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Long Trade on MSTR

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Long Trade on MSTR 04 Dec 2025 at 00:33:13

Take profit at 188.4811 (0.45 %) and Stop Loss at 187.2194 (0.22 %)

Long Trade on MSTR

The 04 Dec 2025 at 00:33:13

With 19.0222 MSTR at 187.64$ per unit.

Position size of 3569.334 $

Take profit at 188.4811 (0.45 %) and Stop Loss at 187.2194 (0.22 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.77
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.72
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.55
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.57
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bull_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bear_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.58315

15m : 0.136619

1H : -0.071695

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - buy

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 0.2803734977
Details
  1. score: 2.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 188.511
  4. ema21 : 187.365
  5. ema50 : 183.938
  6. ema100 : 180.839
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00462563
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0061174
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0186324
  10. price_ema100_diff : 0.0376071
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : 0.152054
  14. ema_slope_21 : 0.135191
  15. ema_slope_50 : 0.135357
  16. ema_slope_100 : 0.0991825
  17. rsi : 0.529359
  18. adx : 0.181575
  19. kc_percentage : 0.516496
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0508526
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.925187
  22. volume_ema1 : 68811.542268801
  23. volume_ema2 : 919792.24310638
  24. chop : 49.7873
  25. regime : bull_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 188.316
  28. ema21 : 188.779
  29. ema50 : 188.361
  30. ema100 : 187.859
  31. price_ema9_diff : -0.00359273
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00245315
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00221747
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00116698
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0618865
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0178324
  39. ema_slope_50 : 0.0112667
  40. ema_slope_100 : 0.0118475
  41. rsi : 0.418633
  42. adx : 0.187937
  43. kc_percentage : 0.082403
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0144582
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.967351
  46. volume_ema1 : 3500.878285679
  47. volume_ema2 : 107229.94184677
  48. chop : 45.1985
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 187.632
  52. ema21 : 188.272
  53. ema50 : 188.88
  54. ema100 : 189.074
  55. price_ema9_diff : 3.94297E-5
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00340094
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00321744
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00758836
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : -0.0749648
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.0555722
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0297953
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0149863
  65. rsi : 0.351878
  66. adx : 0.515179
  67. kc_percentage : -0.0141216
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00613508
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.693721
  70. volume_ema1 : 1152.0705206134
  71. volume_ema2 : 3761.5152947183
  72. chop : 15.2732
  73. regime : bear_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    93360.9
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0027597
  78. 5m_price: 
    93103.3
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.58315
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    93185.7
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.000885091
  83. 15m_price: 
    93103.3
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.136619
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    90806.8
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0252899
  88. 1H_price: 
    93103.3
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.071695
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 04:00:00
                    [1] => 171.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 10:00:00
                    [1] => 156.12
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-01 16:00:00
                    [1] => 175.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-02 03:00:00
                    [1] => 170.95
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-02 14:00:00
                    [1] => 188.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-03 01:00:00
                    [1] => 189.45
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-03 09:00:00
                    [1] => 190.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-03 11:00:00
                    [1] => 179.54
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-03 18:00:00
                    [1] => 191.02
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-04 00:00:00
                    [1] => 187.01
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.7694482253167
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.3368803807283
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1442703598738
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-03 01:15:00
                    [1] => 189.45
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-03 04:00:00
                    [1] => 184.62
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-03 05:15:00
                    [1] => 187.18
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-03 07:15:00
                    [1] => 185.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-03 09:30:00
                    [1] => 190.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-03 11:00:00
                    [1] => 179.54
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-03 18:00:00
                    [1] => 191.02
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-03 19:30:00
                    [1] => 187.38
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-03 21:30:00
                    [1] => 190.63
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-04 00:15:00
                    [1] => 187.01
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.5684834496144
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.3368803807283
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9357253622801
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 1
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-03 17:25:00
                    [1] => 188.99
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-03 18:05:00
                    [1] => 191.02
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-03 18:35:00
                    [1] => 189.28
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-03 19:35:00
                    [1] => 187.38
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-03 20:35:00
                    [1] => 190.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-03 21:05:00
                    [1] => 188.79
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-03 21:40:00
                    [1] => 190.63
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-03 22:35:00
                    [1] => 189.19
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-04 00:15:00
                    [1] => 187.01
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-12-04 00:25:00
                    [1] => 187.01
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.5684834496144
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.3368803807283
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 34
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.57%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.34%
Bars Since Swing High
34 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.00%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2094
0.11%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.5389
1.35%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-03 17:25:00 188.99 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 18:05:00 191.02 ↑ High
2025-12-03 18:35:00 189.28 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 19:35:00 187.38 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 20:35:00 190.34 ↑ High
2025-12-03 21:05:00 188.79 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 21:40:00 190.63 ↑ High
2025-12-03 22:35:00 189.19 ↓ Low
2025-12-04 00:15:00 187.01 ↓ Low
2025-12-04 00:25:00 187.01 ↓ Low
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.57%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.34%
Bars Since Swing High
12 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.94%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.6794
4.10%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.5389
1.35%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-03 01:15:00 189.45 ↑ High
2025-12-03 04:00:00 184.62 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 05:15:00 187.18 ↑ High
2025-12-03 07:15:00 185.3 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 09:30:00 190.43 ↑ High
2025-12-03 11:00:00 179.54 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 18:00:00 191.02 ↑ High
2025-12-03 19:30:00 187.38 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 21:30:00 190.63 ↑ High
2025-12-04 00:15:00 187.01 ↓ Low
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-1.77%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.34%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.14%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
31.0994
16.61%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.5389
1.35%
DateTime Price Type
2025-12-01 04:00:00 171.7 ↑ High
2025-12-01 10:00:00 156.12 ↓ Low
2025-12-01 16:00:00 175.55 ↑ High
2025-12-02 03:00:00 170.95 ↓ Low
2025-12-02 14:00:00 188.28 ↑ High
2025-12-03 01:00:00 189.45 ↑ High
2025-12-03 09:00:00 190.43 ↑ High
2025-12-03 11:00:00 179.54 ↓ Low
2025-12-03 18:00:00 191.02 ↑ High
2025-12-04 00:00:00 187.01 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
04 Dec 2025
00:33:13		 04 Dec 2025
00:40:00		 6 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
187.64 187.2194 188.4811 2 133.73
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 187.64
  • Stop Loss: 187.2194
  • Take Profit: 188.4811

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 187.2194 - 187.64 = -0.42059999999998

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 187.64 - 188.4811 = -0.84110000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.84110000000001 / -0.42059999999998 = 1.9998

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3569.334 100 19.0222 35.69
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.42059999999998

Taille de position = 8 / -0.42059999999998 = -19.02

Taille de position USD = -19.02 x 187.64 = -3568.91

Donc, tu peux acheter -19.02 avec un stoploss a 187.2194

Avec un position size USD de -3568.91$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -19.02 x -0.42059999999998 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -19.02 x -0.84110000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -19.02
  • Taille de position USD -3568.91
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9998

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.45 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.22 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.22
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5169 % 230.55 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 188.4811
            [entry_price] => 187.64
            [stop_loss] => 187.17734
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-04 00:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 188.4811
            [entry_price] => 187.64
            [stop_loss] => 187.13528
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-04 00:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 188.4811
            [entry_price] => 187.64
            [stop_loss] => 187.09322
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-04 00:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 188.4811
            [entry_price] => 187.64
            [stop_loss] => 187.0091
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-12-04 00:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.87
            [max_drawdown] => 1.06
            [rr_ratio] => 0.82
            [high] => 188.51000000
            [low] => 186.58000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.46
            [mae_pct] => 0.56
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.82
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-12-04T00:33:13-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-04T02:33:13-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.96
            [max_drawdown] => 1.06
            [rr_ratio] => 1.85
            [high] => 189.60000000
            [low] => 186.58000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.04
            [mae_pct] => 0.56
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.85
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-12-04T00:33:13-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-12-04T07:33:13-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 190.63000000
            [high_after] => 189.60000000
            [low_before] => 187.01000000
            [low_after] => 186.58000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)