Long Trade on MSTR 03 Dec 2025 at 19:25:53

Take profit at 189.3353 (0.61 %) and Stop Loss at 187.6024 (0.31 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 03 Dec 2025 at 19:25:53

With 13.8496 MSTR at 188.18$ per unit.

Position size of 2606.2172 $

Take profit at 189.3353 (0.61 %) and Stop Loss at 187.6024 (0.31 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -90
ML Pullback Score: 3.13
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.63
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.6
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.61
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : bull_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.682566

15m : 0.000132

1H : 0.0014

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.22
  4. atr: 0.3850894183
Details
  1. score: 2.22
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 188.011
  4. ema21 : 186.421
  5. ema50 : 182.822
  6. ema100 : 179.98
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.000894789
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00853078
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0196857
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0455573
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.0820293
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.102456
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.123267
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0894412
  17. rsi : 0.566391
  18. adx : 0.221321
  19. kc_percentage : 0.639939
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0616055
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.724466
  22. volume_ema1 : 306704.18082454
  23. volume_ema2 : 1113128.7321891
  24. chop : 48.7017
  25. regime : bull_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 189.094
  29. ema21 : 188.526
  30. ema50 : 187.28
  31. ema100 : 186.121
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.00483789
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00301328
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00665528
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.0110608
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0625166
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0855295
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.0618021
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0418641
  42. rsi : 0.507121
  43. adx : 0.244232
  44. kc_percentage : 0.398614
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0213465
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.916813
  47. volume_ema1 : 19506.902716547
  48. volume_ema2 : 234496.30256834
  49. chop : 73.6714
  50. regime : bull_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 188.767
  54. ema21 : 189.143
  55. ema50 : 188.758
  56. ema100 : 187.391
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.00311383
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00198409
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00203718
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00420619
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.0487078
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.0233094
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00632412
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.0197471
  67. rsi : 0.325219
  68. adx : 0.292706
  69. kc_percentage : -0.216147
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00706168
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.956926
  72. volume_ema1 : 1056.235773542
  73. volume_ema2 : 24521.47308918
  74. chop : 51.3996
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    93042.9
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000455612
  81. 5m_price:
    93000.6
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.682566
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    92735.8
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00334414
  86. 15m_price:
    93046
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.000132
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    90566.7
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0268738
  91. 1H_price:
    93000.6
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.0014
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-30 23:00:00
                        [1] => 168.43
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-01 04:00:00
                        [1] => 171.7
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-01 10:00:00
                        [1] => 156.12
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-01 16:00:00
                        [1] => 175.55
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-02 03:00:00
                        [1] => 170.95
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-02 14:00:00
                        [1] => 188.28
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 01:00:00
                        [1] => 189.45
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 09:00:00
                        [1] => 190.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 11:00:00
                        [1] => 179.54
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 18:00:00
                        [1] => 191.02
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.5914563920008
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.7009023058928
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.3941183023282
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-02 19:30:00
                        [1] => 180.57
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-02 21:15:00
                        [1] => 188
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 01:15:00
                        [1] => 189.45
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 04:00:00
                        [1] => 184.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 05:15:00
                        [1] => 187.18
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 07:15:00
                        [1] => 185.3
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 09:30:00
                        [1] => 190.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 11:00:00
                        [1] => 179.54
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 18:00:00
                        [1] => 191.02
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 19:15:00
                        [1] => 187.98
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.5914563920008
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6171933184381
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 13:10:00
                        [1] => 187.21
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 13:15:00
                        [1] => 185.11
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 13:55:00
                        [1] => 184.27
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 14:05:00
                        [1] => 187.27
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 15:55:00
                        [1] => 189.41
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 17:00:00
                        [1] => 190.48
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 17:25:00
                        [1] => 188.99
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 18:05:00
                        [1] => 191.02
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 18:35:00
                        [1] => 189.28
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 19:25:00
                        [1] => 187.98
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.5914563920008
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 16
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.69156293222684
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.59%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
16 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.69%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.3324
1.78%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.6847
0.89%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-03 13:10:00 187.21 ↑ High
2025-12-03 13:15:00 185.11 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 13:55:00 184.27 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 14:05:00 187.27 ↑ High
2025-12-03 15:55:00 189.41 ↑ High
2025-12-03 17:00:00 190.48 ↑ High
2025-12-03 17:25:00 188.99 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 18:05:00 191.02 ↑ High
2025-12-03 18:35:00 189.28 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 19:25:00 187.98 ↓ Low
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.59%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.62%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
8.0624
4.30%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.6847
0.89%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-02 19:30:00 180.57 ↓ Low
2025-12-02 21:15:00 188 ↑ High
2025-12-03 01:15:00 189.45 ↑ High
2025-12-03 04:00:00 184.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 05:15:00 187.18 ↑ High
2025-12-03 07:15:00 185.3 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 09:30:00 190.43 ↑ High
2025-12-03 11:00:00 179.54 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 18:00:00 191.02 ↑ High
2025-12-03 19:15:00 187.98 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.59%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.70%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.39%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
31.4824
16.78%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.6847
0.89%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-30 23:00:00 168.43 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 04:00:00 171.7 ↑ High
2025-12-01 10:00:00 156.12 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 16:00:00 175.55 ↑ High
2025-12-02 03:00:00 170.95 ↓ Low
2025-12-02 14:00:00 188.28 ↑ High
2025-12-03 01:00:00 189.45 ↑ High
2025-12-03 09:00:00 190.43 ↑ High
2025-12-03 11:00:00 179.54 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 18:00:00 191.02 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
03 Dec 2025
19:25:53
03 Dec 2025
19:30:00
4 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
188.18 187.6024 189.3353 2 132.95
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 188.18
  • Stop Loss: 187.6024
  • Take Profit: 189.3353

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 187.6024 - 188.18 = -0.57760000000002

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 188.18 - 189.3353 = -1.1553

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.1553 / -0.57760000000002 = 2.0002

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2606.2172 100 13.8496 26.06
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.57760000000002

Taille de position = 8 / -0.57760000000002 = -13.85

Taille de position USD = -13.85 x 188.18 = -2606.29

Donc, tu peux acheter -13.85 avec un stoploss a 187.6024

Avec un position size USD de -2606.29$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -13.85 x -0.57760000000002 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -13.85 x -1.1553 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -13.85
  • Taille de position USD -2606.29
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0002

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.61 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.31 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.31
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3188 % 103.88 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.3353
            [entry_price] => 188.18
            [stop_loss] => 187.54464
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-03 19:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.3353
            [entry_price] => 188.18
            [stop_loss] => 187.48688
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-03 19:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.3353
            [entry_price] => 188.18
            [stop_loss] => 187.42912
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-03 19:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.3353
            [entry_price] => 188.18
            [stop_loss] => 187.3136
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-03 20:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.21
            [max_drawdown] => 0.80000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 2.76
            [high] => 190.39000000
            [low] => 187.38000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.17
            [mae_pct] => 0.43
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.76
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-03T19:25:53-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-03T21:25:53-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.45
            [max_drawdown] => 1.6
            [rr_ratio] => 1.53
            [high] => 190.63000000
            [low] => 186.58000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.3
            [mae_pct] => 0.85
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.53
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-03T19:25:53-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-04T02:25:53-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 191.02000000
            [high_after] => 190.63000000
            [low_before] => 187.29000000
            [low_after] => 186.58000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)