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Short Trade on ARC

Short Trade on ARC

The 02 Dec 2025 at 09:16:20

With 12741.6568 ARC at 0.04198$ per unit.

Position size of 534.8948 $

Take profit at 0.04072 (3 %) and Stop Loss at 0.04261 (1.5 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.96
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.94
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.78
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.9
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.009474

15m : -0.079705

1H : -0.004931

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.04
  4. atr: 0.0004185745572
Details
  1. score: 1.04
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 0.0414066
  4. ema21 - 0.0419833
  5. ema50 - 0.0429354
  6. ema100 - 0.0445315
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.0138467
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.013737
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.022174
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0572976
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.266957
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.206074
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.156744
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.144013
  17. rsi - 0.489962
  18. adx - 0.115709
  19. kc_percentage - 0.506256
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.155528
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.420735
  22. volume_ema1 - 377183.24482707
  23. volume_ema2 - 651142.18678676
  24. chop - 65.8293
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 0.041078
  28. ema21 - 0.0409879
  29. ema50 - 0.0414133
  30. ema100 - 0.0413063
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.0219581
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.0021971
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0102717
  34. price_ema100_diff - 0.0163091
  35. all_emas_in_trend - False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.0745132
  38. ema_slope_21 - -0.0939996
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.0977749
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0406149
  41. rsi - 0.601162
  42. adx - 0.299391
  43. kc_percentage - 0.875702
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0638768
  45. volume_ema_diff - 0.8953
  46. volume_ema1 - 154505.48964648
  47. volume_ema2 - 81520.29835151
  48. chop - 38.8809
  49. regime - range_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 0.0415354
  52. ema21 - 0.0409994
  53. ema50 - 0.0408329
  54. ema100 - 0.041232
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.0107016
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.0130735
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00407828
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.0181404
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.304082
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.195036
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.0636525
  64. ema_slope_100 - 0.00357883
  65. rsi - 0.733059
  66. adx - 0.35196
  67. kc_percentage - 1.03807
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.0421655
  69. volume_ema_diff - 1.72513
  70. volume_ema1 - 112913.18592484
  71. volume_ema2 - 41433.930715499
  72. chop - 24.2234
  73. regime - bull_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 87170.1
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.0132177
  78. 5m_price: 88322.3
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.009474
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 86596.8
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 0.0199253
  83. 15m_price: 88322.3
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.079705
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 88608.5
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.00323031
  88. 1H_price: 88322.3
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.004931
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
02 Dec 2025
09:16:20		 02 Dec 2025
10:30:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04198 0.04261 0.04072 2 0.04889
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04198
  • Stop Loss: 0.04261
  • Take Profit: 0.04072

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04261 - 0.04198 = 0.00063

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04198 - 0.04072 = 0.00126

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00126 / 0.00063 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
534.8948 100 12741.6568 5.35
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00063

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00063 = 12698.41

Taille de position USD = 12698.41 x 0.04198 = 533.08

Donc, tu peux acheter 12698.41 avec un stoploss a 0.04261

Avec un position size USD de 533.08$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 12698.41 x 0.00063 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 12698.41 x 0.00126 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 12698.41
  • Taille de position USD 533.08
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3 % 16.05 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.5 % 8.03 $
PNL PNL %
-8.03 $ -1.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.5007 % 100 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04072
            [entry_price] => 0.04198
            [stop_loss] => 0.042673
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 10:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04072
            [entry_price] => 0.04198
            [stop_loss] => 0.042736
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 10:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04072
            [entry_price] => 0.04198
            [stop_loss] => 0.042799
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 10:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04072
            [entry_price] => 0.04198
            [stop_loss] => 0.042925
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 10:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00118
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00153
            [rr_ratio] => 0.77
            [high] => 0.04351000
            [low] => 0.04080000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.81
            [mae_pct] => 3.64
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.77
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-02T09:16:20-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-02T11:16:20-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00118
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00207
            [rr_ratio] => 0.57
            [high] => 0.04405000
            [low] => 0.04080000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.81
            [mae_pct] => 4.93
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.57
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-02T09:16:20-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-02T16:16:20-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.04259000
            [high_after] => 0.04389000
            [low_before] => 0.03903000
            [low_after] => 0.04080000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)