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Short Trade on MERL

Short Trade on MERL

The 02 Dec 2025 at 16:35:13

With 1792.5993 MERL at 0.3334$ per unit.

Position size of 597.6526 $

Take profit at 0.3245 (2.67 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3379 (1.35 %)

That's a 1.98 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 60
ML Pullback Score: 4.14
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.88
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.8
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.69
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.044919

15m : 0.099655

1H : 0.100272

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.08
  4. atr: 0.002975195459
Details
  1. score: 1.08
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 0.331196
  4. ema21 - 0.342424
  5. ema50 - 0.35303
  6. ema100 - 0.358016
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.00665229
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0327895
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0300423
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0687577
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.558389
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.591973
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.315568
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.169718
  17. rsi - 0.443614
  18. adx - 0.171322
  19. kc_percentage - 0.358774
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.174877
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.626657
  22. volume_ema1 - 378954.85383169
  23. volume_ema2 - 1015032.2420999
  24. chop - 66.6023
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 0.327078
  28. ema21 - 0.328524
  29. ema50 - 0.33604
  30. ema100 - 0.356346
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.0193257
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00439983
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0223669
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.0643929
  35. all_emas_in_trend - True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - -0.167295
  38. ema_slope_21 - -0.152855
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.159314
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.192062
  41. rsi - 0.544692
  42. adx - 0.176079
  43. kc_percentage - 0.733061
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.064813
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.264289
  46. volume_ema1 - 105600.10828135
  47. volume_ema2 - 143534.82125334
  48. chop - 55.8455
  49. regime - bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 0.328807
  52. ema21 - 0.326442
  53. ema50 - 0.327507
  54. ema100 - 0.329215
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.0139681
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.0072445
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00325284
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.0127104
  59. all_emas_in_trend - False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.219683
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.0838505
  63. ema_slope_50 - -0.00403289
  64. ema_slope_100 - -0.0152685
  65. rsi - 0.681293
  66. adx - 0.271307
  67. kc_percentage - 1.08355
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.0354675
  69. volume_ema_diff - 0.114327
  70. volume_ema1 - 39984.281922061
  71. volume_ema2 - 35881.994115091
  72. chop - 37.8785
  73. regime - bull_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 90583.9
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.00764039
  78. 5m_price: 91276
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.044919
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 88612.4
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 0.0300582
  83. 15m_price: 91276
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.099655
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 88890.2
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 0.0268388
  88. 1H_price: 91276
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.100272
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
02 Dec 2025
16:35:13		 02 Dec 2025
18:25:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3334 0.3379 0.3245 1.98 0.4741
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3334
  • Stop Loss: 0.3379
  • Take Profit: 0.3245

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3379 - 0.3334 = 0.0045

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3334 - 0.3245 = 0.0089

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0089 / 0.0045 = 1.9778

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
597.6526 100 1792.5993 5.98
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0045

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0045 = 1777.78

Taille de position USD = 1777.78 x 0.3334 = 592.71

Donc, tu peux acheter 1777.78 avec un stoploss a 0.3379

Avec un position size USD de 592.71$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1777.78 x 0.0045 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1777.78 x 0.0089 = 15.82

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.82$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1777.78
  • Taille de position USD 592.71
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.82
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9778

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.67 % 15.95 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.35 % 8.07 $
PNL PNL %
15.95 $ 2.67
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9898 % 73.33 % 8

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3244
            [stop_loss] => 0.3379
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 18:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.32215
            [stop_loss] => 0.3379
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 18:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3199
            [stop_loss] => 0.3379
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 18:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.31765
            [stop_loss] => 0.3379
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 19:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3154
            [stop_loss] => 0.3379
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 19:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.31315
            [stop_loss] => 0.3379
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 19:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3109
            [stop_loss] => 0.3379
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 19:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.30865
            [stop_loss] => 0.3379
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 19:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3064
            [stop_loss] => 0.3379
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 19:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.30415
            [stop_loss] => 0.3379
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 19:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3019
            [stop_loss] => 0.3379
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-02 19:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0123
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0033
            [rr_ratio] => 3.73
            [high] => 0.33670000
            [low] => 0.32110000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.69
            [mae_pct] => 0.99
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.73
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-02T16:35:13-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-02T18:35:13-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0137
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0071000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 1.93
            [high] => 0.34050000
            [low] => 0.31970000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.11
            [mae_pct] => 2.13
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.93
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-02T16:35:13-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-02T23:35:13-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.34240000
            [high_after] => 0.34050000
            [low_before] => 0.31520000
            [low_after] => 0.31970000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)