % | 138.14 % | 1 |
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