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Short Trade on ARC

Short Trade on ARC

The 02 Dec 2025 at 09:05:43

With 13791.7786 ARC at 0.0419$ per unit.

Position size of 577.8755 $

Take profit at 0.04074 (2.77 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04248 (1.38 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.87
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.84
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.5
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.63
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.002609

15m : 0.224242

1H : 0.067587

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.18
  4. atr: 0.0003867038091
Details
  1. score: 1.18
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 0.0413906
  4. ema21 - 0.0419761
  5. ema50 - 0.0429322
  6. ema100 - 0.0445299
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.0123058
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0139473
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.022272
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0590606
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.270074
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.207482
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.157342
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.144305
  17. rsi - 0.486855
  18. adx - 0.115709
  19. kc_percentage - 0.495122
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.154297
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.628719
  22. volume_ema1 - 235570.8221804
  23. volume_ema2 - 634481.9017695
  24. chop - 65.8145
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 0.0408425
  28. ema21 - 0.0408842
  29. ema50 - 0.0414038
  30. ema100 - 0.0414049
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.0258919
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00102139
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0125497
  34. price_ema100_diff - 0.0119565
  35. all_emas_in_trend - True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.00971508
  38. ema_slope_21 - -0.135953
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.116733
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0540313
  41. rsi - 0.594494
  42. adx - 0.305382
  43. kc_percentage - 0.863307
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0682035
  45. volume_ema_diff - 0.320317
  46. volume_ema1 - 89787.774141393
  47. volume_ema2 - 68004.697205291
  48. chop - 39.0402
  49. regime - range_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 0.0412469
  52. ema21 - 0.0407756
  53. ema50 - 0.0407225
  54. ema100 - 0.0411471
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.0158322
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.0115589
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.0013032
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.0182955
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.2587
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.154152
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.0375102
  64. ema_slope_100 - -0.00912097
  65. rsi - 0.735304
  66. adx - 0.33433
  67. kc_percentage - 1.1822
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.0385629
  69. volume_ema_diff - 0.578519
  70. volume_ema1 - 43319.458635052
  71. volume_ema2 - 27443.099810968
  72. chop - 20.6251
  73. regime - bull_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 87134.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.00670226
  78. 5m_price: 87718.2
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.002609
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 86581
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 0.0131341
  83. 15m_price: 87718.2
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.224242
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 88596.5
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.00991428
  88. 1H_price: 87718.2
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.067587
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
02 Dec 2025
09:05:43		 02 Dec 2025
10:30:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.0419 0.04248 0.04074 2 0.04889
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.0419
  • Stop Loss: 0.04248
  • Take Profit: 0.04074

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04248 - 0.0419 = 0.00058

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.0419 - 0.04074 = 0.00116

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00116 / 0.00058 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
577.8755 100 13791.7786 5.78
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00058

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00058 = 13793.1

Taille de position USD = 13793.1 x 0.0419 = 577.93

Donc, tu peux acheter 13793.1 avec un stoploss a 0.04248

Avec un position size USD de 577.93$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 13793.1 x 0.00058 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 13793.1 x 0.00116 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 13793.1
  • Taille de position USD 577.93
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.77 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.38 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.38
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.6945 % 122.42 % 9

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04074
            [entry_price] => 0.0419
            [stop_loss] => 0.042538
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 10:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04074
            [entry_price] => 0.0419
            [stop_loss] => 0.042596
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 10:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04074
            [entry_price] => 0.0419
            [stop_loss] => 0.042654
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 10:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04074
            [entry_price] => 0.0419
            [stop_loss] => 0.04277
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 10:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0011
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00161
            [rr_ratio] => 0.68
            [high] => 0.04351000
            [low] => 0.04080000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.63
            [mae_pct] => 3.84
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.68
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-02T09:05:43-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-02T11:05:43-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0011
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00199
            [rr_ratio] => 0.55
            [high] => 0.04389000
            [low] => 0.04080000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.63
            [mae_pct] => 4.75
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.55
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-02T09:05:43-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-02T16:05:43-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.04259000
            [high_after] => 0.04389000
            [low_before] => 0.03903000
            [low_after] => 0.04080000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)