Long Trade on MSTR 03 Dec 2025 at 23:39:06

Take profit at 189.6432 (0.35 %) and Stop Loss at 188.6634 (0.17 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 03 Dec 2025 at 23:39:06

With 24.4942 MSTR at 188.99$ per unit.

Position size of 4629.1519 $

Take profit at 189.6432 (0.35 %) and Stop Loss at 188.6634 (0.17 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.17
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.92
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.73
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.6
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.569592

15m : -0.063807

1H : 0.141035

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.15
  4. atr: 0.2177389465
Details
  1. score: 2.15
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 188.923
  4. ema21 : 187.426
  5. ema50 : 183.825
  6. ema100 : 180.72
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.000349424
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0079894
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0195893
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0457557
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.188044
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.148404
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.140953
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.10124
  17. rsi : 0.568453
  18. adx : 0.199933
  19. kc_percentage : 0.646733
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.051624
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.896745
  22. volume_ema1 : 98809.694569868
  23. volume_ema2 : 956951.37624678
  24. chop : 50.1886
  25. regime : bull_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 189.459
  29. ema21 : 189.357
  30. ema50 : 188.463
  31. ema100 : 187.593
  32. price_ema9_diff : -0.00247879
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000539546
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00474369
  35. price_ema100_diff : 0.00744567
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.00440582
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0230683
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.0326988
  41. ema_slope_100 : 0.0252003
  42. rsi : 0.485224
  43. adx : 0.148499
  44. kc_percentage : 0.340587
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0130379
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.934722
  47. volume_ema1 : 8180.4756795833
  48. volume_ema2 : 125318.75193656
  49. chop : 74.9655
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 189.266
  54. ema21 : 189.487
  55. ema50 : 189.518
  56. ema100 : 189.295
  57. price_ema9_diff : -0.00146175
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00116306
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000166529
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.00161381
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : -0.0252966
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.0162908
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.00443436
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.000885624
  67. rsi : 0.351482
  68. adx : 0.300387
  69. kc_percentage : -0.152434
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00394897
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.901869
  72. volume_ema1 : 606.04637527487
  73. volume_ema2 : 6175.9455962729
  74. chop : 59.4068
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    93381.9
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.000108672
  81. 5m_price:
    93392.1
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.569592
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    93082.3
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00334751
  86. 15m_price:
    93393.9
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.063807
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    90779.2
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0287829
  91. 1H_price:
    93392.1
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.141035
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-30 23:00:00
                        [1] => 168.43
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-01 04:00:00
                        [1] => 171.7
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-01 10:00:00
                        [1] => 156.12
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-01 16:00:00
                        [1] => 175.55
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-02 03:00:00
                        [1] => 170.95
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-02 14:00:00
                        [1] => 188.28
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 01:00:00
                        [1] => 189.45
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 09:00:00
                        [1] => 190.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 11:00:00
                        [1] => 179.54
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 18:00:00
                        [1] => 191.02
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.036540676369
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.2912999888604
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.3941183023282
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 01:15:00
                        [1] => 189.45
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 04:00:00
                        [1] => 184.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 05:15:00
                        [1] => 187.18
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 07:15:00
                        [1] => 185.3
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 09:30:00
                        [1] => 190.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 11:00:00
                        [1] => 179.54
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 18:00:00
                        [1] => 191.02
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 19:30:00
                        [1] => 187.38
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 21:30:00
                        [1] => 190.63
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 23:15:00
                        [1] => 188.99
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.83407648323979
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.026456426265931
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.86777078152282
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 17:25:00
                        [1] => 188.99
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 18:05:00
                        [1] => 191.02
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 18:35:00
                        [1] => 189.28
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 19:35:00
                        [1] => 187.38
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 20:35:00
                        [1] => 190.34
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 21:05:00
                        [1] => 188.79
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 21:40:00
                        [1] => 190.63
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 22:35:00
                        [1] => 189.19
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 23:25:00
                        [1] => 188.99
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-12-03 23:35:00
                        [1] => 188.99
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.83407648323979
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.026456426265931
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 23
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.83%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.03%
Bars Since Swing High
23 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.00%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.2834
0.68%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.3768
0.73%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-03 17:25:00 188.99 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 18:05:00 191.02 ↑ High
2025-12-03 18:35:00 189.28 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 19:35:00 187.38 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 20:35:00 190.34 ↑ High
2025-12-03 21:05:00 188.79 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 21:40:00 190.63 ↑ High
2025-12-03 22:35:00 189.19 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 23:25:00 188.99 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 23:35:00 188.99 ↓ Low
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.83%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.03%
Bars Since Swing High
8 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.87%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.1234
4.84%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.3768
0.73%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-03 01:15:00 189.45 ↑ High
2025-12-03 04:00:00 184.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 05:15:00 187.18 ↑ High
2025-12-03 07:15:00 185.3 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 09:30:00 190.43 ↑ High
2025-12-03 11:00:00 179.54 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 18:00:00 191.02 ↑ High
2025-12-03 19:30:00 187.38 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 21:30:00 190.63 ↑ High
2025-12-03 23:15:00 188.99 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.04%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.29%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.39%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
32.5434
17.25%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.3768
0.73%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-30 23:00:00 168.43 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 04:00:00 171.7 ↑ High
2025-12-01 10:00:00 156.12 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 16:00:00 175.55 ↑ High
2025-12-02 03:00:00 170.95 ↓ Low
2025-12-02 14:00:00 188.28 ↑ High
2025-12-03 01:00:00 189.45 ↑ High
2025-12-03 09:00:00 190.43 ↑ High
2025-12-03 11:00:00 179.54 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 18:00:00 191.02 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
03 Dec 2025
23:39:06
03 Dec 2025
23:45:00
5 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
188.99 188.6634 189.6432 2 134.66
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 188.99
  • Stop Loss: 188.6634
  • Take Profit: 189.6432

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 188.6634 - 188.99 = -0.32660000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 188.99 - 189.6432 = -0.6532

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.6532 / -0.32660000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4629.1519 100 24.4942 46.29
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.32660000000001

Taille de position = 8 / -0.32660000000001 = -24.49

Taille de position USD = -24.49 x 188.99 = -4628.37

Donc, tu peux acheter -24.49 avec un stoploss a 188.6634

Avec un position size USD de -4628.37$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -24.49 x -0.32660000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -24.49 x -0.6532 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -24.49
  • Taille de position USD -4628.37
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.35 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.17 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.17
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2804 % 162.27 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.6432
            [entry_price] => 188.99
            [stop_loss] => 188.63074
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-03 23:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.6432
            [entry_price] => 188.99
            [stop_loss] => 188.59808
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-03 23:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.6432
            [entry_price] => 188.99
            [stop_loss] => 188.56542
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-03 23:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.6432
            [entry_price] => 188.99
            [stop_loss] => 188.5001
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-03 23:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.049999999999983
            [max_drawdown] => 2.41
            [rr_ratio] => 0.02
            [high] => 189.04000000
            [low] => 186.58000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.03
            [mae_pct] => 1.28
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.02
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-03T23:39:06-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-04T01:39:06-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.60999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 2.41
            [rr_ratio] => 0.25
            [high] => 189.60000000
            [low] => 186.58000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.32
            [mae_pct] => 1.28
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.25
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-03T23:39:06-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-04T06:39:06-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 190.63000000
            [high_after] => 189.60000000
            [low_before] => 187.38000000
            [low_after] => 186.58000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)