Short Trade on AVAX 01 Dec 2025 at 20:11:51
Take profit at 12.7595 (1.04 %) and Stop Loss at 12.9613 (0.52 %)
Short Trade on AVAX 01 Dec 2025 at 20:11:51
Take profit at 12.7595 (1.04 %) and Stop Loss at 12.9613 (0.52 %)
Position size of 1533.4795 $
Take profit at 12.7595 (1.04 %) and Stop Loss at 12.9613 (0.52 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.93 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.81 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.98 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bull_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.851142 15m : -0.252599 1H : 0.128924 |
1 |
Indicators:
85872.4
0.0124599
86942.4
0.851142
86243
0.00810889
86942.4
-0.252599
89040.2
-0.0235608
86942.4
0.128924
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-28 16:00:00
[1] => 14.775
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-28 23:00:00
[1] => 14.9
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 03:00:00
[1] => 14.625
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-29 06:00:00
[1] => 14.883
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 01:00:00
[1] => 13.968
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 08:00:00
[1] => 14.295
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 23:00:00
[1] => 12.862
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 04:00:00
[1] => 13.093
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 11:00:00
[1] => 12.541
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 20:00:00
[1] => 13.01
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0453497309762
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.6552906466789
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.7397336735507
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 08:00:00
[1] => 12.967
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 08:30:00
[1] => 12.734
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 09:30:00
[1] => 12.95
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 11:15:00
[1] => 12.541
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 13:15:00
[1] => 12.773
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 15:30:00
[1] => 12.585
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 17:00:00
[1] => 12.846
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 18:30:00
[1] => 12.854
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 19:15:00
[1] => 12.698
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 20:00:00
[1] => 13.01
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0453497309762
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.386045046464
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4570798550953
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 13:55:00
[1] => 12.721
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 15:00:00
[1] => 12.592
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 15:10:00
[1] => 12.75
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 15:30:00
[1] => 12.585
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 17:05:00
[1] => 12.846
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 17:35:00
[1] => 12.735
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 18:10:00
[1] => 12.758
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 18:30:00
[1] => 12.854
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 19:25:00
[1] => 12.698
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 20:05:00
[1] => 13.01
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0453497309762
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.386045046464
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4570798550953
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-01 13:55:00 | 12.721 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 15:00:00 | 12.592 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 15:10:00 | 12.75 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 15:30:00 | 12.585 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 17:05:00 | 12.846 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 17:35:00 | 12.735 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 18:10:00 | 12.758 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 18:30:00 | 12.854 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 19:25:00 | 12.698 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 20:05:00 | 13.01 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-01 08:00:00 | 12.967 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 08:30:00 | 12.734 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 09:30:00 | 12.95 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 11:15:00 | 12.541 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 13:15:00 | 12.773 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 15:30:00 | 12.585 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 17:00:00 | 12.846 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 18:30:00 | 12.854 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 19:15:00 | 12.698 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 20:00:00 | 13.01 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-28 16:00:00 | 14.775 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-28 23:00:00 | 14.9 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-29 03:00:00 | 14.625 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-29 06:00:00 | 14.883 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 01:00:00 | 13.968 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 08:00:00 | 14.295 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 23:00:00 | 12.862 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 04:00:00 | 13.093 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 11:00:00 | 12.541 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 20:00:00 | 13.01 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec 2025 20:11:51 |
01 Dec 2025 23:00:00 |
2 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.894 | 12.9613 | 12.7595 | 2 | 9.302 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.9613 - 12.894 = 0.067299999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.894 - 12.7595 = 0.1345
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1345 / 0.067299999999999 = 1.9985
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1533.4795 | 100 | 118.9297 | 15.33 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.067299999999999 = 118.87
Taille de position USD = 118.87 x 12.894 = 1532.71
Donc, tu peux acheter 118.87 avec un stoploss a 12.9613
Avec un position size USD de 1532.71$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 118.87 x 0.067299999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 118.87 x 0.1345 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.04 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.52 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.52 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7135 % | 136.71 % | 10 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.7595
[entry_price] => 12.894
[stop_loss] => 12.96803
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 23:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.7595
[entry_price] => 12.894
[stop_loss] => 12.97476
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 23:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.7595
[entry_price] => 12.894
[stop_loss] => 12.98149
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-01 23:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.7595
[entry_price] => 12.894
[stop_loss] => 12.99495
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-02 01:50:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.08
[max_drawdown] => 0.047000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 1.7
[high] => 12.94100000
[low] => 12.81400000
[mfe_pct] => 0.62
[mae_pct] => 0.36
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.7
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-01T20:11:51-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-01T22:11:51-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.088000000000001
[max_drawdown] => 0.135
[rr_ratio] => 0.65
[high] => 13.02900000
[low] => 12.80600000
[mfe_pct] => 0.68
[mae_pct] => 1.05
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.65
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-01T20:11:51-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-02T03:11:51-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 13.01000000
[high_after] => 13.00500000
[low_before] => 12.67500000
[low_after] => 12.80600000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)