Short Trade on MERL

The 02 Dec 2025 at 08:57:24

With 1982.4757 MERL at 0.335$ per unit.

Position size of 664.1294 $

Take profit at 0.3269 (2.42 %) and Stop Loss at 0.339 (1.19 %)

That's a 2.03 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 3.24
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.76
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.68
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.52
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.105374

15m : -0.064841

1H : -0.015918

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0
  4. atr: 0.002690238928
Details
  1. score: 1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 0.340089
  4. ema21 - 0.356243
  5. ema50 - 0.359813
  6. ema100 - 0.352027
  7. price_ema9_diff - -0.0149647
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0453444
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00992314
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0483687
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  13. ema_slope_9 - -1.52096
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.83505
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.280504
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.0754856
  17. rsi - 0.405757
  18. adx - 0.237165
  19. kc_percentage - 0.208676
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.210504
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.66683
  22. volume_ema1 - 405188.51550202
  23. volume_ema2 - 1216162.0783992
  24. chop - 29.3004
  25. regime - bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 - 0.329549
  29. ema21 - 0.33252
  30. ema50 - 0.346939
  31. ema100 - 0.358302
  32. price_ema9_diff - 0.0165378
  33. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00893456
  34. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0415597
  35. price_ema100_diff - -0.0650357
  36. all_emas_in_trend - True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  38. ema_slope_9 - -0.160192
  39. ema_slope_21 - -0.216698
  40. ema_slope_50 - -0.268944
  41. ema_slope_100 - -0.186235
  42. rsi - 0.469729
  43. adx - 0.246213
  44. kc_percentage - 0.645385
  45. kc_width_percentage - 0.0591569
  46. volume_ema_diff - -0.741452
  47. volume_ema1 - 61119.699103436
  48. volume_ema2 - 236396.05309947
  49. chop - 62.2762
  50. regime - bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 - 0.331557
  54. ema21 - 0.32963
  55. ema50 - 0.330427
  56. ema100 - 0.332527
  57. price_ema9_diff - 0.0103829
  58. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00584566
  59. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00241273
  60. price_ema100_diff - 0.00743647
  61. all_emas_in_trend - False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  63. ema_slope_9 - 0.170493
  64. ema_slope_21 - 0.0735709
  65. ema_slope_50 - 0.000477866
  66. ema_slope_100 - -0.0153377
  67. rsi - 0.642175
  68. adx - 0.211776
  69. kc_percentage - 1.00432
  70. kc_width_percentage - 0.0314371
  71. volume_ema_diff - -0.342721
  72. volume_ema1 - 18385.663029929
  73. volume_ema2 - 27972.406744148
  74. chop - 38.1861
  75. regime - bull_high
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100: 87098
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.00730221
  81. 5m_price: 87734.1
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.105374
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100: 86566.6
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 0.0108864
  86. 15m_price: 87509.1
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.064841
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100: 88673.3
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0105924
  91. 1H_price: 87734.1
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.015918
  93. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
02 Dec 2025
08:57:24
02 Dec 2025
10:05:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.335 0.339 0.3269 2.03 0.4736
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.335
  • Stop Loss: 0.339
  • Take Profit: 0.3269

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.339 - 0.335 = 0.004

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.335 - 0.3269 = 0.0081

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0081 / 0.004 = 2.025

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
664.1294 100 1982.4757 6.64
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.004

Taille de position = 8 / 0.004 = 2000

Taille de position USD = 2000 x 0.335 = 670

Donc, tu peux acheter 2000 avec un stoploss a 0.339

Avec un position size USD de 670$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2000 x 0.004 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2000 x 0.0081 = 16.2

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.2$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2000
  • Taille de position USD 670
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.2
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.025

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.42 % 16.06 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.19 % 7.93 $
PNL PNL %
-7.93 $ -1.19
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.9104 % 160 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3269
            [entry_price] => 0.335
            [stop_loss] => 0.3394
            [rr_ratio] => 1.84
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 10:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3269
            [entry_price] => 0.335
            [stop_loss] => 0.3398
            [rr_ratio] => 1.69
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 10:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3269
            [entry_price] => 0.335
            [stop_loss] => 0.3402
            [rr_ratio] => 1.56
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 10:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3269
            [entry_price] => 0.335
            [stop_loss] => 0.341
            [rr_ratio] => 1.35
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 10:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.008
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0148
            [rr_ratio] => 0.54
            [high] => 0.34980000
            [low] => 0.32700000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.39
            [mae_pct] => 4.42
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.54
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-02T08:57:24-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-02T10:57:24-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0198
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0148
            [rr_ratio] => 1.34
            [high] => 0.34980000
            [low] => 0.31520000
            [mfe_pct] => 5.91
            [mae_pct] => 4.42
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.34
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-02T08:57:24-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-02T15:57:24-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.33740000
            [high_after] => 0.34980000
            [low_before] => 0.32020000
            [low_after] => 0.31630000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)