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Short Trade on ARC

Short Trade on ARC

The 02 Dec 2025 at 08:36:03

With 16935.9804 ARC at 0.04097$ per unit.

Position size of 693.8671 $

Take profit at 0.04003 (2.29 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04144 (1.15 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.2
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.76
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.61
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.89
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.012371

15m : -0.039266

1H : -0.039719

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.07
  4. atr: 0.000314911402
Details
  1. score: 1.07
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 0.0411653
  4. ema21 - 0.041939
  5. ema50 - 0.0429344
  6. ema100 - 0.0444229
  7. price_ema9_diff - -0.00474462
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0184498
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0231832
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0777281
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.333935
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.227739
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.1614
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.140232
  17. rsi - 0.449348
  18. adx - 0.127158
  19. kc_percentage - 0.359637
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.159657
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.591856
  22. volume_ema1 - 253190.86938061
  23. volume_ema2 - 620347.24238455
  24. chop - 66.7408
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 0.0403276
  28. ema21 - 0.0407012
  29. ema50 - 0.041369
  30. ema100 - 0.0413525
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.0159278
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00917984
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0161414
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.00925105
  35. all_emas_in_trend - True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - -0.166453
  38. ema_slope_21 - -0.22996
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.151611
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0671614
  41. rsi - 0.494146
  42. adx - 0.337024
  43. kc_percentage - 0.619536
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0625436
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.127635
  46. volume_ema1 - 55734.399539802
  47. volume_ema2 - 63888.885161159
  48. chop - 59.504
  49. regime - bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 0.0404826
  52. ema21 - 0.0402751
  53. ema50 - 0.0405464
  54. ema100 - 0.0411382
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.0120376
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00515236
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00668979
  58. price_ema100_diff - -0.0040887
  59. all_emas_in_trend - False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.156318
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.0601355
  63. ema_slope_50 - -0.024255
  64. ema_slope_100 - -0.0439126
  65. rsi - 0.664432
  66. adx - 0.244373
  67. kc_percentage - 1.07098
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.0295377
  69. volume_ema_diff - -0.259175
  70. volume_ema1 - 18200.782908592
  71. volume_ema2 - 24568.271064003
  72. chop - 40.3089
  73. regime - range_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 87063.1
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.00342217
  78. 5m_price: 87361.1
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.012371
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 86454.5
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 0.00991972
  83. 15m_price: 87312.2
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.039266
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 88665.9
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0147168
  88. 1H_price: 87361.1
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.039719
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
02 Dec 2025
08:36:03		 02 Dec 2025
08:55:00		 18 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04097 0.04144 0.04003 2 0.04889
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04097
  • Stop Loss: 0.04144
  • Take Profit: 0.04003

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04144 - 0.04097 = 0.00047

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04097 - 0.04003 = 0.00094

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00094 / 0.00047 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
693.8671 100 16935.9804 6.94
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00047

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00047 = 17021.28

Taille de position USD = 17021.28 x 0.04097 = 697.36

Donc, tu peux acheter 17021.28 avec un stoploss a 0.04144

Avec un position size USD de 697.36$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 17021.28 x 0.00047 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 17021.28 x 0.00094 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 17021.28
  • Taille de position USD 697.36
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.29 % 15.92 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.15 % 7.96 $
PNL PNL %
-7.96 $ -1.15
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.2204 % 106.38 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04003
            [entry_price] => 0.04097
            [stop_loss] => 0.041487
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 09:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04003
            [entry_price] => 0.04097
            [stop_loss] => 0.041534
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 09:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04003
            [entry_price] => 0.04097
            [stop_loss] => 0.041581
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 09:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04003
            [entry_price] => 0.04097
            [stop_loss] => 0.041675
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 09:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0003
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00164
            [rr_ratio] => 0.18
            [high] => 0.04261000
            [low] => 0.04067000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.73
            [mae_pct] => 4
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.18
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-02T08:36:03-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-02T10:36:03-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0003
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00292
            [rr_ratio] => 0.1
            [high] => 0.04389000
            [low] => 0.04067000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.73
            [mae_pct] => 7.13
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.1
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-02T08:36:03-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-02T15:36:03-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.04203000
            [high_after] => 0.04389000
            [low_before] => 0.03903000
            [low_after] => 0.04067000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)