Long Trade on MSTR 02 Dec 2025 at 16:07:07
Take profit at 183.6967 (1.74 %) and Stop Loss at 178.9766 (0.87 %)
Long Trade on MSTR 02 Dec 2025 at 16:07:07
Take profit at 183.6967 (1.74 %) and Stop Loss at 178.9766 (0.87 %)
Position size of 918.0332 $
Take profit at 183.6967 (1.74 %) and Stop Loss at 178.9766 (0.87 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.66 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.47 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.67 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_5m : bull_low |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.527951 15m : -0.033116 1H : -0.048535 |
3 |
Indicators:
90496.3
0.00733189
91159.9
0.527951
88465.8
0.0304533
91159.9
-0.033116
88887.9
0.0255593
91159.9
-0.048535
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 13:00:00
[1] => 177.74
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 15:00:00
[1] => 177.74
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 17:00:00
[1] => 177.74
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 19:00:00
[1] => 177.74
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 23:00:00
[1] => 168.43
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 04:00:00
[1] => 171.7
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 10:00:00
[1] => 156.12
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 16:00:00
[1] => 175.55
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 03:00:00
[1] => 170.95
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 14:00:00
[1] => 188.28
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.0312300828553
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.6975723895876
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 10.137467095642
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 02:30:00
[1] => 173.47
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 03:30:00
[1] => 170.95
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 04:00:00
[1] => 175.1
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 05:30:00
[1] => 171.98
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 07:00:00
[1] => 175.86
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 08:45:00
[1] => 173.89
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 10:15:00
[1] => 184.1
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 11:30:00
[1] => 177.64
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 14:45:00
[1] => 188.28
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 16:00:00
[1] => 180.55
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.0312300828553
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.077540847410682
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.2813625034616
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 10:15:00
[1] => 184.1
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 10:35:00
[1] => 180.03
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 10:50:00
[1] => 183.06
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 11:35:00
[1] => 177.64
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 12:25:00
[1] => 185
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 12:55:00
[1] => 181.58
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 13:20:00
[1] => 185.09
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 13:40:00
[1] => 182.83
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 14:45:00
[1] => 188.28
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 16:05:00
[1] => 180.55
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.0312300828553
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.077540847410682
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 16
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.2813625034616
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-02 10:15:00 | 184.1 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-02 10:35:00 | 180.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-02 10:50:00 | 183.06 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-02 11:35:00 | 177.64 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-02 12:25:00 | 185 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-02 12:55:00 | 181.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-02 13:20:00 | 185.09 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-02 13:40:00 | 182.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-02 14:45:00 | 188.28 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-02 16:05:00 | 180.55 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-02 02:30:00 | 173.47 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-02 03:30:00 | 170.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-02 04:00:00 | 175.1 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-02 05:30:00 | 171.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-02 07:00:00 | 175.86 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-02 08:45:00 | 173.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-02 10:15:00 | 184.1 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-02 11:30:00 | 177.64 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-02 14:45:00 | 188.28 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-02 16:00:00 | 180.55 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 13:00:00 | 177.74 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 15:00:00 | 177.74 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 17:00:00 | 177.74 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 19:00:00 | 177.74 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-30 23:00:00 | 168.43 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 04:00:00 | 171.7 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 10:00:00 | 156.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 16:00:00 | 175.55 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-02 03:00:00 | 170.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-02 14:00:00 | 188.28 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec 2025 16:07:07 |
02 Dec 2025 20:25:00 |
4 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 180.55 | 178.9766 | 183.6967 | 2 | 132.49 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 178.9766 - 180.55 = -1.5734
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 180.55 - 183.6967 = -3.1467
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.1467 / -1.5734 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 918.0332 | 100 | 5.0846 | 9.18 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.5734 = -5.08
Taille de position USD = -5.08 x 180.55 = -917.19
Donc, tu peux acheter -5.08 avec un stoploss a 178.9766
Avec un position size USD de -917.19$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -5.08 x -1.5734 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -5.08 x -3.1467 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.74 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.87 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 1.74 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3655 % | 41.94 % | 2 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 183.6968
[stop_loss] => 178.9766
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-02 20:25:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 184.4835
[stop_loss] => 178.9766
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-02 20:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 185.2702
[stop_loss] => 178.9766
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-02 21:00:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 186.0569
[stop_loss] => 178.9766
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-02 21:00:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 186.8436
[stop_loss] => 178.9766
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-02 21:10:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 187.6303
[stop_loss] => 178.9766
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-02 21:25:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.35
[max_drawdown] => 0.66000000000003
[rr_ratio] => 3.56
[high] => 182.90000000
[low] => 179.89000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.3
[mae_pct] => 0.37
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.56
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-02T16:07:07-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-02T18:07:07-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 7.45
[max_drawdown] => 0.66000000000003
[rr_ratio] => 11.29
[high] => 188.00000000
[low] => 179.89000000
[mfe_pct] => 4.13
[mae_pct] => 0.37
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 11.29
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-02T16:07:07-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-02T23:07:07-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 188.28000000
[high_after] => 188.00000000
[low_before] => 180.55000000
[low_after] => 179.89000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)