Short Trade on FOLKS 03 Dec 2025 at 13:35:21
Take profit at 10.9449 (2.28 %) and Stop Loss at 11.3275 (1.14 %)
Short Trade on FOLKS 03 Dec 2025 at 13:35:21
Take profit at 10.9449 (2.28 %) and Stop Loss at 11.3275 (1.14 %)
Position size of 702.5612 $
Take profit at 10.9449 (2.28 %) and Stop Loss at 11.3275 (1.14 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.61 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.52 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.65 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.257296 15m : 0.027358 1H : -0.231601 |
0 |
Indicators:
92759
0.00332693
93067.7
0.257296
92473.3
0.00638829
93064.1
0.027358
90235.8
0.0313827
93067.7
-0.231601
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 01:00:00
[1] => 9.3994
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-30 10:00:00
[1] => 9.4834
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 02:00:00
[1] => 10.8237
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 16:00:00
[1] => 14.571
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-01 21:00:00
[1] => 12.6806
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 03:00:00
[1] => 14.46
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 06:00:00
[1] => 13.2624
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 10:00:00
[1] => 14.0929
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 08:00:00
[1] => 11.7649
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 12:00:00
[1] => 10.7599
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.0463667349489
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.8225262316564
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.3402355040474
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-02 23:00:00
[1] => 11.4542
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 00:30:00
[1] => 11.3269
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 01:00:00
[1] => 11.9572
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 02:30:00
[1] => 11.0633
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 03:15:00
[1] => 11.6607
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 07:30:00
[1] => 10.7918
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 08:00:00
[1] => 11.7649
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 09:30:00
[1] => 11.55
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 12:00:00
[1] => 10.7599
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 13:30:00
[1] => 11.2305
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.52802635679621
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.8225262316564
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.3736465952286
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 07:35:00
[1] => 10.7918
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 08:05:00
[1] => 11.7649
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 09:00:00
[1] => 11.0394
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 09:40:00
[1] => 11.55
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 11:20:00
[1] => 10.8565
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 11:40:00
[1] => 11.1461
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 12:05:00
[1] => 10.7599
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 12:25:00
[1] => 10.9998
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 12:45:00
[1] => 10.8592
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-12-03 13:30:00
[1] => 11.2305
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.52802635679621
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.8731398261382
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.4192205687343
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-03 07:35:00 | 10.7918 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-03 08:05:00 | 11.7649 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 09:00:00 | 11.0394 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-03 09:40:00 | 11.55 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 11:20:00 | 10.8565 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-03 11:40:00 | 11.1461 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 12:05:00 | 10.7599 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-03 12:25:00 | 10.9998 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 12:45:00 | 10.8592 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-03 13:30:00 | 11.2305 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-02 23:00:00 | 11.4542 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-03 00:30:00 | 11.3269 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-03 01:00:00 | 11.9572 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 02:30:00 | 11.0633 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-03 03:15:00 | 11.6607 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 07:30:00 | 10.7918 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-03 08:00:00 | 11.7649 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 09:30:00 | 11.55 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 12:00:00 | 10.7599 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-03 13:30:00 | 11.2305 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 01:00:00 | 9.3994 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-30 10:00:00 | 9.4834 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 02:00:00 | 10.8237 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-01 16:00:00 | 14.571 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-01 21:00:00 | 12.6806 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-02 03:00:00 | 14.46 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-02 06:00:00 | 13.2624 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-12-02 10:00:00 | 14.0929 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 08:00:00 | 11.7649 | ↑ High |
| 2025-12-03 12:00:00 | 10.7599 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec 2025 13:35:21 |
03 Dec 2025 15:00:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.2 | 11.3275 | 10.9449 | 2 | 1.4425 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.3275 - 11.2 = 0.1275
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.2 - 10.9449 = 0.2551
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2551 / 0.1275 = 2.0008
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 702.5612 | 100 | 62.7287 | 7.03 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1275 = 62.75
Taille de position USD = 62.75 x 11.2 = 702.8
Donc, tu peux acheter 62.75 avec un stoploss a 11.3275
Avec un position size USD de 702.8$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 62.75 x 0.1275 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 62.75 x 0.2551 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.28 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.14 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 2.28 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0804 % | 7.06 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 10.945
[stop_loss] => 11.3275
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-12-03 15:00:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 10.88125
[stop_loss] => 11.3275
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-03 15:00:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 10.8175
[stop_loss] => 11.3275
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-12-03 18:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 10.75375
[stop_loss] => 11.3275
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-03 18:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 10.69
[stop_loss] => 11.3275
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-12-03 18:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 10.62625
[stop_loss] => 11.3275
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-03 18:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 10.5625
[stop_loss] => 11.3275
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-03 18:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 10.49875
[stop_loss] => 11.3275
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-03 18:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 10.435
[stop_loss] => 11.3275
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-12-03 18:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 10.37125
[stop_loss] => 11.3275
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-12-03 18:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 10.3075
[stop_loss] => 11.3275
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-12-03 18:20:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.3301
[max_drawdown] => 0.0090000000000003
[rr_ratio] => 36.68
[high] => 11.20900000
[low] => 10.86990000
[mfe_pct] => 2.95
[mae_pct] => 0.08
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 36.68
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-12-03T13:35:21-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-03T15:35:21-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.3301
[max_drawdown] => 0.5517
[rr_ratio] => 0.6
[high] => 11.75170000
[low] => 10.86990000
[mfe_pct] => 2.95
[mae_pct] => 4.93
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.6
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-12-03T13:35:21-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-12-03T20:35:21-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 11.55000000
[high_after] => 11.75170000
[low_before] => 10.75990000
[low_after] => 10.86990000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)