Long Trade on MSTR 03 Dec 2025 at 02:56:34

Take profit at 187.1168 (0.72 %) and Stop Loss at 185.1116 (0.36 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 03 Dec 2025 at 02:56:34

With 11.9687 MSTR at 185.78$ per unit.

Position size of 2223.5536 $

Take profit at 187.1168 (0.72 %) and Stop Loss at 185.1116 (0.36 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.52
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.82
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.86
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.67
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : bull_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.674786

15m : 0.130302

1H : -0.007858

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.1
  4. atr: 0.4456050322
Details
  1. score: 2.1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 185.888
  4. ema21 : 182.874
  5. ema50 : 178.812
  6. ema100 : 177.212
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00058619
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0164815
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0227167
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0483482
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.224613
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.266974
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.185442
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.100238
  17. rsi : 0.609055
  18. adx : 0.32732
  19. kc_percentage : 0.772936
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0527014
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.924363
  22. volume_ema1 : 45464.834386763
  23. volume_ema2 : 601097.69304292
  24. chop : 53.3833
  25. regime : bull_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 187.077
  29. ema21 : 186.848
  30. ema50 : 185.026
  31. ema100 : 182.207
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.00693821
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00122991
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00984502
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.0196049
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.00809042
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0557476
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.0714751
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0678579
  42. rsi : 0.49116
  43. adx : 0.249064
  44. kc_percentage : 0.157398
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0175685
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.928902
  47. volume_ema1 : 4905.9850625781
  48. volume_ema2 : 69003.717710233
  49. chop : 43.5337
  50. regime : bull_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 186.298
  54. ema21 : 186.866
  55. ema50 : 186.964
  56. ema100 : 186.057
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.00278372
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00304089
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000520287
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.00149299
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.0757119
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.0534291
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.016169
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00418493
  67. rsi : 0.367678
  68. adx : 0.318139
  69. kc_percentage : -0.0964895
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0095193
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.788989
  72. volume_ema1 : 546.71569801131
  73. volume_ema2 : 2590.9386146697
  74. chop : 38.5692
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    92754.7
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00247278
  81. 5m_price:
    92984.1
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.674786
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    90970.2
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0224979
  86. 15m_price:
    93016.9
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.130302
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    89574.8
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0380601
  91. 1H_price:
    92984.1
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.007858
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-30 15:00:00
                        [1] => 177.74
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-30 17:00:00
                        [1] => 177.74
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-30 19:00:00
                        [1] => 177.74
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-30 23:00:00
                        [1] => 168.43
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-01 04:00:00
                        [1] => 171.7
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-01 10:00:00
                        [1] => 156.12
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-01 16:00:00
                        [1] => 175.55
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-02 03:00:00
                        [1] => 170.95
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-02 14:00:00
                        [1] => 188.28
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 01:00:00
                        [1] => 189.45
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.9319081551861
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 8.6809008482012
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 23
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.62141491395793
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-02 08:45:00
                        [1] => 173.89
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-02 10:15:00
                        [1] => 184.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-02 11:30:00
                        [1] => 177.64
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-02 14:45:00
                        [1] => 188.28
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-02 16:00:00
                        [1] => 179.89
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-02 17:45:00
                        [1] => 182.9
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-02 19:30:00
                        [1] => 180.57
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-02 21:15:00
                        [1] => 188
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 01:15:00
                        [1] => 189.45
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 02:15:00
                        [1] => 185.54
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.9319081551861
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.13474183464482
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.107362293845
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-02 19:30:00
                        [1] => 180.57
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-02 21:25:00
                        [1] => 188
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-02 21:45:00
                        [1] => 185.78
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-02 22:25:00
                        [1] => 185.81
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-02 23:25:00
                        [1] => 188.16
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 00:10:00
                        [1] => 188.51
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 00:20:00
                        [1] => 187.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 01:25:00
                        [1] => 189.45
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 02:15:00
                        [1] => 185.54
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 02:55:00
                        [1] => 185.78
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.9319081551861
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.0053827107331203
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 18
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.12935216125903
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 3

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.93%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.01%
Bars Since Swing High
18 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.13%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
4.5416
2.45%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.3332
1.25%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-02 19:30:00 180.57 ↓ Low
2025-12-02 21:25:00 188 ↑ High
2025-12-02 21:45:00 185.78 ↓ Low
2025-12-02 22:25:00 185.81 ↓ Low
2025-12-02 23:25:00 188.16 ↑ High
2025-12-03 00:10:00 188.51 ↑ High
2025-12-03 00:20:00 187.39 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 01:25:00 189.45 ↑ High
2025-12-03 02:15:00 185.54 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 02:55:00 185.78 ↓ Low
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.93%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.13%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.11%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11.2216
6.06%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.3332
1.25%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-02 08:45:00 173.89 ↓ Low
2025-12-02 10:15:00 184.1 ↑ High
2025-12-02 11:30:00 177.64 ↓ Low
2025-12-02 14:45:00 188.28 ↑ High
2025-12-02 16:00:00 179.89 ↓ Low
2025-12-02 17:45:00 182.9 ↑ High
2025-12-02 19:30:00 180.57 ↓ Low
2025-12-02 21:15:00 188 ↑ High
2025-12-03 01:15:00 189.45 ↑ High
2025-12-03 02:15:00 185.54 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.93%
Dist From Last Low Pct
8.68%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
23 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.62%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
28.9916
15.66%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.3332
1.25%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-30 15:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 17:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 19:00:00 177.74 ↑ High
2025-11-30 23:00:00 168.43 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 04:00:00 171.7 ↑ High
2025-12-01 10:00:00 156.12 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 16:00:00 175.55 ↑ High
2025-12-02 03:00:00 170.95 ↓ Low
2025-12-02 14:00:00 188.28 ↑ High
2025-12-03 01:00:00 189.45 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
03 Dec 2025
02:56:34
03 Dec 2025
04:00:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
185.78 185.1116 187.1168 2 133.2
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 185.78
  • Stop Loss: 185.1116
  • Take Profit: 187.1168

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 185.1116 - 185.78 = -0.66839999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 185.78 - 187.1168 = -1.3368

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.3368 / -0.66839999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2223.5536 100 11.9687 22.24
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.66839999999999

Taille de position = 8 / -0.66839999999999 = -11.97

Taille de position USD = -11.97 x 185.78 = -2223.79

Donc, tu peux acheter -11.97 avec un stoploss a 185.1116

Avec un position size USD de -2223.79$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -11.97 x -0.66839999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -11.97 x -1.3368 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -11.97
  • Taille de position USD -2223.79
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.72 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.36 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.36
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5275 % 146.61 % 8

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 187.1168
            [entry_price] => 185.78
            [stop_loss] => 185.04476
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-03 04:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 187.1168
            [entry_price] => 185.78
            [stop_loss] => 184.97792
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-03 04:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 187.1168
            [entry_price] => 185.78
            [stop_loss] => 184.91108
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-03 04:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 187.1168
            [entry_price] => 185.78
            [stop_loss] => 184.7774
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-03 04:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.15
            [max_drawdown] => 1.16
            [rr_ratio] => 0.99
            [high] => 186.93000000
            [low] => 184.62000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.62
            [mae_pct] => 0.62
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.99
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-03T02:56:34-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-03T04:56:34-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.65
            [max_drawdown] => 3.85
            [rr_ratio] => 1.21
            [high] => 190.43000000
            [low] => 181.93000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.5
            [mae_pct] => 2.07
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.21
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-03T02:56:34-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-03T09:56:34-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 189.45000000
            [high_after] => 188.66000000
            [low_before] => 185.54000000
            [low_after] => 184.62000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)