Short Trade on SWARMS 01 Dec 2025 at 16:43:01
Take profit at 0.01239 (1.98 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01276 (0.95 %)
Short Trade on SWARMS 01 Dec 2025 at 16:43:01
Take profit at 0.01239 (1.98 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01276 (0.95 %)
Position size of 819.403 $
Take profit at 0.01239 (1.98 %) and Stop Loss at 0.01276 (0.95 %)
That's a 2.08 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.83 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.85 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.86 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bull_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.461434 15m : -0.000664 1H : 0.047044 |
2 |
Indicators:
85383.9
0.0114069
86357.9
0.461434
86680.3
-0.00331307
86393.2
-0.000664
89315.3
-0.0331119
86357.9
0.047044
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-28 17:00:00
[1] => 0.01214
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-28 22:00:00
[1] => 0.01287
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 05:00:00
[1] => 0.0122
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 11:00:00
[1] => 0.01238
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 16:00:00
[1] => 0.01365
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 00:00:00
[1] => 0.01289
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 11:00:00
[1] => 0.01529
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 17:00:00
[1] => 0.01519
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 07:00:00
[1] => 0.01128
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 16:00:00
[1] => 0.01268
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.39432176656151
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 11.968085106383
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 12.41134751773
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 00:30:00
[1] => 0.01308
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 03:15:00
[1] => 0.01372
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 04:30:00
[1] => 0.01372
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 07:00:00
[1] => 0.01128
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 08:15:00
[1] => 0.01224
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 09:30:00
[1] => 0.01172
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 11:00:00
[1] => 0.01177
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 11:45:00
[1] => 0.01234
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 14:15:00
[1] => 0.01202
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 16:15:00
[1] => 0.01268
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.39432176656151
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.0748752079867
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.4908485856905
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 11:45:00
[1] => 0.01234
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 12:30:00
[1] => 0.01189
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 13:15:00
[1] => 0.01222
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 13:40:00
[1] => 0.01208
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 13:55:00
[1] => 0.01226
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 14:25:00
[1] => 0.01202
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 15:10:00
[1] => 0.01232
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 15:30:00
[1] => 0.01218
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 15:50:00
[1] => 0.01261
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 16:25:00
[1] => 0.01268
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.39432176656151
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.6945812807882
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.55511498810468
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-01 11:45:00 | 0.01234 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 12:30:00 | 0.01189 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 13:15:00 | 0.01222 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 13:40:00 | 0.01208 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 13:55:00 | 0.01226 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 14:25:00 | 0.01202 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 15:10:00 | 0.01232 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 15:30:00 | 0.01218 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 15:50:00 | 0.01261 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 16:25:00 | 0.01268 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-01 00:30:00 | 0.01308 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 03:15:00 | 0.01372 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 04:30:00 | 0.01372 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 07:00:00 | 0.01128 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 08:15:00 | 0.01224 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 09:30:00 | 0.01172 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 11:00:00 | 0.01177 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 11:45:00 | 0.01234 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 14:15:00 | 0.01202 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 16:15:00 | 0.01268 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-28 17:00:00 | 0.01214 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-28 22:00:00 | 0.01287 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 05:00:00 | 0.0122 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 11:00:00 | 0.01238 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 16:00:00 | 0.01365 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 00:00:00 | 0.01289 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 11:00:00 | 0.01529 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 17:00:00 | 0.01519 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 07:00:00 | 0.01128 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 16:00:00 | 0.01268 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec 2025 16:43:01 |
01 Dec 2025 17:30:00 |
46 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01264 | 0.01276 | 0.01239 | 2.08 | 0.01513 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01276 - 0.01264 = 0.00012
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01264 - 0.01239 = 0.00025
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00025 / 0.00012 = 2.0833
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 819.403 | 100 | 64826.187 | 8.19 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00012 = 66666.67
Taille de position USD = 66666.67 x 0.01264 = 842.67
Donc, tu peux acheter 66666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.01276
Avec un position size USD de 842.67$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 66666.67 x 0.00012 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 66666.67 x 0.00025 = 16.67
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.67$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.98 % | 16.21 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.95 % | 7.78 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.21 $ | 1.98 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0124
[stop_loss] => 0.01276
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 17:30:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01234
[stop_loss] => 0.01276
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 17:30:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01228
[stop_loss] => 0.01276
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 17:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01222
[stop_loss] => 0.01276
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 19:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01216
[stop_loss] => 0.01276
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 19:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0121
[stop_loss] => 0.01276
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 19:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01204
[stop_loss] => 0.01276
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 19:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01198
[stop_loss] => 0.01276
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 19:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01192
[stop_loss] => 0.01276
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 19:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.01186
[stop_loss] => 0.01276
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 19:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0118
[stop_loss] => 0.01276
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 19:35:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00041
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 0.01264000
[low] => 0.01223000
[mfe_pct] => 3.24
[mae_pct] => 0
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-01T16:43:01-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-01T18:43:01-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00041
[max_drawdown] => 0.00061
[rr_ratio] => 0.67
[high] => 0.01325000
[low] => 0.01223000
[mfe_pct] => 3.24
[mae_pct] => 4.83
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.67
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-01T16:43:01-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-01T23:43:01-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.01268000
[high_after] => 0.01309000
[low_before] => 0.01202000
[low_after] => 0.01223000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)