Long Trade on MSTR 03 Dec 2025 at 19:30:12

Take profit at 189.0942 (0.59 %) and Stop Loss at 187.4229 (0.3 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 03 Dec 2025 at 19:30:12

With 14.3601 MSTR at 187.98$ per unit.

Position size of 2699.4034 $

Take profit at 189.0942 (0.59 %) and Stop Loss at 187.4229 (0.3 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 4.57
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.72
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.78
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.73
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.675781

15m : 0.016476

1H : 0.024833

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.31
  4. atr: 0.3714005903
Details
  1. score: 2.31
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 187.971
  4. ema21 : 186.403
  5. ema50 : 182.814
  6. ema100 : 179.976
  7. price_ema9_diff : 4.3788E-5
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00841456
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.01963
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0444691
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.0802389
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.101633
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.122904
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0892559
  17. rsi : 0.561055
  18. adx : 0.220265
  19. kc_percentage : 0.623478
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0620966
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.72419
  22. volume_ema1 : 307021.73399121
  23. volume_ema2 : 1113166.0913852
  24. chop : 48.7147
  25. regime : bull_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 188.819
  29. ema21 : 188.449
  30. ema50 : 187.295
  31. ema100 : 186.153
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.0044437
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00195965
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00616267
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.009814
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0306361
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0686726
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.0554118
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0390085
  42. rsi : 0.489868
  43. adx : 0.230821
  44. kc_percentage : 0.360476
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0198643
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.941371
  47. volume_ema1 : 13216.72209992
  48. volume_ema2 : 225429.84874594
  49. chop : 70.214
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 188.578
  54. ema21 : 189.02
  55. ema50 : 188.741
  56. ema100 : 187.556
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.00317233
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00234184
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00147921
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00225778
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.0527741
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.0275598
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00272117
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.016019
  67. rsi : 0.304835
  68. adx : 0.292737
  69. kc_percentage : -0.305944
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0067643
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.961034
  72. volume_ema1 : 915.85929347243
  73. volume_ema2 : 23504.421080422
  74. chop : 46.0709
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    93061.6
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00325906
  81. 5m_price:
    92758.4
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.675781
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    92711.6
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.000504744
  86. 15m_price:
    92758.4
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.016476
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    90561.9
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0242537
  91. 1H_price:
    92758.4
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.024833
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-30 23:00:00
                        [1] => 168.43
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-01 04:00:00
                        [1] => 171.7
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-01 10:00:00
                        [1] => 156.12
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-01 16:00:00
                        [1] => 175.55
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-02 03:00:00
                        [1] => 170.95
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-02 14:00:00
                        [1] => 188.28
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 01:00:00
                        [1] => 189.45
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 09:00:00
                        [1] => 190.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 11:00:00
                        [1] => 179.54
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 18:00:00
                        [1] => 191.02
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.8008585488431
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.4781107274145
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.3941183023282
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-02 19:30:00
                        [1] => 180.57
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-02 21:15:00
                        [1] => 188
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 01:15:00
                        [1] => 189.45
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 04:00:00
                        [1] => 184.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 05:15:00
                        [1] => 187.18
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 07:15:00
                        [1] => 185.3
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 09:30:00
                        [1] => 190.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 11:00:00
                        [1] => 179.54
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 18:00:00
                        [1] => 191.02
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 19:30:00
                        [1] => 187.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.8008585488431
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.833884209404
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 13:10:00
                        [1] => 187.21
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 13:15:00
                        [1] => 185.11
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 13:55:00
                        [1] => 184.27
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 14:05:00
                        [1] => 187.27
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 15:55:00
                        [1] => 189.41
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 17:00:00
                        [1] => 190.48
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 17:25:00
                        [1] => 188.99
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 18:05:00
                        [1] => 191.02
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 18:35:00
                        [1] => 189.28
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 19:30:00
                        [1] => 187.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.8008585488431
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 17
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.90627998720545
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.80%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
17 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.91%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.1529
1.68%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.9258
1.02%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-03 13:10:00 187.21 ↑ High
2025-12-03 13:15:00 185.11 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 13:55:00 184.27 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 14:05:00 187.27 ↑ High
2025-12-03 15:55:00 189.41 ↑ High
2025-12-03 17:00:00 190.48 ↑ High
2025-12-03 17:25:00 188.99 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 18:05:00 191.02 ↑ High
2025-12-03 18:35:00 189.28 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 19:30:00 187.58 ↓ Low
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.80%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.83%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.8829
4.21%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.9258
1.02%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-02 19:30:00 180.57 ↓ Low
2025-12-02 21:15:00 188 ↑ High
2025-12-03 01:15:00 189.45 ↑ High
2025-12-03 04:00:00 184.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 05:15:00 187.18 ↑ High
2025-12-03 07:15:00 185.3 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 09:30:00 190.43 ↑ High
2025-12-03 11:00:00 179.54 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 18:00:00 191.02 ↑ High
2025-12-03 19:30:00 187.58 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.80%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.48%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.39%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
31.3029
16.70%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.9258
1.02%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-30 23:00:00 168.43 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 04:00:00 171.7 ↑ High
2025-12-01 10:00:00 156.12 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 16:00:00 175.55 ↑ High
2025-12-02 03:00:00 170.95 ↓ Low
2025-12-02 14:00:00 188.28 ↑ High
2025-12-03 01:00:00 189.45 ↑ High
2025-12-03 09:00:00 190.43 ↑ High
2025-12-03 11:00:00 179.54 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 18:00:00 191.02 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
03 Dec 2025
19:30:12
03 Dec 2025
19:35:00
4 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
187.98 187.4229 189.0942 2 133.09
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 187.98
  • Stop Loss: 187.4229
  • Take Profit: 189.0942

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 187.4229 - 187.98 = -0.55709999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 187.98 - 189.0942 = -1.1142

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.1142 / -0.55709999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2699.4034 100 14.3601 26.99
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.55709999999999

Taille de position = 8 / -0.55709999999999 = -14.36

Taille de position USD = -14.36 x 187.98 = -2699.39

Donc, tu peux acheter -14.36 avec un stoploss a 187.4229

Avec un position size USD de -2699.39$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -14.36 x -0.55709999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -14.36 x -1.1142 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -14.36
  • Taille de position USD -2699.39
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.59 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.3 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.30
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3192 % 107.69 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.0942
            [entry_price] => 187.98
            [stop_loss] => 187.36719
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-03 20:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.0942
            [entry_price] => 187.98
            [stop_loss] => 187.31148
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-03 20:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.0942
            [entry_price] => 187.98
            [stop_loss] => 187.25577
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-03 20:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.0942
            [entry_price] => 187.98
            [stop_loss] => 187.14435
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-03 20:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.58
            [max_drawdown] => 0.59999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 4.3
            [high] => 190.56000000
            [low] => 187.38000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.37
            [mae_pct] => 0.32
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.3
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-03T19:30:12-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-03T21:30:12-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.65
            [max_drawdown] => 1.4
            [rr_ratio] => 1.89
            [high] => 190.63000000
            [low] => 186.58000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.41
            [mae_pct] => 0.74
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.89
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-03T19:30:12-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-04T02:30:12-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 191.02000000
            [high_after] => 190.63000000
            [low_before] => 187.29000000
            [low_after] => 186.58000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)